Villarreal vs Napoli Prediction
World · League Stage - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.34
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseHighGap-5.3%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.52
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+5.4%
Villarreal Rest
3 days
Napoli Rest
3 days
Villarreal vs Napoli: the result in context
Villarreal beat Napoli 3-1 in the UEFA Champions League on 13 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
140%2.10
X29%3.70
231%3.40
Double Chance
1X69%1.34
X260%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes58%1.55
No42%2.35
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1.59 = 2.94
Over 1.579%1.18
Over 2.556%1.67
Over 3.534%2.62
Under 1.521%4.45
Under 2.544%2.22
Under 3.566%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 5 = 10.2
Over 8.561%1.52
Over 9.551%1.90
Over 10.537%2.37
Under 8.539%2.45
Under 9.549%1.90
Under 10.563%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.562%1.50
Over 4.543%2.03
Under 3.538%2.52
Under 4.557%1.73
Match Events
8'Amir Rrahmani
23'Georges Mikautadze
26'Álvaro Santiago Mouriño GonzálezAssist: Gerard Moreno
33'Georges MikautadzeFoul
55'Giovane Santana Do NascimentoFoul
60'Scott McTominay INLeonardo Spinazzola out
60'Giovane Santana Do Nascimento INNoa Lang out
61'Matteo Politano INDavid Neres out
62'Kevin De BruyneFoul
63'Georges Mikautadze INAlex Freeman out
63'Gerard Moreno INTani Oluwaseyi out
67'Nathan-Dylan SalibaDissent
68'Alberto Moleiro INJuan Foyth out
72'Billy Gilmour INStanislav Lobotka out
72'Rafael Marin Zamora INLorenzo Lucca out
83'Santi Comesaña INAyoze Pérez out
84'Pape Gueye INSergi Cardona Bermúdez out
85'Giovanni Di LorenzoFoul
86'Tani OluwaseyiAssist: Ayoze Pérez
Lineups
VillarrealNapoli
3-4-2-1Coach: M. AllegriAvg ratingAvg rating
1L. Júnior
15S. Mouriño
6P. Navarro
12R. Veiga
20C. Romero
24N. Saliba
14S. Comesaña
18P. Gueye
10A. Moleiro
7G. Moreno
9G. Mikautadze
32V. Milinković-Savić
16R. Marín
13A. Rrahmani
5B. Badiashile
21M. Politano
6B. Gilmour
8S. McTominay
22G. Di Lorenzo
11K. De Bruyne
23Giovane
19R. HøjlundVillarreal Substitutes
13Rubén Gómez
3A. Freeman63'for Georges Mikautadze
8J. Foyth68'for Alberto Moleiro
27N. El Jmili
5A. Diatta
2Logan Costa
23Sergi Cardona84'for Pape Gueye
11Ilias Akhomach
16C. Macia
21T. Oluwaseyi63'for Gerard Moreno86'
22Ayoze Pérez83'for Santi Comesaña
28Joselillo Gaitán
Napoli Substitutes
37L. Spinazzola60'for Scott McTominay
20L. Lucca72'for Rafael Marin Zamora
1A. Meret
31S. Beukema
14N. Contini
7David Neres61'for Matteo Politano
70N. Lang60'for Giovane Santana Do Nascimento
68S. Lobotka72'for Billy Gilmour
Match Stats
VillarrealNapoli 52%Ball Possession48%
4Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box10
9Shots Outside Box1
6Blocked Shots2
8Fouls15
3Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves1
493Total Passes444
418Passes Accurate369
85%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
VillarrealNapoli1780Elo Rating 1829
1.82Attack 1.91
1.42Defense 1.24
34%Hit Rate 44%
16.9Shots per Game 18.3
5.4Shots on Target 7.1
5.1Corners per Game 5.8
1.9Cards per Game 1.7
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.95 goals
📈BTTS Trend
Game State Tendencies
Villarreal- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Napoli- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
Villarreal3W2D5L
10/10/2026
Real MadridVillarrealVillarreal
Levante
MalagaVillarrealVillarreal
Real Betis
Borussia DortmundVillarrealVillarreal
Deportivo La Coruna
AlavesVillarreal
Atletico MadridVillarreal
Racing SantanderVillarreal
Real MadridVillarreal10
L20/09/2026VillarrealLevante31
W17/09/2026MalagaVillarreal13
W14/09/2026VillarrealReal Betis12
L08/09/2026Borussia DortmundVillarreal32
L05/09/2026VillarrealDeportivo La Coruna23
L28/08/2026AlavesVillarreal10
L23/08/2026Atletico MadridVillarreal22
D16/08/2026Racing SantanderVillarreal22
D08/08/2026
GalatasarayVillarreal
GalatasarayVillarreal12
WNapoli5W2D3L
10/10/2026Napoli
Frosinone
FiorentinaNapoliNapoli
BolognaNapoli
Arsenal
InterNapoliNapoli
Como
GenoaNapoli
NapoliFrosinone30
W20/09/2026FiorentinaNapoli11
D13/09/2026NapoliBologna10
W09/09/2026NapoliArsenal01
L05/09/2026InterNapoli32
L30/08/2026NapoliComo12
L22/08/2026GenoaNapoli02
W12/08/2026Napoli
Aris Thessalonikis
NapoliAris Thessalonikis62
W08/08/2026Napoli
Celta Vigo
NapoliCelta Vigo11
D05/08/2026Napoli
Osasuna
NapoliOsasuna21
WReferee Profile
4.48Cards per match
4.31Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.48 cards a match, 0.28 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.20).
Cards come from 243 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 7 | DWW |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 6 | LWW |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 6 | WLW |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 6 | WLW |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 5 | DDW |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 | WLD |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | LWD |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 3 | LWL |
| 20 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 21 | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 25 |  Sabah FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 | LWL |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 | LWL |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 28 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LLW |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 | DLD |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 | Manchester United | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 | Inter | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 | Sabah FC | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Champions League
Bracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
VikingAEK Athens FC
CelticLask Linz
Union St. GilloiseBodo/Glimt
Olympiakos Piraeus
NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Praha
LyonSlovan Bratislava
Mjallby AIF
Aarhus
Lech PoznanFenerbahçe
Gornik Zabrze
FC Thun
Dinamo Zagreb
Sturm Graz
Heart Of Midlothian
FK Crvena Zvezda
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Omonia Nicosia
CeljeVikingAEK Athens FCCelticLask LinzUnion St. GilloiseBodo/GlimtOlympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenSparta PrahaLyonVikingAEK Athens FCCelticLask LinzVikingAEK Athens FCCelticLask LinzUnion St. GilloiseBodo/GlimtOlympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenSparta PrahaLyonSlovan BratislavaMjallby AIFAarhusLech PoznanFenerbahçeGornik ZabrzeFC ThunDinamo ZagrebSturm GrazHeart Of MidlothianFK Crvena ZvezdaHapoel Beer ShevaOmonia NicosiaCeljeExplore more predictions
This match
About the Villarreal vs Napoli forecast
This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Villarreal and Napoli in the UEFA Champions League table
In the UEFA Champions League table, Villarreal (19th) and Napoli (22nd) are level on 3 points. League goal record so far: Villarreal 8-8, Napoli 5-7. The full standings are on the UEFA Champions League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Napoli have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Villarreal and Napoli have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.