Elche vs Real Sociedad Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 4
07/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.50
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+8.6%
Elche Rest
10 days
Real Sociedad Rest
4 days
Elche vs Real Sociedad: the result in context
Real Sociedad beat Elche 3-2 in the La Liga on 7 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Real Sociedad have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
134%3.45
X29%3.50
237%2.10
Double Chance
1X63%1.74
X266%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes44%1.60
No56%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 1.15 = 2.45
Over 1.572%1.23
Over 2.547%1.73
Over 3.519%2.75
Under 1.528%4.05
Under 2.553%2.12
Under 3.581%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.1 = 8.9
Over 8.551%1.62
Over 9.536%2.00
Over 10.525%2.57
Under 8.549%2.23
Under 9.564%1.75
Under 10.575%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.9 = 3.7
Over 3.552%1.51
Over 4.532%2.10
Under 3.548%2.44
Under 4.568%1.67
Match Events
9'Jon AramburuFoul
11'Job OchiengAssist: Carlos Soler
31'Yangel HerreraAssist: Job Ochieng
43'Tete MorenteFoul
55'Ezequiel Ponce INAbiel Alessio Osorio out
55'Facundo Buonanotte INThomas Lemar out
57'Abiel Alessio OsorioDissent
58'Gonçalo Guedes INAlex Marchal García out
58'Mamadou Sarr INJon Martin out
63'Goal cancelledLuka Sučić
64'Jon MartinHandball
67'Thomas LemarAssist: Víctor Chust
68'Germán ValeraDissent
70'Yangel Herrera INJon Pacheco out
70'Mikel Oyarzabal INJon Gorrotxategi out
70'Gonzalo Villar INLucas Cepeda out
74'Fernando Niño RodríguezAssist: Tete Morente
81'Alex Marchal García INHector Fort out
81'Germán Valera INJosé Antonio Ferrández Pomares out
81'Buba Sangaré INRoy Revivo out
90'Luka SučićAssist: Job Ochieng
90+7'Thomas LemarFoul
Lineups
ElcheReal Sociedad
4-4-2Coach: P. MatarazzoAvg ratingAvg rating
1M. Dituro
2B. Sangaré
23V. Chust
6Bigas
20T. Morente
10F. Buonanotte
47J. Morcillo
12G. Villar
11G. Valera
9E. Ponce
14F. Niño
13U. Marrero
2J. Aramburu
5Zubeldia
19M. Sarr
17S. Gómez
12J. Ochieng
21Y. Herrera
18C. Soler
11G. Guedes
24L. Sučić
10M. OyarzabalElche Substitutes
26Matia Barzic Gutiérrez
16Martim Neto
21L. Cepeda70'for Gonzalo Villar
17Josan81'for Germán Valera
29Ali Houary
13Alejandro Iturbe
18T. Lemar55'for Facundo Buonanotte67'90+7'
24A. Osorio55'for Ezequiel Ponce57'
5F. Redondo
3R. Revivo81'for Buba Sangaré
22Rubén Sánchez
8Marc Aguado
Real Sociedad Substitutes
3Aihen Muñoz
6Jon Martín58'for Mamadou Sarr64'
29Alex Garcia58'for Gonçalo Guedes81'for Hector Fort
14T. Kubo
4Jon Gorrotxategi70'for Mikel Oyarzabal
22Héctor Fort81'replaced by Alex Marchal García
7Barrenetxea
16Jon Pacheco70'for Yangel Herrera
1Álex Remiro
8Beñat Turrientes
23A. Zakharyan
9O. Óskarsson
Match Stats
ElcheReal Sociedad 59%Ball Possession41%
6Corner Kicks7
4Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
20Total Shots13
10Shots on Goal6
8Shots off Goal5
15Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots2
9Fouls8
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves8
496Total Passes361
440Passes Accurate300
89%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
ElcheReal Sociedad1746Elo Rating 1815
1.27Attack 2.59
2.50Defense 1.80
42%Hit Rate 50%
13.5Shots per Game 15.1
3.9Shots on Target 5.4
4.8Corners per Game 4.8
2.8Cards per Game 2.5
AI Insights
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Elche- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
Real Sociedad- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 0.9 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Elche0Wins · 0%Draws113%
Real Sociedad7Wins · 87%
7Wins · 87%2.3Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8
Previous meetings
07/02/2026Real SociedadElche31
07/11/2025ElcheReal Sociedad11
19/03/2023Real SociedadElche20
27/08/2022ElcheReal Sociedad01
10/04/2022ElcheReal Sociedad12
26/09/2021Real SociedadElche10
07/05/2021Real SociedadElche20
26/09/2020ElcheReal Sociedad03
Recent Form
Elche2W5D3L
28/08/2026
Racing SantanderElcheElche
Barcelona
Deportivo La CorunaElche
Racing SantanderElche32
L23/08/2026ElcheBarcelona05
L17/08/2026Deportivo La CorunaElche11
D31/07/2026Elche
Cordoba
ElcheCordoba22
D28/07/2026Elche
Al Ain
ElcheAl Ain22
D18/07/2026Elche
Kaizer Chiefs
ElcheKaizer Chiefs21
W23/05/2026
GironaElche
GironaElche11
D17/05/2026Elche
Getafe
ElcheGetafe10
W12/05/2026
Real BetisElche
Real BetisElche21
L09/05/2026Elche
Alaves
ElcheAlaves11
DReal Sociedad3W2D5L
03/09/2026Real Sociedad
Celta VigoReal Sociedad
Espanyol
Real MadridReal SociedadReal BetisReal Sociedad
Real SociedadCelta Vigo00
D29/08/2026Real SociedadEspanyol21
W26/08/2026Real MadridReal Sociedad41
L21/08/2026Real BetisReal Sociedad10
L15/08/2026
ChelseaReal Sociedad
ChelseaReal Sociedad31
L08/08/2026
1. FC KölnReal Sociedad
1. FC KölnReal Sociedad21
L31/07/2026
ToulouseReal Sociedad
ToulouseReal Sociedad21
L28/07/2026
Aston VillaReal Sociedad
Aston VillaReal Sociedad24
W25/07/2026
WolvesReal Sociedad
WolvesReal Sociedad12
W18/07/2026Real SociedadRacing Santander
Real SociedadRacing Santander11
DLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 48:13 | +35 | 33 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31:10 | +21 | 30 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 23:10 | +13 | 28 | LWWWW |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:15 | +5 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | WLWWW |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | DLWLD |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 16 | WWLDD |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 | WLWDL |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | 15 | DWLDL |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 | DLDWD |
| 12 | Alaves | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 | DWLLD |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 | WLDDD |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 12 | LWLDL |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 | DLLWL |
| 17 |  Levante | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 11 | DLLWD |
| 18 | Elche | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 | LLWDD |
| 19 |  Valencia | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 20 |  Malaga | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | 48:13 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 31:10 | 30 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 12 | 23:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 20:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 15:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 12 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | 17:30 | 14 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Alaves | 12 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 15:21 | 12 |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | 8:18 | 12 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 12:23 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante | 12 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 18 | Elche | 12 | 14:20 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | 8:20 | 9 |
| 20 | Malaga | 12 | 9:23 | 5 |
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About the Elche vs Real Sociedad forecast
The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Elche and Real Sociedad in the La Liga table
In the La Liga table, Real Sociedad are 5th and Elche 18th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Elche 14-20, Real Sociedad 21-20. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Real Sociedad have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.