Tigres UANL vs Puebla Prediction

Tigres UANL
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Puebla
Estadio Universitario, Monterey·Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce 27/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
59%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.57
SignalNEUTRALModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-4.3%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.79
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+5.4%
Tigres UANL Rest
8 days
Puebla Rest
8 days

Tigres UANL vs Puebla: result, form and history

Tigres UANL beat Puebla 1-0 in the Liga MX on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Tigres UANL have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Referee Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce averages 3.50 cards a game, 1.26 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.57
X
23%4.10
2
16%5.10
Double Chance
1X
84%1.13
X2
40%2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.75
No
47%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.03 + 0.91 = 2.94
Over 1.5
77%1.22
Over 2.5
55%1.74
Over 3.5
34%2.75
Under 1.5
23%3.95
Under 2.5
45%2.06
Under 3.5
66%1.39
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.5 = 10.4
Over 8.5
65%1.29
Over 9.5
54%1.53
Over 10.5
44%1.90
Under 8.5
35%3.05
Under 9.5
46%2.27
Under 10.5
56%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.67
Over 4.5
42%2.10
Under 3.5
39%2.10
Under 4.5
58%1.67

Match Events

18'Alejandro OrganistaFoul
45'Juan Vigón INCesar Araujo out
45'Carlos Baltazar INOscar Villa out
49'Penalty confirmedFacundo Almada
54'Juan Brunetta(Penalty)
68'Brayan Garnica INOmar Moreno out
69'Ignacio Maestro INL. Hernández out
74'Jonathan Herrera INDiego Lainez out
83'José Pachuca INIker Moreno out
87'Guillermo Martinez INRicardo Monreal out
87'Diego Sánchez INAntonio de María y Campos Moreno out
90'Fernando Monarrez INHeriberto Jurado out
90+3'Mauro Laínez INVladimir Loroña out

Lineups

Tigres UANL
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Vucetich
Puebla
4-2-3-1Coach: Gerardo Espinoza
Avg rating6.62
Avg rating6.50
N. Guzmán6.71N. Guzmán
D. Sánchez6.230D. Sánchez
Joaquim6.328Joaquim
R. Guerrero6.833R. Guerrero
M. Laínez7.019M. Laínez
A. Franco6.915A. Franco
F. Gorriarán7.08F. Gorriarán
O. Herrera6.077O. Herrera
J. Vigón6.66J. Vigón
J. Brunetta7.811J. Brunetta
G. Martínez6.422G. Martínez
R. Gutiérrez6.928R. Gutiérrez
J. Pachuca6.720J. Pachuca
F. Almada6.85F. Almada
J. Vargas7.04J. Vargas
F. Monárrez6.67F. Monárrez
A. Organista6.724A. Organista
S. Sanabria6.521S. Sanabria
B. Garnica6.027B. Garnica
M. Tomás6.610M. Tomás
C. Baltazar6.422C. Baltazar
I. Maestro Puch6.219I. Maestro Puch

Tigres UANL Substitutes

25F. Rodríguez
32V. Loroña90+3'for Mauro Laínez6.6
184I. Aceves
26F. Ordóñez
5C. Araújo45'for Juan Vigón6.1
16D. Lainez74'for Jonathan Herrera6.4
29J. Contreras
21R. Monreal87'for Guillermo Martinez6.5
205A. de María y Campos87'for Diego Sánchez6.5
192E. J. Villavicencio Avila

Puebla Substitutes

15Ó. Villa45'for Carlos Baltazar5.8
2Á. Leyva
25H. Jurado90'for Fernando Monarrez6.3
16A. Ramírez
8O. Moreno68'for Brayan Garnica6.5
3A. Herrera
12I. Moreno83'for José Pachuca6.2
33J. Rodríguez
34Lucas Camilo
9L. Hernández69'for Ignacio Maestro6.7

Match Stats

Tigres UANLPuebla
56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks0
0Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal7
8Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots2
7Fouls9
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
495Total Passes392
424Passes Accurate311
6Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

Tigres UANLTigres UANL
PueblaPuebla
1634Elo Rating 1515
0.98Attack 0.39
1.56Defense 2.27
36%Hit Rate 0%
14.7Shots per Game 12.1
6.2Shots on Target 3.3
8.8Corners per Game 4.0
0.6Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+120 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Tigres UANLTigres UANL
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PueblaPuebla
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Tigres UANLTigres UANL6Wins · 60%
Draws330%
PueblaPuebla1Wins · 10%
2.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX05/03/2026
PueblaTigres UANL
31
Liga MX09/08/2025
Tigres UANLPuebla
70
Liga MX05/04/2025
PueblaTigres UANL
00
Liga MX06/10/2024
Tigres UANLPuebla
10
Liga MX30/03/2024
PueblaTigres UANL
23
Liga MX04/12/2023
Tigres UANLPuebla
30
Liga MX01/12/2023
PueblaTigres UANL
22
Liga MX02/07/2023
Tigres UANLPuebla
11
Liga MX08/05/2023
Tigres UANLPuebla
10
Liga MX21/04/2023
Tigres UANLPuebla
10

Recent Form

Tigres UANLTigres UANL
4W3D3L
19/09/2026
FC JuarezTigres UANL
20
L
13/09/2026
MonterreyTigres UANL
00
D
06/09/2026
Tigres UANLNecaxa
11
D
30/08/2026
Santos LagunaTigres UANL
00
D
22/08/2026
Tigres UANLAtlante FC
20
W
16/08/2026
AtlasTigres UANL
21
L
12/08/2026
Tigres UANLVancouver Whitecaps
5141
W
08/08/2026
Tigres UANLMinnesota United FC
4020
W
05/08/2026
Tigres UANLReal Salt Lake
6151
W
02/08/2026
Club QueretaroTigres UANL
32
L

Referee Profile

Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce82 matches

3.50Cards per match
3.24Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce3.50
Other referees4.76

3.50 cards a match, 1.26 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.76).

Cards come from 34 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1283132:16+1627WWDWD
2TolucaToluca1465329:19+1023DDDLD
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1365220:12+823WDDLD
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul1372429:22+723WWDDL
5Club LeonClub Leon1464421:18+322WDLWD
6AtlasAtlas1363421:23-221LWDWD
7MonterreyMonterrey1262423:17+620WWDLW
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1262416:15+120LLWWD
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1361619:16+319WWWWW
10Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1454519:22-319WWDLW
11Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1245317:16+117DDDLD
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1344519:22-316LWDLD
13PueblaPuebla1344513:17-416LDDLD
14Tigres UANLTigres UANL1335514:18-414LDWWL
15Atlante FCAtlante FC1435614:20-614LWLLW
16CF PachucaCF Pachuca1334620:18+213LLDLD
17NecaxaNecaxa1424816:27-1110DLLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1412119:33-245DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1232:1627
2TolucaToluca1429:1923
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1320:1223
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul1329:2223
5Club LeonClub Leon1421:1822
6AtlasAtlas1321:2321
7MonterreyMonterrey1223:1720
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1216:1520
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1319:1619
10Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1419:2219
11Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1217:1617
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1319:2216
13PueblaPuebla1313:1716
14Tigres UANLTigres UANL1314:1814
15Atlante FCAtlante FC1414:2014
16CF PachucaCF Pachuca1320:1813
17NecaxaNecaxa1416:2710
18FC JuarezFC Juarez149:335
Promotion

About the Tigres UANL vs Puebla forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tigres UANL and Puebla in the Liga MX table

Puebla and Tigres UANL are close in the Liga MX table, 13th and 14th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Tigres UANL 14-18, Puebla 13-17. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.