Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC Prediction

Supra du Quebec
5-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Pacific FC
CEPSUM Stadium 04/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalHIGHModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-6.9%
Supra du Quebec Rest
8 days
Pacific FC Rest
7 days

Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC: the result in context

Supra du Quebec beat Pacific FC 5-0 in the Canadian Premier League on 4 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3. Supra du Quebec tend to win more corners, 5.5 a game to 2.5 for Pacific FC.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.65
X
23%4.00
2
21%4.03
Double Chance
1X
78%1.18
X2
44%2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.44
No
38%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.85 + 1.26 = 3.11
Over 1.5
83%1.10
Over 2.5
64%1.44
Over 3.5
42%2.10
Under 1.5
17%5.63
Under 2.5
36%2.62
Under 3.5
58%1.65
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'Ibrahim CondeAssist: Abzi Diyaeddine
42'Ibrahim CondeFoul
45'Clement Bayiha INOmar El Kalkouli out
50'Loic Adrien Kwemi
57'Abzi Diyaeddine
63'R. Kratt INAlejandro Diaz out
63'Aidan Daniels INMatteo Schiavoni out
67'Matisse ChretienFoul
69'Charles AugusteArgument
72'Card upgrade cancelledCharles Auguste
73'Zachary Brault Guillard INZ. Fernandez out
73'Y. Toualy INM. Vales out
73'Aboubacar Sissoko INS. Mlah out
73'Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt INRoshawn Kadeem Delahaye Juhmi out
78'Matisse ChretienAssist: Sean Rea
81'Loic Adrien Kwemi INThomas Lebeuf out
81'Ibrahim Conde INNoah Lauren Trudel dos Santos out
83'Marco Bustos INDylan Demelo out
90+3'Noah Lauren Trudel dos Santos

Lineups

Supra du Quebec
4-2-3-1
Pacific FC
4-2-3-1Coach: T. Dunfield
Avg rating6.96
Avg rating5.95
J. Milli6.932J. Milli
Z. Brault-Guillard6.415Z. Brault-Guillard
C. Auguste6.32C. Auguste
M. Chretien7.14M. Chretien
D. Abzi7.411D. Abzi
A. Sissoko6.633A. Sissoko
Alessandro Biello7.06A. Biello
C. Bayiha6.912C. Bayiha
S. Rea7.710S. Rea
L. Kwemi8.09L. Kwemi
I. Conde7.499I. Conde
S. Melvin6.855S. Melvin
S. Keshavarz6.634S. Keshavarz
J. Quintana5.85J. Quintana
D. Konincks5.84D. Konincks
C. Greco-Taylor5.215C. Greco-Taylor
T. Gomulka6.516T. Gomulka
L. Browning-Lagerfeldt6.06L. Browning-Lagerfeldt
M. Bustos5.710M. Bustos
A. Daniels5.58A. Daniels
Y. Toualy5.464Y. Toualy
R. Kratt6.227R. Kratt

Supra du Quebec Substitutes

80M. Diop
8O. El Kalkouli45'for Clement Bayiha6.4
3T. Lebeuf81'for Loic Adrien Kwemi6.6
19J. Mcinerney
24S. Mlah73'for Aboubacar Sissoko6.5
23Z. Fernandez73'for Zachary Brault Guillard6.7
92N. Santos81'for Ibrahim Conde90+3'7.6

Pacific FC Substitutes

37M. Vales73'for Y. Toualy5.6
21Matteo Schiavoni63'for Aidan Daniels5.6
1E. Himaras
9A. Díaz63'for R. Kratt6.3
66R. Juhmi73'for Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt6.1
38Dylan Demelo83'replaced by Marco Bustos
12J. Belluz

Match Stats

Supra du QuebecPacific FC
37%Ball Possession63%
5Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards0
22Total Shots4
10Shots on Goal0
8Shots off Goal1
13Shots Inside Box2
9Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots3
17Fouls10
0Goalkeeper Saves5
300Total Passes521
231Passes Accurate421
10Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec
Pacific FCPacific FC
1510Elo Rating 1309
2.48Attack 1.10
1.50Defense 0.00
63%Hit Rate 14%
17.0Shots per Game 9.3
5.8Shots on Target 2.3
5.5Corners per Game 2.5
2.3Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+201 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.12 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Pacific FCPacific FC
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
Pacific FCPacific FC0Wins · 0%
3.3Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored3 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Recent Form

Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec
2W2D6L
26/09/2026
Cavalry FCSupra du Quebec
60
L
20/09/2026
Atlético OttawaSupra du Quebec
02
W
16/09/2026
ForgeSupra du Quebec
10
L
12/09/2026
Supra du QuebecHFX Wanderers FC
02
L
07/09/2026
Vancouver FCSupra du Quebec
32
L
02/09/2026
Supra du QuebecForge
11
D
29/08/2026
Supra du QuebecForge
10
W
23/08/2026
York UnitedSupra du Quebec
11
D
20/08/2026
ForgeSupra du Quebec
32
L
16/08/2026
Supra du QuebecAtlético Ottawa
12
L
Pacific FCPacific FC
2W5D3L

League Table

Canadian Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC28186458:23+3560WWDLL
2ForgeForge28177449:22+2758DWWWD
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa281341142:45-343LLWWW
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec281151247:50-338WWDWW
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC281071139:37+237LWDDD
6York UnitedYork United28791242:65-2330WLLLW
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC28771444:50-628LLDDL
8Pacific FCPacific FC28291733:62-2915DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC2858:2360
2ForgeForge2849:2258
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa2842:4543
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2847:5038
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC2839:3737
6York UnitedYork United2842:6530
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC2844:5028
8Pacific FCPacific FC2833:6215

About the Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC forecast

The forecasts for this Canadian Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Supra du Quebec and Pacific FC in the Canadian Premier League table

In the Canadian Premier League table, Supra du Quebec are 4th and Pacific FC 8th, 23 points apart. League goal record so far: Supra du Quebec 47-50, Pacific FC 33-62. The full standings are on the Canadian Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Supra du Quebec have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.