Wolves vs Watford Prediction

Wolves
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Watford
Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton·Bobby Madley 24/10/2026
WolvesWolves
1-0
Finished
WatfordWatford

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap-4.1%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.39
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Wolves Rest
3 days
Watford Rest
7 days

Wolves vs Watford: the result in context

Wolves beat Watford 1-0 in the Championship on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 1. Wolves tend to win more corners, 8.7 a game to 3.3 for Watford.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
69%1.39
X
18%4.75
2
13%7.50
Double Chance
1X
87%1.07
X2
31%2.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.83
No
50%1.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.1 + 0.76 = 2.86
Over 1.5
80%1.20
Over 2.5
58%1.65
Over 3.5
36%2.62
Under 1.5
20%4.35
Under 2.5
42%2.20
Under 3.5
64%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.2 + 3.4 = 10.6
Over 8.5
71%1.34
Over 9.5
60%1.62
Over 10.5
48%2.01
Under 8.5
29%2.93
Under 9.5
40%2.19
Under 10.5
52%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.6 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%1.66
Over 4.5
43%2.29
Under 3.5
38%2.13
Under 4.5
57%1.58

Match Events

35'Adam Armstrong
41'Kieran TrippierDissent
41'Iker BravoDissent
49'Hector KyprianouFoul
61'Rafiki Said Ahamada INMateus Mane out
61'Marc Bola INJordan Zemura out
62'Krépin Diatta INOthmane Maamma out
72'Luca Kjerrumgaard INMamadou Doumbia out
72'Myron Boadu INMartin Payero out
74'Jordan ZemuraFoul
78'Jordan James INThomas Doyle out
78'Adam Armstrong INTawanda Chirewa out
79'Thomas DoyleFoul
85'Iker Bravo INRocco Vata out
87'Hugo BuenoFoul
88'José SáArgument
90+1'Hugo Bueno INToti Gomes out
90+1'Jean-Ricner Bellegarde INSean Neave out

Lineups

Wolves
4-2-3-1Coach: César Peixoto
Watford
5-3-2Coach: A. Dionisi
Avg rating7.06
Avg rating6.26
José Sá6.51J. Sá
K. Trippier7.42K. Trippier
Y. Mosquera8.015Y. Mosquera
L. Krejčí7.737L. Krejčí
Hugo Bueno7.33H. Bueno
André7.27André
M. Munetsi6.35M. Munetsi
J. Bellegarde7.227J. Bellegarde
J. James6.58J. James
R. Saïd6.719R. Saïd
A. Armstrong8.010A. Armstrong
F. Ravaglia5.71F. Ravaglia
M. Bola6.216M. Bola
K. Keben6.14K. Keben
M. Pollock6.16M. Pollock
Branimir Mlačić6.529B. Mlačić
K. Diatta6.815K. Diatta
E. Kayembe6.339E. Kayembe
H. Kyprianou6.75H. Kyprianou
Iker Bravo6.017I. Bravo
M. Boadu6.410M. Boadu
L. Kjerrumgaard6.29L. Kjerrumgaard

Wolves Substitutes

23T. Chirewa78'for Adam Armstrong6.2
20T. Doyle78'for Jordan James79'6.8
28Fer López
36M. Mane61'for Rafiki Said Ahamada7.1
14S. Neave90+1'for Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
62L. Rawlings
38J. Tchatchoua
24Toti Gomes90+1'for Hugo Bueno
13João Virgínia

Watford Substitutes

11R. Vata85'for Iker Bravo6.6
33J. Zemura61'for Marc Bola74'6.0
23O. Traoré
22M. Payero72'for Myron Boadu6.4
21Amin Nabizada
45S. Mavididi
7O. Maamma62'for Krépin Diatta5.9
20M. Doumbia72'for Luca Kjerrumgaard6.3
26D. Bachmann

Match Stats

WolvesWatford
63%Ball Possession37%
14Corner Kicks2
4Yellow Cards3
24Total Shots4
3Shots on Goal0
11Shots off Goal3
16Shots Inside Box2
8Shots Outside Box2
10Blocked Shots1
12Fouls11
1Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves3
485Total Passes310
402Passes Accurate221
11Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

WolvesWolves
WatfordWatford
1689Elo Rating 1505
1.05Attack 0.65
1.94Defense 0.95
46%Hit Rate 23%
18.6Shots per Game 12.6
3.6Shots on Target 4.3
8.7Corners per Game 3.3
2.9Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+183 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

WolvesWolves
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
WatfordWatford
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

WolvesWolves2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
WatfordWatford0Wins · 0%
3.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Premier League10/03/2022
WolvesWatford
40
Premier League11/09/2021
WatfordWolves
02
FA Cup07/04/2019
WatfordWolves
3222

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2BirminghamBirmingham1365223:13+1023WLWWW
3Stoke CityStoke City1372420:16+423WDWLW
4SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
5West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
6WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
7West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
8SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
9QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1354417:15+219WDWLW
11BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
12PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
13NorwichNorwich1350823:24-115WWLLL
14MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
15Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
16LincolnLincoln1343614:23-915LWDLL
17CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
18WrexhamWrexham1335515:19-414LLWLD
19BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
20CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
21WatfordWatford1332812:23-1111LLWLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston13121010:27-175LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2BirminghamBirmingham1323:1323
3Stoke CityStoke City1320:1623
4SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
5West HamWest Ham1232:1522
6WolvesWolves1220:1621
7West BromWest Brom1216:1321
8SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
9QPRQPR1220:1220
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1317:1519
11BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
12PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
13NorwichNorwich1323:2415
14MillwallMillwall1219:2015
15Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
16LincolnLincoln1314:2315
17CardiffCardiff1219:1714
18WrexhamWrexham1315:1914
19BoltonBolton1216:2314
20CharltonCharlton1211:1814
21WatfordWatford1312:2311
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1310:275
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About the Wolves vs Watford forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Wolves and Watford in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Wolves are 6th and Watford 21st, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Wolves 20-16, Watford 12-23. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.