Lincoln vs Burnley Prediction

Lincoln
4-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Burnley
Sincil Bank, Lincoln·Thomas Parsons 24/10/2026
LincolnLincoln
4-1
Finished
BurnleyBurnley

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.53
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap+1.0%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Over 1.5
1.55
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+4.2%
Lincoln Rest
7 days
Burnley Rest
7 days

Lincoln vs Burnley: result, form and history

Lincoln beat Burnley 4-1 in the Championship on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Burnley tend to win more corners, 4.3 a game to 2.2 for Lincoln.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.74
X
28%3.40
2
35%2.46
Double Chance
1X
65%1.53
X2
63%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.67
No
44%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 1.13 = 2.61
Over 1.5
75%1.28
Over 2.5
51%1.86
Over 3.5
30%3.10
Under 1.5
25%3.50
Under 2.5
49%1.91
Under 3.5
70%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.5 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.50
Over 9.5
54%1.84
Over 10.5
42%2.30
Under 8.5
34%2.50
Under 9.5
46%1.91
Under 10.5
58%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.5
63%1.48
Over 4.5
43%1.91
Under 3.5
37%2.54
Under 4.5
57%1.80

Match Events

13'Armando Broja INAndréas Hountondji out
39'Andréas HountondjiAssist: Lucas Pires Silva
45'Kyle Walker INConnor Roberts out
45+3'Ben HouseAssist: Andrei Coubiș
49'Mikkel Ladefoged
57'Dom Jefferies
59'Dastan Satpaev INOliver Sonne out
67'Mikkel LadefogedAssist: Ben House
67'Grégoire CoudertDissent
73'Ben HouseFoul
74'Max Alleyne INMarcus Edwards out
74'Reo Hatate INUgo Raghouber out
81'Sonny Bradley INRyley Towler out
81'Mikkel Ladefoged INRobert Nicholas Street out
81'Reeco Hackett-Fairchild INChiedozie Ogbene out
84'Marcus Edwards(Penalty missed)
89'Conor McGrandles INIvan Varfolomeev out
89'Dom Jefferies INDaniel Oyegoke out

Lineups

Lincoln
4-2-3-1Coach: Chris Cohen
Burnley
4-2-3-1Coach: N. Hayen
Avg rating6.96
Avg rating5.97
G. Wickens6.71G. Wickens
A. Coubiș7.44A. Coubiș
S. Bradley6.815S. Bradley
D. Elerewe6.825D. Elerewe
A. Reach6.63A. Reach
C. McGrandles6.614C. McGrandles
Y. Konak6.926Y. Konak
R. Hackett6.57R. Hackett
B. House8.218B. House
D. Jefferies8.016D. Jefferies
M. Ladefoged8.611M. Ladefoged
G. Coudert5.537G. Coudert
K. Walker5.92K. Walker
H. Ekdal5.818H. Ekdal
Igor6.044Igor
Lucas Pires5.923L. Pires
Max Alleyne6.43M. Alleyne
R. Hatate5.75R. Hatate
L. Ramazani5.319L. Ramazani
J. Laurent5.129J. Laurent
D. Satpaev5.812D. Satpaev
A. Broja6.327A. Broja

Lincoln Substitutes

8T. Bayliss
20C. Elder
46J. Gauci
27C. Ogbene81'for Reeco Hackett-Fairchild6.5
19I. Olaofe
33D. Oyegoke89'for Dom Jefferies6.2
17R. Street81'for Mikkel Ladefoged7.0
6R. Towler81'for Sonny Bradley6.2
24I. Varfolomeev89'for Conor McGrandles6.4

Burnley Substitutes

8U. Raghouber74'for Reo Hatate6.1
14C. Roberts45'for Kyle Walker6.2
22O. Sonne59'for Dastan Satpaev5.7
1M. Weiß
10M. Edwards74'for Max Alleyne6.4
30L. Castell
17A. Hountondji13'for Armando Broja39'7.5
41G. Brierley
48E. Agyei

Match Stats

LincolnBurnley
61%Ball Possession39%
2Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots8
7Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box7
9Shots Outside Box1
6Blocked Shots1
10Fouls9
3Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
415Total Passes418
333Passes Accurate306
9Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

LincolnLincoln
BurnleyBurnley
1694Elo Rating 1582
1.68Attack 1.69
0.32Defense 0.93
27%Hit Rate 17%
12.5Shots per Game 12.8
3.6Shots on Target 4.4
2.2Corners per Game 4.3
2.6Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+112 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

LincolnLincoln
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BurnleyBurnley
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Referee Profile

Thomas Parsons146 matches

4.39Cards per match
4.24Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
23.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Thomas Parsons4.39
Other referees3.97

4.39 cards a match, 0.42 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.97).

Cards come from 112 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
3West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
4WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
5West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
6SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
7BirminghamBirmingham1255220:12+820LWWWD
8QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
9Stoke CityStoke City1262418:16+220DWLWW
10BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
15LincolnLincoln1243513:20-715WDLLL
16CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
17WrexhamWrexham1235415:18-314LWLDW
18BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
19CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
20NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
21WatfordWatford1232710:20-1011LWLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston1212910:25-155DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
3West HamWest Ham1232:1522
4WolvesWolves1220:1621
5West BromWest Brom1216:1321
6SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
7BirminghamBirmingham1220:1220
8QPRQPR1220:1220
9Stoke CityStoke City1218:1620
10BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
15LincolnLincoln1213:2015
16CardiffCardiff1219:1714
17WrexhamWrexham1215:1814
18BoltonBolton1216:2314
19CharltonCharlton1211:1814
20NorwichNorwich1220:2212
21WatfordWatford1210:2011
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1210:255
PromotionRelegation

About the Lincoln vs Burnley forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lincoln and Burnley in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Lincoln are 15th and Burnley 22nd, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Lincoln 13-20, Burnley 17-25. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Burnley have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Lincoln and Burnley have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.