Cardiff vs Birmingham Prediction
England · Regular Season - 12
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Cardiff vs Birmingham: result, form and history
Cardiff beat Birmingham 1-0 in the Championship on 24 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Birmingham had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Cardiff.
Cardiff have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Cardiff
Avg ratingAvg rating
1N. Trott
38P. Ng
2W. Fish
3J. Bagan
23C. Scanlon
18A. Robertson
8J. Moylan
11O. Tanner
27J. Colwill
45C. Ashford
9Y. Salech
1J. Beadle
26B. Osayi-Samuel
5P. Neumann
4C. Klarer
20A. Cochrane
24T. Iwata
14J. Solis
7C. Vicente
28J. Stansfield
17L. Millar
32L. VázquezCardiff Substitutes
Birmingham Substitutes
Match Stats
CardiffBirmingham Team Comparison
CardiffBirminghamAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Cardiff- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
Birmingham- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Cardiff6Wins · 67%1Wins · 11%Previous meetings
10/04/2024BirminghamCardiff13/12/2023CardiffBirmingham
29/08/2023BirminghamCardiff14/02/2023BirminghamCardiff13/08/2022CardiffBirmingham30/04/2022CardiffBirmingham11/12/2021BirminghamCardiff01/05/2021BirminghamCardiff16/12/2020CardiffBirminghamRecent Form
Cardiff
MiddlesbroughCardiffCardiff
Watford
BlackburnCardiffCardiff
Charlton
BoltonCardiffCardiff
Stoke City
PortsmouthCardiff
QPRCardiffCardiff
Sheffield UtdCardiff
NorwichBirminghamBirminghamQPRBirmingham
Preston
West BromBirminghamBirminghamMiddlesbrough
DerbyBirminghamNorwichBirminghamBirmingham
WolvesBirmingham
Southampton
WrexhamBirminghamBirmingham
BrentfordReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.14 cards a match, 0.36 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.78).
Cards come from 200 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27:17 | +10 | 25 | WDWWD |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 23 | LLWWW |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 32:15 | +17 | 22 | LWWDD |
| 4 | Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:16 | +4 | 21 | WDWLL |
| 5 | West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 21 | DWWLL |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:12 | +12 | 20 | WDWWL |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | LWWWD |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | WLWDD |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18:16 | +2 | 20 | DWLWW |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 18 | WLWWD |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 18 | WDWWL |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 16 | DWLWL |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 15 | LDLWD |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 15 | DLLDW |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 15 | WDLLL |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19:17 | +2 | 14 | WDWLW |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 14 | LWLDW |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:23 | -7 | 14 | LDWLW |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:18 | -7 | 14 | LLDDL |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 12 | WLLLL |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 11 | LWLLL |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17:25 | -8 | 8 | LLDWD |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 7 | DLLDD |
| 24 | Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10:25 | -15 | 5 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 | West Ham | 12 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 | Wolves | 12 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 | West Brom | 12 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 12 | 10:25 | 5 |
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This match
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About the Cardiff vs Birmingham forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Cardiff and Birmingham in the Championship table
In the Championship table, Birmingham are 7th and Cardiff 16th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Cardiff 19-17, Birmingham 20-12. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Cardiff have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Birmingham have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.