Atlas vs Tigres UANL Prediction

Atlas
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Tigres UANL
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara·César Ramos Palazuelos, Mexico 16/08/2026
AtlasAtlas
2-1
Finished
Tigres UANLTigres UANL

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.34
SignalSTRONGModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+13.5%
Atlas Rest
4 days
Tigres UANL Rest
4 days

Atlas vs Tigres UANL: result, form and history

Atlas beat Tigres UANL 2-1 in the Liga MX on 16 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Tigres UANL have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%3.18
X
30%3.20
2
32%2.25
Double Chance
1X
67%1.62
X2
62%1.32
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.82
No
36%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 1.51 = 2.88
Over 1.5
82%1.34
Over 2.5
60%2.11
Over 3.5
34%3.77
Under 1.5
18%3.01
Under 2.5
40%1.69
Under 3.5
66%1.23
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.4 = 9.2
Over 8.5
56%1.62
Over 9.5
45%2.03
Over 10.5
32%2.57
Under 8.5
44%2.15
Under 9.5
55%1.70
Under 10.5
68%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 2.5 = 5.3
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
57%-
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
43%-

Match Events

2'M. CapassoAssist: A. Gonzalez
21'J. BrunettaAssist: R. Aguirre
22'V. H. Rios De AlbaFoul
30'H. ElizondoUnsportsmanlike conduct
35'M. CapassoHandling
46'V. H. Rios De Alba INP. Ramirez out
56'J. GarzaFoul
65'A. Gonzalez INL. Esteves out
65'J. Martin INJ. Rodriguez out
70'J. SanchezFoul
71'Duk ING. Aguirre out
80'F. Reyes INV. Lorona out
80'A. Franco INJ. Vigon out
81'L. EstevesAssist: E. Zaldivar
85'J. Brunetta(Penalty missed)
88'Joaquim IND. Ramirez out
90'D. Lainez INI. Galvan out

Lineups

Atlas
3-1-4-2Coach: Hernan Crespo
Tigres UANL
4-2-3-1Coach: Hernan Elizondo
Avg rating6.99
Avg rating6.51
Camilo VargasC7.712C. Vargas
Juan José Purata6.344J. José Purata
Manuel Capasso7.928M. Capasso
Rodrigo Schlegel7.221R. Schlegel
Victor Rios6.327V. Rios
Duk6.011Duk
Edgar Zaldívar7.26E. Zaldívar
Arturo González7.558A. González
Gustavo Ferrareis6.32G. Ferrareis
Florián Monzón6.39F. Monzón
Jose Martin6.6203J. Martin
Nahuel Guzmán5.61N. Guzmán
Jesus Garza5.614J. Garza
Joaquim6.228Joaquim
Alan Javier Franco6.515A. Javier Franco
Francisco Reyes6.52F. Reyes
Fernando GorriaránC6.28F. Gorriarán
Rômulo Zwarg6.323R. Zwarg
Diego Lainez6.916D. Lainez
Juan Brunetta8.211J. Brunetta
Diego Sánchez7.230D. Sánchez
Rodrigo Aguirre6.517R. Aguirre

Atlas Substitutes

15Paulo Ramírez46'for V. H. Rios De Alba7.5
5Jorge Rodríguez65'for J. Martin6.9
10Luís Esteves65'for A. Gonzalez81'7.9
13Gaddi Aguirre71'for Duk7.3
22Antonio Sánchez
4Adrián Mora
17Jose Lozano
192Jesús Serrato
23Sergio Hernandez
251Luis Gamboa

Tigres UANL Substitutes

32Vladimir Loroña80'for F. Reyes6.2
6Juan Vigón80'for A. Franco6.7
200Diego Ramirez88'for Joaquim6.3
198Isac Galván90'for D. Lainez6.7
25Carlos Rodríguez
26Fernando Ordoñez
33Rafael Guerrero
34Henrique Simeone Koifman
19Mauro Laínez
205Antonio de María y Campos

Match Stats

AtlasTigres UANL
45%Ball Possession55%
2Corner Kicks16
2Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
8Total Shots25
3Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal9
4Shots Inside Box14
4Shots Outside Box11
1Blocked Shots9
15Fouls11
3Offsides1
6Goalkeeper Saves1
342Total Passes387
265Passes Accurate312
77%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

