Türkiye vs Belgium Prediction

Türkiye
1-2
Finished
HT 1-2
Belgium
Gürsel Aksel Stadium, Izmir·Sandro Schärer 12/11/2026
TürkiyeTürkiye
1-2
Finished
BelgiumBelgium

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.48
SignalNEUTRALModel55%SurpriseHighGap-5.1%
Türkiye Rest
37 days
Belgium Rest
37 days

Türkiye vs Belgium: the result in context

Belgium beat Türkiye 2-1 in the UEFA Nations League on 12 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Türkiye tend to win more corners, 5.9 a game to 2.9 for Belgium.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.53
X
24%4.03
2
51%1.92
Double Chance
1X
49%1.91
X2
75%1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.44
No
40%2.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.08 + 1.48 = 2.56
Over 1.5
81%1.14
Over 2.5
59%1.48
Over 3.5
39%2.20
Under 1.5
19%5.45
Under 2.5
41%2.53
Under 3.5
61%1.66
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.6 = 9.2
Over 8.5
57%1.57
Over 9.5
44%1.98
Over 10.5
32%2.56
Under 8.5
43%2.22
Under 9.5
56%1.75
Under 10.5
68%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%1.58
Over 4.5
40%2.10
Under 3.5
41%2.27
Under 4.5
60%1.68

Match Events

20'Arda Güler
27'Kevin De BruyneAssist: Jeremy Doku
30'Charles De KetelaereAssist: Maxim De Cuyper
32'Ozan KabakFoul
50'Ismail YüksekFoul
58'Orkun Kökçü INHakan Çalhanoğlu out
58'Enes Ünal INDeniz Gül out
68'Diego Moreira INDodi Lukebakio out
69'Kevin De Bruyne INLeandro Trossard out
70'Oğuz Aydın INZeki Çelik out
70'Ismail Yüksek INSalih Özcan out
79'Charles De Ketelaere INHugo Cuypers out
79'Jeremy Doku INMika Godts out
80'Baris Alper Yilmaz INCan Yilmaz Uzun out
90+3'Nicolas Raskin INHans Vanaken out

Lineups

Türkiye
4-2-3-1Coach: Sergen Yalçın
Belgium
4-3-3Coach: M. van Bommel
Avg rating6.53
Avg rating6.95
U. Çakır7.01U. Çakır
O. Aydın6.418O. Aydın
O. Kabak6.715O. Kabak
M. Demiral6.53M. Demiral
F. Kadıoğlu5.620F. Kadıoğlu
İ. Yüksek6.916İ. Yüksek
O. Kökçü6.36O. Kökçü
Y. Akgün7.117Y. Akgün
A. Güler8.28A. Güler
B. Yılmaz5.921B. Yılmaz
E. Ünal6.89E. Ünal
S. Lammens7.91S. Lammens
T. Castagne6.421T. Castagne
N. Ngoy6.815N. Ngoy
B. Mechele6.74B. Mechele
M. De Cuyper7.45M. De Cuyper
K. De Bruyne8.17K. De Bruyne
N. Raskin6.623N. Raskin
Y. Tielemans6.78Y. Tielemans
Diego Moreira6.519D. Moreira
C. De Ketelaere7.517C. De Ketelaere
J. Doku7.211J. Doku

Türkiye Substitutes

22M. Eskihellaç
13E. Elmalı
7I. Fakili
19D. Gül58'for Enes Ünal6.5
14A. Kaplan
4E. Topçu
11C. Uzun80'for Baris Alper Yilmaz6.0
10H. Çalhanoğlu58'for Orkun Kökçü6.4
2Z. Çelik70'for Oğuz Aydın6.3
5S. Özcan70'for Ismail Yüksek6.0
23B. Özer
12E. Destanoğlu

Belgium Substitutes

9H. Cuypers79'for Charles De Ketelaere6.6
22M. Godts79'for Jeremy Doku6.5
6M. Keita
14D. Lukebakio68'for Diego Moreira6.4
16J. Kongolo
13M. Penders
2K. Sabbe
18J. Seys
3A. Theate
10L. Trossard69'for Kevin De Bruyne6.9
20H. Vanaken90+3'for Nicolas Raskin
12M. Vandevoordt

Match Stats

TürkiyeBelgium
53%Ball Possession47%
2Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards0
10Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal6
1Shots off Goal4
5Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots2
12Fouls14
3Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves6
516Total Passes450
458Passes Accurate381
13Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

TürkiyeTürkiye
BelgiumBelgium
1631Elo Rating 1788
0.89Attack 1.43
0.28Defense 1.45
14%Hit Rate 39%
15.2Shots per Game 11.4
4.7Shots on Target 4.8
5.9Corners per Game 2.9
2.5Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

TürkiyeTürkiye
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BelgiumBelgium
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

TürkiyeTürkiye0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
BelgiumBelgium1Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Referee Profile

Sandro Schärer197 matches

4.56Cards per match
4.34Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
24.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Sandro Schärer4.57
Other referees4.64

4.57 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.64).

Cards come from 170 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FranceFrance43107:2+510WDWW
2BelgiumBelgium53028:6+29WLWLW
3ItalyItaly42118:5+37WDWL
4TürkiyeTürkiye50053:13-100LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FranceFrance47:210
2BelgiumBelgium58:69
3ItalyItaly48:57
4TürkiyeTürkiye53:130
Relegation

About the Türkiye vs Belgium forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Türkiye and Belgium in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Belgium are 2nd in the UEFA Nations League, 9 points ahead of Türkiye in 4th. League goal record so far: Türkiye 3-13, Belgium 8-6. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Belgium have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Türkiye and Belgium have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.