Alaves vs Osasuna Prediction

Alaves
5-2
Finished
HT 2-0
Osasuna
Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz 06/09/2026
AlavesAlaves
5-2
Finished
OsasunaOsasuna

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.87
SignalGOODModel43%RiskMediumGap+14.4%
Alaves Rest
8 days
Osasuna Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.30
X
30%3.10
2
29%3.45
Double Chance
1X
71%1.30
X2
59%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%2.02
No
61%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 0.99 = 2.32
Over 1.5
57%1.47
Over 2.5
33%2.50
Over 3.5
9%4.75
Under 1.5
43%2.64
Under 2.5
67%1.54
Under 3.5
91%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4 = 8.7
Over 8.5
51%1.52
Over 9.5
36%1.86
Over 10.5
25%2.38
Under 8.5
49%2.40
Under 9.5
64%1.87
Under 10.5
75%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.9
Over 3.5
54%-
Over 4.5
35%1.57
Under 3.5
46%-
Under 4.5
65%2.25

Match Events

27'Lucas BoyéAssist: Mariano Díaz
36'Mariano DíazAssist: Antonio Sivera
46'Ante BudimirAssist: Moi Gómez
51'Lucas BoyéAssist: Carles Aleñá
58'Abel BretonesFoul
60'Moi Gómez INRaul Moro out
60'Enzo Boyomo INRockson Yeboah out
60'Rubén García INJonathan Dubasin out
62'Abderrahmane RebbachFoul
64'Ante Budimir(Penalty)
68'Lucas BoyéAssist: Angel Pérez Hidalgo
71'Abderrahmane Rebbach INYoussef Enriquez out
71'Carles Aleñá INDenis Suárez out
71'Mariano Díaz INAitor Mañas out
80'Jonny Otto INXanet Oláiz Ibarzábal out
84'Rockson YeboahFoul
85'Lucas Boyé INMiguel Rodríguez out
85'Íñigo Arguibide INAsier Osambela out
90'Pablo Ibanez LumbrerasAssist: Angel Pérez Hidalgo

Lineups

Alaves
3-1-4-2Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores
Osasuna
4-4-2Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis
Sivera1SiveraSivera
N. Tenaglia14N. TenagliaN. Tenaglia
V. Koski16V. KoskiV. Koski
Jonny17JonnyJonny
Antonio Blanco8A. BlancoAntonio Blanco
Angel Pérez7A. PérezAngel Pérez
Pablo Ibáñez19P. IbáñezPablo Ibáñez
Carles Aleñá10C. AleñáCarles Aleñá
A. Rebbach21A. RebbachA. Rebbach
L. Boyé15L. BoyéL. Boyé
M. Díaz9M. DíazM. Díaz
Sergio Herrera1S. HerreraSergio Herrera
Íñigo Arguibide27Í. ArguibideÍñigo Arguibide
Catena24CatenaCatena
F. Boyomo22F. BoyomoF. Boyomo
Abel Bretones23A. BretonesAbel Bretones
Rubén García14R. GarcíaRubén García
Moncayola7MoncayolaMoncayola
Iker Muñoz8I. MuñozIker Muñoz
Moi Gómez16M. GómezMoi Gómez
Raúl García9R. GarcíaRaúl García
A. Budimir17A. BudimirA. Budimir

Alaves Substitutes

24Selu DialloM
23C. BenavídezM
3YusiD
6GuevaraM
29Izei HernándezF
20A. ManasF
12Hugo NovoaF
27X. OlaizD
13A. GiménezG
22Miguel RodríguezF
4Denis SuárezM
2N. ValentiniD

Osasuna Substitutes

30Asier BonelF
20R. Del CastilloM
21Jonathan DubasinF
26Mauro EchegoyenM
13Aitor FernándezG
18Raul MoroF
29Asier OsambelaM
15Diego RicoD
35U. SantosD
6Lucas TorróM
48R. YeboahD
11Kike BarjaF

Match Stats

AlavesOsasuna
51%Ball Possession49%
4Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots7
7Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal1
7Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box1
1Blocked Shots1
14Fouls13
2Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves2
393Total Passes403
328Passes Accurate332
13Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

AlavesAlaves
OsasunaOsasuna
1786Elo Rating 1704
2.20Attack 0.98
1.84Defense 1.15
56%Hit Rate 36%
13.8Shots per Game 10.2
5.8Shots on Target 4.3
5.4Corners per Game 3.2
2.5Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AlavesAlaves
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
OsasunaOsasuna
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Alaves 0%Draw 63%37% Osasuna
2.96Avg Goals
63%BTTS Rate
66%Over 2.5

Recent Form

AlavesAlaves
4W1D0L
28/08/2026
AlavesVillarreal
10
W
20/08/2026
Rayo VallecanoAlaves
11
D
15/08/2026
AlavesGetafe
30
W
07/08/2026
Racing SantanderAlaves
6171
W
31/07/2026
AlavesCastellón
30
W
OsasunaOsasuna
2W1D2L

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona550021:4+1715WWWWW
2Real MadridReal Madrid650117:6+1115WWLWW
3Real BetisReal Betis54017:6+112WWLWW
4AlavesAlaves631211:6+510LLWWD
5Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid531110:6+410WLWDW
6SevillaSevilla53118:6+210WDLWW
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna52309:6+39DWWDD
8EspanyolEspanyol62139:7+27LWDLL
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club52127:6+17DWWLL
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander52129:907WLWLD
11OsasunaOsasuna52125:8-37LLWWD
12Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano621310:15-57WLWLD
13Real SociedadReal Sociedad62136:11-57LWDWL
14LevanteLevante51227:9-25LDWDL
15GetafeGetafe51223:6-35DDLWL
16Celta VigoCelta Vigo60423:6-34DDDLL
17ValenciaValencia61142:10-84WLLLL
18MalagaMalaga50322:8-63DDLDL
19VillarrealVillarreal50237:10-32LLLDD
20ElcheElche60248:16-82LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona521:415
2Real MadridReal Madrid617:615
3Real BetisReal Betis57:612
4AlavesAlaves611:610
5Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid510:610
6SevillaSevilla58:610
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna59:69
8EspanyolEspanyol69:77
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club57:67
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander59:97
11OsasunaOsasuna55:87
12Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano610:157
13Real SociedadReal Sociedad66:117
14LevanteLevante57:95
15GetafeGetafe53:65
16Celta VigoCelta Vigo63:64
17ValenciaValencia62:104
18MalagaMalaga52:83
19VillarrealVillarreal57:102
20ElcheElche68:162
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Alaves vs Osasuna Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this La Liga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Alaves and Osasuna have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.96 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.