Treaty United vs Longford Town Prediction

Markets Field, Limerick 31/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.47
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+2.7%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.47
SignalGOODModel34%SurpriseHighGap+10.6%
Treaty United Rest
7 days
Longford Town Rest
6 days

Treaty United vs Longford Town: the result in context

Longford Town beat Treaty United 1-0 in the First Division on 31 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%2.38
X
24%3.15
2
47%2.72
Double Chance
1X
53%1.38
X2
71%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.69
No
56%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.26
Over 2.5
38%1.92
Over 3.5
19%3.14
Under 1.5
36%3.28
Under 2.5
62%1.81
Under 3.5
81%1.29
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

25'D. Murtagh
27'D. McKenna
34'K. Cantwell
49'P. Manuel
55'R. Manning INR. Lawlor out
56'C. Conroy
72'A. Paraschiv INM. Harris out
73'D. Williams INS. Ugbesia out
73'M. Byrne INE. Yoro out
73'C. Conroy INS. Healy out
84'M. Murphy INB. Cunningham out
86'P. Manuel INS. Brady out
90+7'D. Murtagh

Team Comparison

Treaty UnitedTreaty United
Longford TownLongford Town
1384Elo Rating 1444
1.33Attack 1.20
1.54Defense 1.63
66%Hit Rate 37%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Treaty UnitedTreaty United
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
Longford TownLongford Town
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Treaty UnitedTreaty United4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
Longford TownLongford Town5Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

First Division29/05/2026
Longford TownTreaty United
31
First Division03/04/2026
Treaty UnitedLongford Town
00
First Division05/10/2025
Treaty UnitedLongford Town
12
First Division09/08/2025
Longford TownTreaty United
20
First Division23/05/2025
Treaty UnitedLongford Town
51
First Division29/03/2025
Longford TownTreaty United
20
First Division27/09/2024
Treaty UnitedLongford Town
31
First Division10/08/2024
Longford TownTreaty United
14
First Division31/05/2024
Treaty UnitedLongford Town
10
First Division13/05/2024
Longford TownTreaty United
21

Recent Form

Treaty UnitedTreaty United
3W2D5L
24/07/2026
Treaty UnitedAthlone Town
21
W
17/07/2026
Treaty UnitedUCD
12
L
10/07/2026
Finn HarpsTreaty United
01
W
03/07/2026
Treaty UnitedKerry
21
W
26/06/2026
WexfordTreaty United
00
D
19/06/2026
Cork CityTreaty United
40
L
12/06/2026
Treaty UnitedBray Wanderers
22
D
29/05/2026
Longford TownTreaty United
31
L
25/05/2026
Treaty UnitedCork City
01
L
22/05/2026
Treaty UnitedCobh Ramblers
12
L
Longford TownLongford Town
5W1D4L
25/07/2026
Longford TownWexford
12
L
18/07/2026
Baldoyle UnitedLongford Town
08
W
10/07/2026
Cork CityLongford Town
34
W
04/07/2026
Longford TownUCD
21
W
26/06/2026
KerryLongford Town
21
L
19/06/2026
Bray WanderersLongford Town
52
L
13/06/2026
Longford TownCobh Ramblers
21
W
29/05/2026
Longford TownTreaty United
31
W
22/05/2026
Finn HarpsLongford Town
22
D
16/05/2026
Longford TownCork City
02
L

League Table

First Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cork CityCork City36236774:35+3975DWLLW
2UCDUCD361681267:51+1656WDWLL
3Bray WanderersBray Wanderers361591267:53+1454LDLWW
4Kerry FCKerry FC3614101245:41+452WWDLL
5Longford TownLongford Town3614101249:46+352WDDWW
6Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers361471546:54-849LLWDL
7Athlone TownAthlone Town361391442:43-148LLWDW
8WexfordWexford361191644:58-1442LDDLW
9Treaty UnitedTreaty United361191637:53-1642WWLWL
10Finn HarpsFinn Harps36772233:70-3728WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cork CityCork City3674:3575
2UCDUCD3667:5156
3Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3667:5354
4Kerry FCKerry FC3645:4152
5Longford TownLongford Town3649:4652
6Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3646:5449
7Athlone TownAthlone Town3642:4348
8WexfordWexford3644:5842
9Treaty UnitedTreaty United3637:5342
10Finn HarpsFinn Harps3633:7028

About the Treaty United vs Longford Town forecast

The forecasts for this First Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Treaty United and Longford Town in the First Division table

In the First Division table, Longford Town are 5th and Treaty United 9th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Treaty United 37-53, Longford Town 49-46. The full standings are on the First Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.