Czech Republic vs Spain Prediction

UEFA Nations LeagueWorld World · League A - 5
Cup
Czech Republic
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Spain
Stadion Letná, Prague·Nikola Dabanovic 12/11/2026
Czech RepublicCzech Republic
0-2
Finished
SpainSpain

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.22
SignalHIGHModel80%SurpriseMediumGap-6.1%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.40
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap+5.5%
Czech Republic Rest
37 days
Spain Rest
37 days

Czech Republic vs Spain: result, form and history

Spain beat Czech Republic 2-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 12 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Spain had won 5 of their previous five, compared with none for Czech Republic.

Spain have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Referee Nikola Dabanovic averages 3.79 cards a game, 0.68 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
11%11.88
X
14%6.85
2
75%1.22
Double Chance
1X
25%4.18
X2
89%1.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.95
No
52%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.69 + 2.06 = 2.75
Over 1.5
81%1.14
Over 2.5
60%1.49
Over 3.5
39%2.27
Under 1.5
19%5.50
Under 2.5
40%2.55
Under 3.5
61%1.65
Corners
Projected Corners: 2.4 + 5.9 = 8.3
Over 8.5
46%1.59
Over 9.5
33%1.95
Over 10.5
22%2.51
Under 8.5
54%2.17
Under 9.5
67%1.77
Under 10.5
78%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 1.1 = 3.3
Over 3.5
42%1.91
Over 4.5
24%2.85
Under 3.5
58%1.81
Under 4.5
76%1.40

Match Events

11'Pedro PorroFoul
36'Penalty confirmedMarc Cucurella
39'Alejandro Baena Rodríguez(Penalty)
48'Goal cancelledYeremy Pino
66'Ferrán Torres INRoberto Fernández Jaén out
66'Yeremy Pino INMikel Merino out
66'Ryan Naderi INIdris Hopi out
66'Lukáš Provod INMartin Šubert out
69'Card upgrade confirmedLadislav Krejčí
69'Mikel MerinoDissent
72'Ladislav Krejčí
76'Lukas Ambros INTomáš Vlček out
76'Fabián Ruiz INPedri out
76'Pedro Porro INMarc Pubill out
82'Fermín López INJorge De Frutos out
85'Adam Hložek INChristopher Kabongo out
85'Lukáš Červ INTomáš Souček out
90+6'Marc Pubill

Lineups

Czech Republic
4-2-3-1Coach: Santi
Spain
4-2-3-1Coach: Luis de la Fuente
Avg rating6.15
Avg rating6.85
M. Kovář5.91M. Kovář
V. Coufal7.15V. Coufal
D. Zima6.56D. Zima
L. Krejčí6.17L. Krejčí
D. Jurásek5.814D. Jurásek
A. Král5.921A. Král
L. Červ6.412L. Červ
L. Ambros6.313L. Ambros
A. Hložek6.010A. Hložek
L. Provod6.117L. Provod
R. Naderi6.49R. Naderi
Unai Simón6.923U. Simón
Pedro Porro6.712P. Porro
Pau Cubarsí Paredes7.05P. Cubarsí Paredes
D. Huijsen7.14D. Huijsen
Marc Cucurella7.422M. Cucurella
Martín Zubimendi7.118M. Zubimendi
Fabián Ruiz6.68F. Ruiz
Yeremy Pino6.711Y. Pino
Fermín6.39Fermín
Álex Baena7.815Á. Baena
Ferran Torres6.57F. Torres

Czech Republic Substitutes

20K. Daněk
3T. Vlček76'for Lukas Ambros6.1
18M. Šubert66'for Lukáš Provod5.7
22T. Souček85'for Lukáš Červ5.6
15J. Sláma
19D. Kozel
23A. Kinský
2Š. Chaloupek
4A. Gabriel
8I. Hopi66'for Ryan Naderi6.2
16L. Horníček
11C. Kabongo85'for Adam Hložek6.3

Spain Substitutes

17Marc Roca
16Pablo Barrios
19Jorge de Frutos82'for Fermín López6.8
1David Raya
14Jacobo Ramón Naveros
2Marc Pubill76'for Pedro Porro90+6'7.4
20Pedri76'for Fabián Ruiz7.0
10Víctor Muñoz
6Mikel Merino66'for Yeremy Pino69'6.4
3Álex Grimaldo
13Joan García
21Roberto Fernández66'for Ferrán Torres5.9

Match Stats

Czech RepublicSpain
30%Ball Possession70%
4Corner Kicks10
0Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
13Total Shots22
0Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal12
12Shots Inside Box17
1Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots5
8Fouls6
2Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves0
293Total Passes704
233Passes Accurate641
6Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

Czech RepublicCzech Republic
SpainSpain
1547Elo Rating 1983
0.39Attack 2.50
0.36Defense 1.98
0%Hit Rate 86%
6.3Shots per Game 14.5
1.3Shots on Target 6.7
1.6Corners per Game 5.7
2.2Cards per Game 1.0

Game State Tendencies

Czech RepublicCzech Republic
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SpainSpain
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Czech RepublicCzech Republic0Wins · 0%
Draws125%
SpainSpain3Wins · 75%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

UEFA Nations League03/10/2026
SpainCzechia
31
UEFA Nations League12/06/2022
SpainCzech Republic
20
UEFA Nations League05/06/2022
Czech RepublicSpain
22
Euro Championship13/06/2016
SpainCzech Republic
10

Recent Form

Czech RepublicCzech Republic
3W1D6L
06/10/2026
EnglandCzech Republic
30
L03/10/2026
SpainCzech Republic
31
L29/09/2026
Czech RepublicEngland
02
L26/09/2026
Czech RepublicCroatia
12
L
25/06/2026
Czech RepublicMexico
03
L
18/06/2026
Czech RepublicSouth Africa
11
D
12/06/2026
South KoreaCzech Republic
21
L
05/06/2026
Czech RepublicGuatemala
31
W
31/05/2026
Czech RepublicKosovo
21
W
31/03/2026
Czech RepublicDenmark
3111
W
SpainSpain
10W0D0L
06/10/2026
CroatiaSpain
12
W03/10/2026
SpainCzechia
31
W29/09/2026
SpainCroatia
41
W26/09/2026
EnglandSpain
23
W19/07/2026
SpainArgentina
1000
W14/07/2026
FranceSpain
02
W10/07/2026
SpainBelgium
21
W06/07/2026
PortugalSpain
01
W
02/07/2026
SpainAustria
30
W
27/06/2026
UruguaySpain
01
W

Referee Profile

Nikola Dabanovic213 matches

3.79Cards per match
3.68Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Nikola Dabanovic3.79
Other referees4.47

3.79 cards a match, 0.68 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.47).

Cards come from 85 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SpainSpain440012:5+712WWWW
2EnglandEngland430114:3+119WWWL
3CroatiaCroatia41034:14-103LLLW
4CzechiaCzechia40042:10-80LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1SpainSpain412:512
2EnglandEngland414:39
3CroatiaCroatia44:143
4CzechiaCzechia42:100
Relegation

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About the Czech Republic vs Spain forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Czech Republic and Spain in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Spain are 1st in the UEFA Nations League, 12 points ahead of Czechia in 4th. League goal record so far: Czechia 2-10, Spain 12-5. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.