Ilves vs Mariehamn Prediction

Ilves
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Mariehamn
Tammela Stadium, Tampere·Oliver Reitala, Finland 09/08/2026
IlvesIlves
2-0
Finished
MariehamnMariehamn

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.66
SignalSOLIDModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+6.9%
Ilves Rest
2 days
Mariehamn Rest
8 days

Ilves vs Mariehamn: result, form and history

Ilves beat Mariehamn 2-0 in the Veikkausliiga on 9 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Ilves had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Mariehamn.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.1 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them. Mariehamn tend to win more corners, 5.0 a game to 2.0 for Ilves.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
72%1.29
X
16%5.50
2
12%8.50
Double Chance
1X
88%1.06
X2
28%3.37
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.78
No
44%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.16 + 0.89 = 3.05
Over 1.5
81%1.12
Over 2.5
60%1.44
Over 3.5
37%2.13
Under 1.5
19%5.50
Under 2.5
40%2.62
Under 3.5
63%1.66
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'F. GyamfiFoul
25'T. HytonenAssist: J. Kanga
45+2'J. Kanga(Penalty)
46'K. Wallius INS. Baranov out
46'J. Kilo INO. Multala out
57'T. Hytonen ING. Bamba out
57'N. NurmiFoul
60'O. MultalaFoul
61'T. Jakobsen INA. Larsson out
61'A. Bergvik INM. Hyvonen out
70'J. Kanga INE. Tamminen out
70'A. Popovitch INY. Sacko out
77'R. Monteiro INW. Nunez out
77'A. Stroud INA. Huttunen out
85'E. PatutDelay of game
90+3'E. Patut INV. Widlund out

Lineups

Ilves
3-4-2-1Coach: Joni Lehtonen
Mariehamn
4-2-3-1Coach: Roberth Bjorknesjo
Faris Krkalić12F. Krkalić
Ville Kumpu24V. Kumpu
Sauli Väisänen5S. Väisänen
Matias Rale3M. Rale
Oliver Pettersson4O. Pettersson
Yiandro Raap6Y. Raap
Anton Popovitch14A. Popovitch
Kalle Wallius13K. Wallius
Jardell Kanga30J. Kanga
Jesse Kilo28J. Kilo
Teemu Hytönen9T. Hytönen
Kevin Lund1K. Lund
Ludvig Richtnér26L. Richtnér
Noah Nurmi2N. Nurmi
Foster Gyamfi19F. Gyamfi
Aaro Soiniemi3A. Soiniemi
Jonathan Svedberg11J. Svedberg
Emmanuel Patut20E. Patut
Rui Monteiro22R. Monteiro
Arvid Bergvik14A. Bergvik
Adam Stroud18A. Stroud
Thomas Klemetsen Jakobsen15T. Klemetsen Jakobsen

Ilves Substitutes

1Otso Virtanen
16Tatu Miettunen
19Abdoul Goudouss Bamba57'for T. Hytonen
22Oskari Multala46'for J. Kilo60'
33Yacouba Sacko
17Stanislav Baranov46'for K. Wallius
15Lauri Ala-Myllymäki
45Elias Tamminen70'for J. Kanga
10Roope Riski

Mariehamn Substitutes

32Matias Riikonen
5Tuomas Koivisto
Viktor Widlund90+3'for E. Patut
8Jelle van der Heyden
16Anttoni Huttunen77'for A. Stroud
64Marlo Hyvonen61'for A. Bergvik
7Adam Larsson61'replaced by T. Jakobsen
9Wille Nuñez77'for R. Monteiro
43Leo Andersson

Team Comparison

IlvesIlves
MariehamnMariehamn
1657Elo Rating 1482
2.13Attack 1.00
2.61Defense 1.83
77%Hit Rate 17%
12.1Shots per Game 14.1
4.6Shots on Target 2.5
2.0Corners per Game 5.0
1.6Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+175 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.06 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

IlvesIlves
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MariehamnMariehamn
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

IlvesIlves5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
MariehamnMariehamn2Wins · 20%
3.1Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Veikkausliiga18/04/2026
MariehamnIlves
22
Veikkausliiga31/08/2025
IlvesMariehamn
21
Veikkausliiga27/04/2025
MariehamnIlves
32
Veikkausliiga11/08/2024
IlvesMariehamn
20
Veikkausliiga28/04/2024
MariehamnIlves
01
Veikkausliiga27/09/2023
IlvesMariehamn
21
Veikkausliiga15/07/2023
IlvesMariehamn
00
Veikkausliiga05/04/2023
MariehamnIlves
11
Veikkausliiga02/10/2022
IlvesMariehamn
23
Veikkausliiga21/08/2022
MariehamnIlves
15

Referee Profile

Oliver Reitala164 matches

4.02Cards per match
3.82Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Oliver Reitala4.02
Other referees4.01

4.02 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.01).

Cards come from 51 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026

Veikkausliiga

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543LLDDW
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342WWLWL
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937DWWDW
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736WLDLL
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034DWDWW
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733LLDLL
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WLDLW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531LLLLD
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325WDWWW
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819LWWDD
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615DWDDL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314

Relegration Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LahtiLahti271161035:26+939WLDLW
2IlvesIlves271151145:39+638WDWWW
3Turku PSTurku PS27881129:33-432LLLLD
4SJKSJK27691229:37-827LWWDD
5FF JaroFF Jaro27491422:49-2721DWDDL
6MariehamnMariehamn27471622:49-2719DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1LahtiLahti2735:2639
2IlvesIlves2745:3938
3Turku PSTurku PS2729:3332
4SJKSJK2729:3727
5FF JaroFF Jaro2722:4921
6MariehamnMariehamn2722:4919
Relegation

About the Ilves vs Mariehamn forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ilves and Mariehamn in the Veikkausliiga table

In the Veikkausliiga table, Ilves are 9th and Mariehamn 12th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Ilves 34-37, Mariehamn 17-43. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ilves have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.