Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş Prediction

Trabzonspor
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Beşiktaş
Papara Park, Trabzon·Cihan Aydin, Türkiye 19/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel40%SurpriseHighGap-3.1%
Trabzonspor Rest
4 days
Beşiktaş Rest
3 days

Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş: the result in context

Trabzonspor beat Beşiktaş 2-0 in the Süper Lig on 19 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7. Referee Cihan Aydin averages 4.20 cards a game, 0.61 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.42
X
26%3.72
2
34%2.57
Double Chance
1X
66%1.46
X2
60%1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.44
No
37%2.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.65 + 1.3 = 2.95
Over 1.5
82%1.14
Over 2.5
60%1.50
Over 3.5
39%2.30
Under 1.5
18%5.25
Under 2.5
40%2.40
Under 3.5
61%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.9 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.37
Over 9.5
56%1.67
Over 10.5
45%2.09
Under 8.5
33%2.75
Under 9.5
44%2.07
Under 10.5
55%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.8 = 5.5
Over 3.5
79%-
Over 4.5
63%-
Under 3.5
21%-
Under 4.5
37%-

Match Events

21'O. Tufan
32'F. MirettiRoughing
33'FabinhoTripping
60'E. TopcuHolding
63'O. Tufan INT. Jabol-Folcarelli out
71'M. SalahAssist: Franculino
77'F. Miretti INK. Ouattara out
77'V. Cerny INOh Hyeon-Gyu out
77'R. Yilmaz INI. Fakili out
81'A. Simsir INN. Saviolo out
85'I. FakiliHolding
85'J. Olaitan INW. Ndidi out
88'Franculino INU. Nayir out
89'E. Muci INC. Ozkacar out
90'S. Ozcan INK. Kayra Yilmaz out
90'K. OuattaraHolding

Lineups

Trabzonspor
4-2-3-1
Beşiktaş
4-1-4-1
Avg rating7.17
Avg rating6.79
André Onana7.924A. Onana
Wagner Pina6.920W. Pina
Chibuike Nwaiwu7.627C. Nwaiwu
Stefan SavićC7.315S. Savić
Sidny Lopes Cabral6.955S. Lopes Cabral
Ozan Tufan7.211O. Tufan
Fabinho6.36Fabinho
Mohamed Salah7.610M. Salah
Ernest Muçi6.77E. Muçi
Aral Şimşir7.758A. Şimşir
Franculino Djú7.39F. Djú
Alexander Nübel7.21A. Nübel
Amir Murillo6.362A. Murillo
Emmanuel Agbadou7.312E. Agbadou
Emirhan Topçu7.353E. Topçu
Rıdvan YılmazC6.933R. Yılmaz
Salih Özcan7.06S. Özcan
Václav Černý6.318V. Černý
Junior Olaitan6.715J. Olaitan
Fabio Miretti6.721F. Miretti
Leandro Trossard7.319L. Trossard
Dušan Vlahović6.528D. Vlahović

Trabzonspor Substitutes

96Erol Can Çolak
1Ahmet Doğan Yıldırım
4Samet Akaydın
81Mustafa Kuzey Akcay
39Cenk Özkaçar89'for E. Muci
26Tim Jabol-Folcarelli63'for O. Tufan6.6
77Metehan Mimaroğlu
70Noah Saviolo81'for A. Simsir
99Ali Habeşoğlu
14Umut Nayir88'for Franculino

Beşiktaş Substitutes

80Doğan Alemdar
35Tiago Djaló
22Taylan Bulut
50Ümit Akdağ
11Kassoum Ouattara77'for F. Miretti90'6.7
8Kartal Kayra Yılmaz90'for S. Ozcan
4Wilfred Ndidi85'for J. Olaitan
29İlhan Fakılı77'for R. Yilmaz85'6.5
9Hyeon-gyu Oh77'for V. Cerny6.3
17Ernest Poku

Match Stats

TrabzonsporBeşiktaş
38%Ball Possession62%
4Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards4
13Total Shots19
8Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal9
11Shots Inside Box10
2Shots Outside Box9
2Blocked Shots3
11Fouls17
2Offsides5
7Goalkeeper Saves6
291Total Passes474
221Passes Accurate409
76%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

TrabzonsporTrabzonspor
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
1843Elo Rating 1830
2.84Attack 1.74
2.61Defense 1.02
100%Hit Rate 36%
13.4Shots per Game 15.0
6.5Shots on Target 5.2
4.7Corners per Game 4.7
2.4Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.95 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Home Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

TrabzonsporTrabzonspor
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

TrabzonsporTrabzonspor2Wins · 20%
Draws550%
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş3Wins · 30%
3.0Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Süper Lig09/05/2026
BeşiktaşTrabzonspor
12
Süper Lig14/12/2025
TrabzonsporBeşiktaş
33
Süper Lig15/02/2025
BeşiktaşTrabzonspor
21
Süper Lig15/09/2024
TrabzonsporBeşiktaş
11
Türkiye Kupası23/05/2024
BeşiktaşTrabzonspor
32
Süper Lig04/02/2024
BeşiktaşTrabzonspor
20
Süper Lig17/09/2023
TrabzonsporBeşiktaş
30
Süper Lig16/04/2023
TrabzonsporBeşiktaş
00
Süper Lig16/10/2022
BeşiktaşTrabzonspor
22
Süper Lig03/04/2022
TrabzonsporBeşiktaş
11

Referee Profile

Cihan Aydin134 matches

4.20Cards per match
4.00Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
27.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Cihan Aydin4.20
Other referees4.81

4.20 cards a match, 0.61 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.81).

Cards come from 117 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Süper Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AmedAmed962120:10+1020WWDWW
2GalatasarayGalatasaray861117:11+619WWLWW
3FenerbahçeFenerbahçe851222:6+1616WWWDL
4TrabzonsporTrabzonspor851218:5+1316WWWLW
5KasımpaşaKasımpaşa944113:9+416WWLDW
6BeşiktaşBeşiktaş850316:10+615LWLWW
7KocaelisporKocaelispor950411:9+215WLLWL
8Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK94238:12-414WWDWL
9Çorum FKÇorum FK841318:13+513WWLWW
10AlanyasporAlanyaspor93339:11-212LLDWD
11BaşakşehirBaşakşehir832312:12011WDWLL
12RizesporRizespor83148:11-310LLDWL
13GöztepeGöztepe823317:16+19WWDDL
14KonyasporKonyaspor92256:9-38WLDDW
15Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK92259:15-68LLLLD
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.92257:18-118LLDLL
17SamsunsporSamsunspor91178:21-134LLLLL
18EyüpsporEyüpspor91082:23-213LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AmedAmed920:1020
2GalatasarayGalatasaray817:1119
3FenerbahçeFenerbahçe822:616
4TrabzonsporTrabzonspor818:516
5KasımpaşaKasımpaşa913:916
6BeşiktaşBeşiktaş816:1015
7KocaelisporKocaelispor911:915
8Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK98:1214
9Çorum FKÇorum FK818:1313
10AlanyasporAlanyaspor99:1112
11BaşakşehirBaşakşehir812:1211
12RizesporRizespor88:1110
13GöztepeGöztepe817:169
14KonyasporKonyaspor96:98
15Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK99:158
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.97:188
17SamsunsporSamsunspor98:214
18EyüpsporEyüpspor92:233
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş forecast

As a derby, this Süper Lig meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş in the Süper Lig table

Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş are close in the Süper Lig table, 4th and 6th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Trabzonspor 18-5, Beşiktaş 16-10. The full standings are on the Süper Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Trabzonspor have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.