AtlasAtlas
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
1603Elo Rating 1603
1.89Attack 0.87
0.51Defense 0.84
56%Hit Rate 0%
13.9Shots per Game 14.4
4.6Shots on Target 5.4
6.5Corners per Game 7.5
2.6Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AtlasAtlas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AtlasAtlas1Wins · 10%
Draws330%
Tigres UANLTigres UANL6Wins · 60%
2.1Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX23/04/2026
AtlasTigres UANL
00
Liga MX25/09/2025
Tigres UANLAtlas
20
Liga MX09/02/2025
Tigres UANLAtlas
21
Liga MX13/07/2024
AtlasTigres UANL
11
Liga MX25/02/2024
Tigres UANLAtlas
11
Liga MX18/09/2023
AtlasTigres UANL
20
Liga MX19/02/2023
AtlasTigres UANL
01
Copa por México18/12/2022
Tigres UANLAtlas
10
Liga MX24/07/2022
Tigres UANLAtlas
20
Liga MX22/05/2022
Tigres UANLAtlas
42

Recent Form

AtlasAtlas
3W1D6L
12/08/2026
FC CincinnatiAtlas
12
W
08/08/2026
CharlotteAtlas
20
L
05/08/2026
Columbus CrewAtlas
31
L
02/08/2026
AtlasMonterrey
02
L
26/07/2026
Santos LagunaAtlas
01
W
18/07/2026
LeonAtlas
23
W
10/07/2026
AtlasPuebla
34
L
04/07/2026
AtlasNecaxa
00
D
01/07/2026
AtlasAtletico San Luis
01
L
10/05/2026
Cruz AzulAtlas
10
L
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
5W1D4L
12/08/2026
Tigres UANLVancouver Whitecaps
5141
W
08/08/2026
Tigres UANLMinnesota United FC
4020
W
05/08/2026
Tigres UANLReal Salt Lake
6151
W
02/08/2026
Club QueretaroTigres UANL
32
L
26/07/2026
Tigres UANLAtletico San Luis
22
D
17/07/2026
Club TijuanaTigres UANL
31
L
31/05/2026
TolucaTigres UANL
6050
L
10/05/2026
Guadalajara ChivasTigres UANL
20
L
06/05/2026
Tigres UANLNashville SC
10
W
03/05/2026
Tigres UANLGuadalajara Chivas
31
W

Referee Profile

César Ramos Palazuelos228 matches

4.61Cards per match
4.22Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

César Ramos Palazuelos4.61
Other referees4.47

4.61 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.47).

Cards come from 218 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul16102437:26+1132WWWWW
2Club AmericaClub America1686238:23+1530DDDLW
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1686226:15+1130DWWWD
4TolucaToluca1676335:21+1427WDDDD
5AtlasAtlas1683527:30-327LWWLW
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1681723:20+325WWLWW
7LeonLeon1665523:21+223DLDWL
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1664629:20+922WWWLL
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1657425:22+322LDDWD
10MonterreyMonterrey1563626:25+121LDLWW
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1656524:26-221DWDLW
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1562718:23-520LLLLL
13PueblaPuebla1654719:23-419WLLLD
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1654719:24-519LLWWD
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1636717:25-815LLDLD
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1635816:26-1014LLLWL
17NecaxaNecaxa1634917:28-1113WLDLL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez16321113:34-2111WWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul1637:2632
2Club AmericaClub America1638:2330
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1626:1530
4TolucaToluca1635:2127
5AtlasAtlas1627:3027
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1623:2025
7LeonLeon1623:2123
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1629:2022
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1625:2222
10MonterreyMonterrey1526:2521
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1624:2621
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1518:2320
13PueblaPuebla1619:2319
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1619:2419
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1617:2515
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1616:2614
17NecaxaNecaxa1617:2813
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1613:3411
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About the Atlas vs Tigres UANL forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Atlas and Tigres UANL in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, Atlas are 5th and Tigres UANL 15th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Atlas 27-30, Tigres UANL 17-25. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.