Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction

Weser-Stadion, Bremen·Robert Schroder 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-7.8%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+3.7%
Werder Bremen Rest
7 days
SC Paderborn 07 Rest
7 days

Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: result, form and history

Werder Bremen and SC Paderborn 07 drew 2-2 in the Bundesliga on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 5 previous meetings averaged 4.2 goals, and both sides scored in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.78
X
26%4.15
2
26%4.20
Double Chance
1X
74%1.22
X2
52%2.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.50
No
37%2.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 1.36 = 2.88
Over 1.5
82%1.14
Over 2.5
63%1.50
Over 3.5
41%2.27
Under 1.5
18%5.25
Under 2.5
37%2.50
Under 3.5
59%1.65
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.1 = 9.8
Over 8.5
62%1.53
Over 9.5
51%1.91
Over 10.5
40%2.40
Under 8.5
38%2.33
Under 9.5
49%1.85
Under 10.5
60%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.4 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%1.73
Over 4.5
43%2.20
Under 3.5
38%2.00
Under 4.5
57%1.62

Match Events

4'Stefano MarinoFoul
18'Stefano MarinoAssist: Steffen Tigges
30'Steffen Tigges
45'Iván San José Cantalejo INMitchell Weiser out
59'Niclas FüllkrugAssist: Eren Dinkci
63'Eren Dinkci INCédric Itten out
65'Niclas Füllkrug(Penalty)
66'Laurin Ulrich INTom Baack out
66'Stefano Marino INRayan Philippe out
75'Gabriel Vidović INRuben Müller out
75'Steffen Tigges INMarvin Pieringer out
79'Ludovit Reis INDariusz Stalmach out
86'Youri RegeerFoul
88'Youri Regeer INPaul Erevbenagie out
88'Mattes Hansen INJonah Sticker out

Lineups

Werder Bremen
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Thioune
SC Paderborn 07
3-1-4-2Coach: R. Kettemann
Avg rating6.67
Avg rating6.75
K. Hein5.81K. Hein
Arthur6.213Arthur
A. Pieper7.05A. Pieper
M. Friedl6.832M. Friedl
O. Deman7.02O. Deman
L. Reis6.215L. Reis
Y. Regeer7.244Y. Regeer
E. Dinkçi7.718E. Dinkçi
Chuky San José6.020C. San José
M. Grüll6.517M. Grüll
N. Füllkrug8.210N. Füllkrug
N. Noll8.315N. Noll
J. ter Horst6.421J. ter Horst
T. Scheller7.125T. Scheller
M. Hansen6.922M. Hansen
S. Castañeda6.45S. Castañeda
L. Curda6.117L. Curda
L. Ulrich6.328L. Ulrich
G. Vidović6.240G. Vidović
R. Obermair6.523R. Obermair
S. Marino7.730S. Marino
S. Tigges8.127S. Tigges

Werder Bremen Substitutes

38P. Erevbenagie88'for Youri Regeer6.5
26C. Itten63'for Eren Dinkci6.4
30A. Schlager
33Mick Schmetgens
34D. Soylu
23Dariusz Stalmach79'for Ludovit Reis6.1
4N. Stark
8M. Weiser45'for Iván San José Cantalejo6.4
3O. Wójcik

SC Paderborn 07 Substitutes

9R. Philippe66'for Stefano Marino6.5
18M. Pieringer75'for Steffen Tigges6.5
1M. Schubert
3Jonah Benedict Sticker88'for Mattes Hansen6.3
38D. Zeitler
2Ruben Müller75'for Gabriel Vidović6.6
11S. Michel
29C. Lippmann
6T. Baack66'for Laurin Ulrich6.2

Match Stats

Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
61%Ball Possession39%
5Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
18Total Shots11
11Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal5
13Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots2
11Fouls14
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves9
628Total Passes399
536Passes Accurate317
13Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Werder BremenWerder Bremen
SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
1731Elo Rating 1696
2.17Attack 1.12
1.31Defense 1.17
34%Hit Rate 19%
15.3Shots per Game 14.6
7.8Shots on Target 3.9
3.5Corners per Game 4.8
1.2Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Werder BremenWerder Bremen
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.1 in first half)
SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Werder BremenWerder Bremen2Wins · 40%
Draws240%
SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 071Wins · 20%
4.2Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored4 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs08/08/2026
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
22
DFB Pokal30/10/2024
SC Paderborn 07Werder Bremen
01
DFB Pokal19/10/2022
SC Paderborn 07Werder Bremen
5242
2. Bundesliga22/01/2022
SC Paderborn 07Werder Bremen
34
2. Bundesliga15/08/2021
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
14

Recent Form

Werder BremenWerder Bremen
6W3D1L
09/10/2026
Borussia DortmundWerder Bremen
22
D
19/09/2026
Werder BremenFC Augsburg
32
W
12/09/2026
1. FC KölnWerder Bremen
11
D
05/09/2026
Werder BremenRB Leipzig
31
W
30/08/2026
SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
41
L
22/08/2026
Lüneburger SK HansaWerder Bremen
03
W
08/08/2026
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
22
D
01/08/2026
Energie CottbusWerder Bremen
24
W
25/07/2026
Werder BremenVfL Bochum
20
W
22/07/2026
Werder BremenFagiano Okayama
20
W
SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
5W2D3L
10/10/2026
SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart
02
L
01/10/2026
DC UnitedSC Paderborn 07
01
W
20/09/2026
SC Paderborn 071899 Hoffenheim
31
W
12/09/2026
Borussia DortmundSC Paderborn 07
30
L
05/09/2026
SC Paderborn 07SC Freiburg
01
L
29/08/2026
FSV Mainz 05SC Paderborn 07
00
D
23/08/2026
Phönix LübeckSC Paderborn 07
24
W
08/08/2026
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
22
D
01/08/2026
VfL OsnabrückSC Paderborn 07
02
W
25/05/2026
SC Paderborn 07VfL Wolfsburg
2111
W

Referee Profile

Robert Schroder139 matches

4.36Cards per match
4.17Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Robert Schroder4.35
Other referees4.22

4.35 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.22).

Cards come from 133 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bayern MünchenBayern München642022:5+1714WDWWD
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund642011:4+714DDWWW
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg641115:6+913LWDWW
4Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen641116:9+713WWWDW
5FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05631214:10+410WLWLW
6SV ElversbergSV Elversberg631212:11+110WLDLW
7RB LeipzigRB Leipzig630316:11+59LWLWL
8Werder BremenWerder Bremen623112:1209DDWDW
9Hamburger SVHamburger SV63036:15-99WWWLL
10FC AugsburgFC Augsburg622216:12+48LDLDW
11Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt622210:16-68WLDWL
121. FC Köln1. FC Köln62138:11-37LWLDL
13VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart62048:10-26LWLLW
141899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim620411:14-36WLLWL
15FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0461234:7-35LLDWD
16SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0761235:9-45DLWLL
17Union BerlinUnion Berlin61235:17-125DWLLL
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach60068:20-120LLLLL
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Werder Bremen and SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga table

In the Bundesliga table, Werder Bremen are 8th and SC Paderborn 07 16th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Werder Bremen 12-12, SC Paderborn 07 5-9. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.