San Marino vs Belarus Prediction

San Marino
0-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Belarus
San Marino Stadium, Serravalle·Goga Kikacheishvili 12/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel80%SurpriseHighGap-4.8%
San Marino Rest
37 days
Belarus Rest
37 days

San Marino vs Belarus: the result in context

Belarus beat San Marino 2-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 12 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Belarus had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for San Marino.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.7 goals, and not once did both teams score.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
5%19.13
X
11%8.20
2
84%1.14
Double Chance
1X
16%5.60
X2
95%1.01
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%3.14
No
65%1.33
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.49 + 2.09 = 2.58
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
55%1.64
Over 3.5
34%2.63
Under 1.5
22%4.32
Under 2.5
45%2.20
Under 3.5
66%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 2.5 + 6 = 8.5
Over 8.5
47%1.59
Over 9.5
35%2.03
Over 10.5
24%2.65
Under 8.5
53%2.18
Under 9.5
65%1.72
Under 10.5
76%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 1.4 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%-
Over 4.5
34%-
Under 3.5
47%-
Under 4.5
66%-

Match Events

12'Kirill GomanovAssist: Valeri Gromyko
17'Artem KontsevoyAssist: Timofey Simanenka
40'Gabriel CapicchioniFoul
45'Timofey Simanenka INTrofim Melnichenko out
59'Balda Enea Della INSamuel·Pancotti out
59'Gabriel Capicchioni INAndrea Contadini out
63'Aleksandr Selyava INAleksandr Svirepa out
63'Valeri Gromyko INAnton Kovalev out
67'Lorenzo·Capicchioni INAlessandro Golinucci out
71'S. ZannoniArgument
73'Lorenzo Lazzari INFausto Marino Salicioni Ortiz out
73'F. Fabbri INAlessandro Tosi out
75'vladislav kalinin INAnton Lukashov out
76'Aleksandr SvirepaFoul
80'F. FabbriDissent
86'Max Ebong INKirill Zinovich out
90+3'Aleksandr Svirepa

Lineups

San Marino
4-3-1-2Coach: R. Cevoli
Belarus
4-2-3-1Coach: V. Goncharenko
Avg rating6.25
Avg rating6.97
11E. Colombo
G. Benvenuti6.42G. Benvenuti
44F. Fabbri
M. Pasolini6.115M. Pasolini
S. Giocondi6.73S. Giocondi
1818B. Enea Della
L. Capicchioni6.18L. Capicchioni
1010S. Zannoni
L. Lazzari6.221L. Lazzari
N. Nanni6.39N. Nanni
G. Capicchioni6.57G. Capicchioni
F. Lapoukhov6.921F. Lapoukhov
V. Kalinin7.15V. Kalinin
Z. Volkov7.220Z. Volkov
K. Gomanov7.713K. Gomanov
K. Pechenin7.02K. Pechenin
A. Selyava6.58A. Selyava
V. Bocherov6.915V. Bocherov
A. Kontsevoy8.122A. Kontsevoy
M. Ebong6.19M. Ebong
V. Gromyko7.410V. Gromyko
T. Simanenka7.011T. Simanenka

San Marino Substitutes

6D. Rossi
19S. Pancotti59'replaced by Balda Enea Della6.4
22M. Mularoni
13P. Amici
11Andrea Contadini59'replaced by Gabriel Capicchioni
23M. De Angelis
17A. Golinucci67'for Lorenzo·Capicchioni5.6
5T. Benvenuti
14Fausto Marino Salicioni Ortiz73'replaced by Lorenzo Lazzari
16C. Meloni
20P. Marinucci
12A. Tosi73'replaced by F. Fabbri6.3

Belarus Substitutes

12A. Kudravets
14K. Zinovich86'for Max Ebong6.5
4A. Lukashov75'for vladislav kalinin6.8
23T. Melnichenko45'for Timofey Simanenka7.4
18V. Morozov
1P. Pavlyuchenko
19G. Shevchenko
7A. Svirepa63'for Aleksandr Selyava76'90+3'6.3
3I. Tikhomirov
17K. Vardanyan
16A. Kovalev63'for Valeri Gromyko6.7
6R. Begunov

Match Stats

San MarinoBelarus
40%Ball Possession60%
2Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards1
5Total Shots17
1Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal6
4Shots Inside Box14
1Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots4
11Fouls22
2Offsides4
5Goalkeeper Saves1
360Total Passes549
274Passes Accurate463
21Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

San MarinoSan Marino
BelarusBelarus
1059Elo Rating 1395
0.41Attack 1.19
0.00Defense 2.67
0%Hit Rate 50%
6.2Shots per Game 9.1
2.1Shots on Target 2.7
2.2Corners per Game 2.6
3.3Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

San MarinoSan Marino
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BelarusBelarus
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

San MarinoSan Marino0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
BelarusBelarus3Wins · 100%
3.7Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

UEFA Nations League03/10/2026
BelarusSan Marino
40
UEFA Nations League18/11/2018
San MarinoBelarus
02
UEFA Nations League08/09/2018
BelarusSan Marino
50

Recent Form

San MarinoSan Marino
0W0D10L
06/10/2026
AlbaniaSan Marino
21
L
03/10/2026
BelarusSan Marino
40
L
29/09/2026
San MarinoAlbania
03
L
26/09/2026
San MarinoFinland
07
L
09/06/2026
AzerbaijanSan Marino
21
L
05/06/2026
San MarinoBangladesh
12
L
18/11/2025
RomaniaSan Marino
71
L
12/10/2025
San MarinoCyprus
04
L
09/10/2025
AustriaSan Marino
100
L
06/09/2025
San MarinoBosnia & Herzegovina
06
L
BelarusBelarus
3W4D3L
06/10/2026
BelarusFinland
10
W
03/10/2026
BelarusSan Marino
40
W
29/09/2026
FinlandBelarus
00
D
26/09/2026
AlbaniaBelarus
20
L
09/06/2026
BelarusBurkina Faso
22
D
05/06/2026
BelarusSyria
41
W
18/11/2025
BelarusGreece
00
D
15/11/2025
DenmarkBelarus
22
D
12/10/2025
ScotlandBelarus
21
L
09/10/2025
BelarusDenmark
06
L

Referee Profile

Goga Kikacheishvili171 matches

4.61Cards per match
4.39Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
26.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Goga Kikacheishvili4.61
Other referees4.37

4.61 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.37).

Cards come from 18 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AlbaniaAlbania540110:3+712WWLWW
2BelarusBelarus53117:2+510WWWDL
3FinlandFinland52129:4+57LLWDW
4San MarinoSan Marino50051:18-170LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AlbaniaAlbania510:312
2BelarusBelarus57:210
3FinlandFinland59:47
4San MarinoSan Marino51:180
Promotion

About the San Marino vs Belarus forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

San Marino and Belarus in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Belarus are 2nd in the UEFA Nations League, 10 points ahead of San Marino in 4th. League goal record so far: San Marino 1-18, Belarus 7-2. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.