Charlton vs Norwich Prediction

Charlton
1-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Norwich
The Valley, London·John Busby 24/10/2026
CharltonCharlton
1-3
Finished
NorwichNorwich

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-8.1%
Charlton Rest
7 days
Norwich Rest
6 days

Charlton vs Norwich: the result in context

Norwich beat Charlton 3-1 in the Championship on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 1.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%3.17
X
26%3.44
2
42%2.17
Double Chance
1X
58%1.64
X2
68%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.67
No
44%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.37 = 2.63
Over 1.5
75%1.28
Over 2.5
51%1.88
Over 3.5
30%3.15
Under 1.5
25%3.60
Under 2.5
49%1.91
Under 3.5
70%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.8 = 9.8
Over 8.5
62%1.44
Over 9.5
50%1.75
Over 10.5
39%2.25
Under 8.5
38%2.53
Under 9.5
50%1.97
Under 10.5
61%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%1.73
Over 4.5
41%2.56
Under 3.5
40%2.00
Under 4.5
59%1.47

Match Events

10'Charlie KelmanAssist: Joe Rankin-Costello
27'Karlan GrantFoul
29'Mathias KvistgaardenFoul
32'Josh EdwardsHandball
35'Paris MaghomaAssist: Mathias Kvistgaarden
45'Pelle Mattsson INKenny McLean out
50'Mathias KvistgaardenAssist: Ruairi McConville
55'Karlan Grant INMiles Leaburn out
55'sonny carey INHarvey Knibbs out
55'Josh Edwards INIvan Mesik out
65'Paris Maghoma INSamuel Field out
69'Harvey KnibbsFoul
75'Andre Brooks INAnthony Musaba out
75'Conor Coventry INAlan Mwamba out
75'Mathias Kvistgaarden INJ. Makama out
76'Ivan MesikOG
78'Ante Crnac
83'Joe Rankin-Costello INMicah Mbick out
88'Oscar Schwartau INDarlin Yongwa out
88'Alan MwambaFoul

Lineups

Charlton
4-2-3-1Coach: N. Jones
Norwich
4-2-3-1Coach: P. Clement
Avg rating5.95
Avg rating6.74
A. Okonkwo6.013A. Okonkwo
K. Ramsay5.82K. Ramsay
L. Jones5.95L. Jones
Billy Dawson Koumetio6.112B. Dawson Koumetio
J. Edwards5.73J. Edwards
C. Coventry5.36C. Coventry
J. Rankin-Costello6.526J. Rankin-Costello
T. Campbell5.97T. Campbell
S. Carey5.914S. Carey
K. Ahearne-Grant5.69K. Ahearne-Grant
C. Kelman7.623C. Kelman
D. Grimshaw6.132D. Grimshaw
J. Stacey6.63J. Stacey
Ruairi McConville7.315R. McConville
H. Darling6.66H. Darling
B. Chrisene6.614B. Chrisene
Jacob Wright6.416J. Wright
P. Mattsson6.97P. Mattsson
A. Brooks6.311A. Brooks
P. Maghoma8.025P. Maghoma
O. Schwartau6.129O. Schwartau
M. Kvistgaarden8.330M. Kvistgaarden

Charlton Substitutes

19M. Alli
17A. Bell
44Tyler Bindon
8H. Knibbs55'for sonny carey69'5.7
11M. Leaburn55'for Karlan Grant6.4
25W. Mannion
33Micah Mbick83'for Joe Rankin-Costello6.2
18I. Mesík55'for Josh Edwards76'5.5
32A. Mwamba75'for Conor Coventry88'5.2

Norwich Substitutes

26S. Field65'for Paris Maghoma6.4
35K. Fisher
1V. Kovačević
24J. Makama75'for Mathias Kvistgaarden6.8
23K. McLean45'for Pelle Mattsson6.5
49A. Musaba75'for Andre Brooks6.2
13D. Yongwa88'for Oscar Schwartau6.9
17A. Crnac78'
33J. Córdoba

Match Stats

CharltonNorwich
38%Ball Possession62%
3Corner Kicks7
4Yellow Cards2
8Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal5
1Shots off Goal7
7Shots Inside Box9
1Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots4
14Fouls9
3Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
280Total Passes467
173Passes Accurate371
9Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

CharltonCharlton
NorwichNorwich
1534Elo Rating 1649
0.97Attack 1.40
0.76Defense 1.41
0%Hit Rate 27%
10.0Shots per Game 12.1
3.6Shots on Target 4.0
3.8Corners per Game 4.0
3.2Cards per Game 1.8

Game State Tendencies

CharltonCharlton
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NorwichNorwich
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

CharltonCharlton0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
NorwichNorwich3Wins · 100%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 3
0%3+ goals0 of 3

Previous meetings

Championship21/03/2026
CharltonNorwich
01
Championship26/12/2025
NorwichCharlton
10
FA Cup09/01/2022
CharltonNorwich
01

Recent Form

CharltonCharlton
1W5D4L
17/10/2026
WatfordCharlton
20
L
13/10/2026
BurnleyCharlton
22
D
10/10/2026
CharltonBristol City
11
D
19/09/2026
CardiffCharlton
31
L
12/09/2026
CharltonPortsmouth
00
D
09/09/2026
CharltonQPR
00
D
05/09/2026
Stoke CityCharlton
40
L
02/09/2026
West BromCharlton
11
D
29/08/2026
CharltonPreston
10
W
26/08/2026
TottenhamCharlton
51
L
NorwichNorwich
3W0D7L
17/10/2026
NorwichPortsmouth
01
L
14/10/2026
NorwichSouthampton
01
L
10/10/2026
SwanseaNorwich
21
L
20/09/2026
NorwichBolton
34
L
17/09/2026
Manchester CityNorwich
50
L
12/09/2026
MiddlesbroughNorwich
43
L
09/09/2026
NorwichBirmingham
21
W
05/09/2026
Sheffield UtdNorwich
13
W
01/09/2026
Stoke CityNorwich
10
L
29/08/2026
NorwichBurnley
41
W

Referee Profile

John Busby200 matches

3.68Cards per match
3.57Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

John Busby3.68
Other referees3.80

3.68 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.80).

Cards come from 197 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
3West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
4WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
5West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
6SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
7BirminghamBirmingham1255220:12+820LWWWD
8QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
9Stoke CityStoke City1262418:16+220DWLWW
10BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
15LincolnLincoln1243513:20-715WDLLL
16CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
17WrexhamWrexham1235415:18-314LWLDW
18BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
19CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
20NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
21WatfordWatford1232710:20-1011LWLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston1212910:25-155DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
3West HamWest Ham1232:1522
4WolvesWolves1220:1621
5West BromWest Brom1216:1321
6SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
7BirminghamBirmingham1220:1220
8QPRQPR1220:1220
9Stoke CityStoke City1218:1620
10BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
15LincolnLincoln1213:2015
16CardiffCardiff1219:1714
17WrexhamWrexham1215:1814
18BoltonBolton1216:2314
19CharltonCharlton1211:1814
20NorwichNorwich1220:2212
21WatfordWatford1210:2011
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1210:255
PromotionRelegation

About the Charlton vs Norwich forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Charlton and Norwich in the Championship table

Charlton and Norwich are close in the Championship table, 19th and 20th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Charlton 11-18, Norwich 20-22. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.