Albania vs Finland Prediction

Albania
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Finland
Arena Kombëtare, Tirana·Joao Pinheiro 12/11/2026
AlbaniaAlbania
2-0
Finished
FinlandFinland

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.26
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseHighGap-2.0%
Albania Rest
37 days
Finland Rest
37 days

Albania vs Finland: result, form and history

Albania beat Finland 2-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 12 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.21
X
34%2.96
2
24%3.83
Double Chance
1X
76%1.26
X2
58%1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%2.27
No
57%1.58
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 0.92 = 2.49
Over 1.5
64%1.58
Over 2.5
38%2.85
Over 3.5
20%5.78
Under 1.5
36%2.31
Under 2.5
62%1.41
Under 3.5
80%1.13
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.4 = 8.7
Over 8.5
50%1.89
Over 9.5
38%2.44
Over 10.5
26%3.35
Under 8.5
50%1.85
Under 9.5
62%1.50
Under 10.5
74%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.8 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%1.65
Over 4.5
49%-
Under 3.5
33%2.15
Under 4.5
51%-

Match Events

32'Leo WaltaFoul
35'Ernest Muci
45'Adam MarkhievFoul
50'Rey ManajAssist: Elseid Hysaj
58'Ylber RamadaniFoul
59'Adam Stahl INTony Miettinen out
59'Oliver Antman INJoel Pohjanpalo out
67'Miro TenhoSerious foul
70'Rey Manaj INMirlind Daku out
70'Ylber Ramadani INJuljan Shehu out
71'Topi Keskinen INLuka Hyryläinen out
77'Adam Markhiev INAnssi Suhonen out
77'Fredrik Jensen INRobert Ivanov out
82'Ernest Muci INArber Hoxha out
82'Qazim Laci INLuis Hasa out
90+1'Stavros Pilios INMyrto Uzuni out

Lineups

Albania
3-4-2-1Coach: R. Maran
Finland
4-1-4-1Coach: J. Friis
Avg rating6.92
Avg rating6.23
E. Berisha6.31E. Berisha
B. Djimsiti7.06B. Djimsiti
A. Ismajli7.118A. Ismajli
M. Mitaj6.83M. Mitaj
E. Hysaj7.74E. Hysaj
Y. Ramadani6.620Y. Ramadani
K. Asllani7.28K. Asllani
S. Pilios6.62S. Pilios
E. Muçi8.210E. Muçi
Q. Laçi6.814Q. Laçi
R. Manaj7.97R. Manaj
L. Hrádecký6.81L. Hrádecký
T. Keskinen6.518T. Keskinen
A. Ståhl5.83A. Ståhl
M. Tenho5.25M. Tenho
V. Koski6.721V. Koski
R. Mahuta6.517R. Mahuta
F. Jensen6.19F. Jensen
A. Marhiev6.611A. Marhiev
L. Walta6.810L. Walta
B. Källman6.419B. Källman
O. Antman6.37O. Antman

Albania Substitutes

17T. Seferi
13N. Aliji
15K. Cake
23M. Dajsinani
19M. Daku70'for Rey Manaj6.5
22L. Hasa82'for Qazim Laci6.7
21A. Hoxha82'for Ernest Muci6.5
16J. Shehu70'for Ylber Ramadani6.7
12A. Sherri
9C. Shpendi
11M. Uzuni90+1'for Stavros Pilios6.2
5A. Ajeti

Finland Substitutes

4R. Ivanov77'for Fredrik Jensen6.1
13J. Lähteenmäki
14L. Hyryläinen71'for Topi Keskinen6.2
15O. Valakari
6S. Väänänen
16A. Suhonen77'for Adam Markhiev5.7
8N. Skyttä
12V. Sinisalo
20J. Pohjanpalo59'for Oliver Antman6.3
2T. Miettinen59'for Adam Stahl5.9
22D. Håkans
23L. Bergström

Match Stats

AlbaniaFinland
56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks0
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
18Total Shots13
6Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal10
10Shots Inside Box9
8Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots2
15Fouls16
3Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
517Total Passes421
454Passes Accurate347
16Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

AlbaniaAlbania
FinlandFinland
1534Elo Rating 1458
1.82Attack 1.62
1.99Defense 2.36
63%Hit Rate 39%
17.4Shots per Game 14.1
5.4Shots on Target 4.6
6.3Corners per Game 6.4
2.4Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

AlbaniaAlbania
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
FinlandFinland
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

AlbaniaAlbania0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
FinlandFinland1Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

UEFA Nations League03/10/2026
FinlandAlbania
21

Recent Form

AlbaniaAlbania
5W0D5L
06/10/2026
AlbaniaSan Marino
21
W
03/10/2026
FinlandAlbania
21
L
29/09/2026
San MarinoAlbania
03
W
26/09/2026
AlbaniaBelarus
20
W
06/06/2026
AlbaniaLuxembourg
01
L
03/06/2026
AlbaniaIsrael
01
L
26/03/2026
PolandAlbania
21
L
16/11/2025
AlbaniaEngland
02
L
13/11/2025
AndorraAlbania
01
W
11/10/2025
SerbiaAlbania
01
W
FinlandFinland
3W1D6L
06/10/2026
BelarusFinland
10
L
03/10/2026
FinlandAlbania
21
W
29/09/2026
FinlandBelarus
00
D
26/09/2026
San MarinoFinland
07
W
05/06/2026
HungaryFinland
21
L
31/05/2026
GermanyFinland
40
L
14/11/2025
FinlandMalta
01
L
12/10/2025
NetherlandsFinland
40
L
09/10/2025
FinlandLithuania
21
W
07/09/2025
PolandFinland
31
L

Referee Profile

Joao Pinheiro222 matches

4.78Cards per match
4.54Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
27.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joao Pinheiro4.78
Other referees5.24

4.78 cards a match, 0.46 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.24).

Cards come from 182 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AlbaniaAlbania540110:3+712WWLWW
2BelarusBelarus53117:2+510WWWDL
3FinlandFinland52129:4+57LLWDW
4San MarinoSan Marino50051:18-170LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AlbaniaAlbania510:312
2BelarusBelarus57:210
3FinlandFinland59:47
4San MarinoSan Marino51:180
Promotion

About the Albania vs Finland forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Albania and Finland in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Albania are 1st in the UEFA Nations League, 5 points ahead of Finland in 3rd. League goal record so far: Albania 10-3, Finland 9-4. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Albania have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Albania and Finland have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.