Alaves vs Osasuna Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 4
Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz 06/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.87
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+14.4%
Alaves Rest
8 days
Osasuna Rest
5 days
Alaves vs Osasuna: result, form and history
Match Forecasts
Match Result
141%2.30
X30%3.10
229%3.45
Double Chance
1X71%1.30
X259%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes39%2.02
No61%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 0.99 = 2.32
Over 1.557%1.47
Over 2.533%2.50
Over 3.59%4.75
Under 1.543%2.64
Under 2.567%1.54
Under 3.591%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4 = 8.7
Over 8.551%1.52
Over 9.536%1.86
Over 10.525%2.38
Under 8.549%2.40
Under 9.564%1.87
Under 10.575%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.9
Over 3.554%-
Over 4.535%1.57
Under 3.546%-
Under 4.565%2.25
Match Events
27'Lucas BoyéAssist: Mariano Díaz
36'Mariano DíazAssist: Antonio Sivera
46'Ante BudimirAssist: Moi Gómez
51'Lucas BoyéAssist: Carles Aleñá
58'Abel BretonesFoul
60'Moi Gómez INRaul Moro out
60'Enzo Boyomo INRockson Yeboah out
60'Rubén García INJonathan Dubasin out
62'Abderrahmane RebbachFoul
64'Ante Budimir(Penalty)
68'Lucas BoyéAssist: Angel Pérez Hidalgo
71'Abderrahmane Rebbach INYoussef Enriquez out
71'Carles Aleñá INDenis Suárez out
71'Mariano Díaz INAitor Mañas out
80'Jonny Otto INXanet Oláiz Ibarzábal out
84'Rockson YeboahFoul
85'Lucas Boyé INMiguel Rodríguez out
85'Íñigo Arguibide INAsier Osambela out
90'Pablo Ibanez LumbrerasAssist: Angel Pérez Hidalgo
Lineups
AlavesOsasuna
4-4-2Coach: Luis Miguel RamisAvg ratingAvg rating
1Sivera
14N. Tenaglia
16V. Koski
17Jonny
8A. Blanco
7A. Pérez
19P. Ibáñez
10C. Aleñá
21A. Rebbach
15L. Boyé
9M. Díaz
1S. Herrera
27Í. Arguibide
24Catena
22F. Boyomo
23A. Bretones
14R. García
7Moncayola
8I. Muñoz
16M. Gómez
9R. García
17A. BudimirAlaves Substitutes
24Selu Diallo
23C. Benavídez
3Yusi71'for Abderrahmane Rebbach
6Guevara
29Izei Hernández
20A. Manas71'for Mariano Díaz
12Hugo Novoa
27X. Olaiz80'for Jonny Otto
13A. Giménez
22Miguel Rodríguez85'for Lucas Boyé
4Denis Suárez71'for Carles Aleñá
2N. Valentini
Osasuna Substitutes
30Asier Bonel
20R. Del Castillo
21Jonathan Dubasin60'for Rubén García
26Mauro Echegoyen
13Aitor Fernández
18Raul Moro60'for Moi Gómez
29Asier Osambela85'for Íñigo Arguibide
15Diego Rico
35U. Santos
6Lucas Torró
48R. Yeboah60'for Enzo Boyomo84'
11Kike Barja
Match Stats
AlavesOsasuna 50%Ball Possession50%
4Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots7
7Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal1
7Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box1
1Blocked Shots1
14Fouls13
2Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves2
392Total Passes400
332Passes Accurate330
85%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
AlavesOsasuna1731Elo Rating 1684
0.73Attack 2.26
0.82Defense 1.37
0%Hit Rate 39%
12.0Shots per Game 12.7
3.9Shots on Target 3.6
3.8Corners per Game 3.9
2.2Cards per Game 3.2
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Alaves- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Osasuna- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Alaves0Wins · 0%Draws440%
Osasuna6Wins · 60%
6Wins · 60%2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
05/04/2026AlavesOsasuna22
20/12/2025OsasunaAlaves30
24/05/2025AlavesOsasuna11
08/12/2024OsasunaAlaves22
04/03/2024OsasunaAlaves10
01/10/2023AlavesOsasuna02
10/04/2022OsasunaAlaves10
18/09/2021AlavesOsasuna02
27/02/2021AlavesOsasuna01
31/12/2020OsasunaAlaves11
Recent Form
Alaves7W2D1L
28/08/2026Alaves
Villarreal
Rayo VallecanoAlaves
AlavesVillarreal10
W20/08/2026Rayo VallecanoAlaves11
D15/08/2026Alaves
Getafe
AlavesGetafe30
W07/08/2026
Racing SantanderAlaves
Racing SantanderAlaves6171
W31/07/2026Alaves
Castellón
AlavesCastellón30
W25/07/2026
GironaAlaves
GironaAlaves01
W18/07/2026Alaves
Eibar
AlavesEibar11
D23/05/2026AlavesRayo Vallecano
AlavesRayo Vallecano12
L17/05/2026
OviedoAlaves
OviedoAlaves01
W13/05/2026Alaves
Barcelona
AlavesBarcelona10
WOsasuna5W1D4L
31/08/2026OsasunaGetafe
Celta VigoOsasunaOsasuna
Levante
OsasunaGetafe10
W27/08/2026Celta VigoOsasuna12
W24/08/2026OsasunaLevante00
D08/08/2026Osasuna
Al Ain
OsasunaAl Ain02
L05/08/2026
NapoliOsasuna
NapoliOsasuna21
L01/08/2026
NorwichOsasuna
NorwichOsasuna12
W29/07/2026
IpswichOsasuna
IpswichOsasuna12
W24/07/2026OsasunaRacing Santander
OsasunaRacing Santander20
W23/05/2026GetafeOsasuna
GetafeOsasuna10
L17/05/2026Osasuna
Espanyol
OsasunaEspanyol12
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 48:13 | +35 | 33 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31:10 | +21 | 30 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 23:10 | +13 | 28 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:15 | +5 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | WLWWW |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | DLWLD |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 16 | WWLDD |
| 8 | Villarreal | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 | WLWDL |
| 9 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | 15 | DWLDL |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 | DLDWD |
| 12 | Alaves | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 | DWLLD |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 | WLDDD |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 12 | LWLDL |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 | DLLWL |
| 17 | Levante | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 11 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Elche | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 | LLWDD |
| 19 |  Valencia | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 20 |  Malaga | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | 48:13 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 31:10 | 30 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 12 | 23:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 20:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 15:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 12 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | 17:30 | 14 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Alaves | 12 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 15:21 | 12 |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | 8:18 | 12 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 12:23 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante | 12 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 18 | Elche | 12 | 14:20 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | 8:20 | 9 |
| 20 | Malaga | 12 | 9:23 | 5 |
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About the Alaves vs Osasuna forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Alaves and Osasuna in the La Liga table
In the La Liga table, Alaves are 12th and Osasuna 16th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Alaves 15-17, Osasuna 12-23. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Osasuna have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.