Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros Prediction

Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar·Bismark Elias Santiago Pitalua, Colombia 09/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-4.8%
Alianza Valledupar Rest
7 days
Llaneros Rest
8 days

Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros: result, form and history

Llaneros beat Alianza Valledupar 2-1 in the Primera A on 9 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.7 goals a game across 3 matches. Llaneros tend to win more corners, 5.5 a game to 3.4 for Alianza Valledupar.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.20
X
28%3.17
2
29%3.25
Double Chance
1X
71%1.30
X2
57%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.85
No
49%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 1.05 = 2.50
Over 1.5
70%1.36
Over 2.5
46%2.15
Over 3.5
26%3.75
Under 1.5
30%2.88
Under 2.5
54%1.65
Under 3.5
74%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.3 = 9.1
Over 8.5
55%1.48
Over 9.5
42%1.84
Over 10.5
31%2.34
Under 8.5
45%2.38
Under 9.5
58%1.90
Under 10.5
69%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5
--
Over 4.5
--
Under 3.5
--
Under 4.5
--

Match Events

5'J. Pertuz
16'J. CastillaAssist: J. Escobar Salcedo
21'M. MartinezAssist: F. Pardo
34'M. Martinez INC. Vergara out
35'Jhon Vasquez(Penalty)
41'D. Quintero
46'S. Quinones INB. Viafara out
57'E. W. Meza Mercado INJ. E. Perez Balcazar out
64'J. Ramirez INB. Chury out
64'J. Castilla INKelvin Osorio out
70'J. Castillo
70'J. Contreras INC. Cortes out
74'J. Castillo INY. Rosales out
74'F. Pardo INL. Palacios out
79'N. Ospina INK. Rincon out
79'Jhon Vasquez INJ. Medranda out
84'M. Sierra
90+3'J. E. Perez Balcazar

Lineups

Alianza Valledupar
3-4-3
Llaneros
4-1-4-1
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating6.85
Eduar Beltrán7.240E. Beltrán
Sebastián Quiñones6.22S. Quiñones
Kevin Moreno6.03K. Moreno
Pedro FrancoC6.75P. Franco
Israel Alba7.623I. Alba
Jair Castillo7.97J. Castillo
Ever Meza6.26E. Meza
Jhildrey Lasso6.333J. Lasso
Felipe Pardo7.717F. Pardo
Misael Martínez7.277M. Martínez
Jesús Muñoz6.38J. Muñoz
Juan Loaiza7.012J. Loaiza
Juan Pertuz7.24J. Pertuz
Francisco MezaC7.021F. Meza
Dennys Quintero6.326D. Quintero
Jhojan Escobar7.016J. Escobar
Marlon Sierra6.96M. Sierra
Juan Ramirez6.58J. Ramirez
Neider Ospina6.610N. Ospina
Juan Castilla7.513J. Castilla
Joel Contreras6.970J. Contreras
Jhon Vásquez7.995J. Vásquez

Alianza Valledupar Substitutes

18Cristian Andres Vergara Rivas34'for M. Martinez6.3
11Brayan Viafara46'for S. Quinones6.3
13Antonio Simancas
60Yilson Rosales74'for J. Castillo6.7
88Leyner Palacios74'for F. Pardo6.3
25Josy Pérez57'replaced by E. W. Meza Mercado90+3'6.2
21Samuel Nieto
14Charly Villegas
20Leimar Luna

Llaneros Substitutes

22Roameth Romaña
31Emilio Pardo
94Jimmy Medranda79'for Jhon Vasquez
14Kevin Rincón79'for N. Ospina
20Brandon Chury64'for J. Ramirez6.3
33Kelvin Osorio64'for J. Castilla6.5
9Carlos Cortés70'for J. Contreras6.3

Match Stats

Alianza ValleduparLlaneros
58%Ball Possession42%
8Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards3
18Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal6
10Shots off Goal8
11Shots Inside Box9
7Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots2
10Fouls12
3Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves2
440Total Passes321
365Passes Accurate244
83%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar
LlanerosLlaneros
1474Elo Rating 1488
0.91Attack 1.12
1.95Defense 1.08
36%Hit Rate 44%
10.2Shots per Game 11.7
3.0Shots on Target 4.4
3.4Corners per Game 5.5
3.7Cards per Game 3.9

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.3 in second half)
LlanerosLlaneros
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
LlanerosLlaneros0Wins · 0%
1.7Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Primera A27/04/2026
LlanerosAlianza Valledupar
00
Primera A27/09/2025
Alianza ValleduparLlaneros
31
Primera A12/04/2025
LlanerosAlianza Valledupar
01

Referee Profile

Bismark Elias Santiago Pitalua129 matches

5.92Cards per match
5.62Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Bismark Elias Santiago Pitalua5.92
Other referees5.77

5.92 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.77).

Cards come from 108 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040LWWWD
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735WDWWL
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434LLWWD
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWWLW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933DWDDD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LWLDW
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729WWWDD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028LWLWD
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427WLDWW
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826WLDLD
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226WWWLD
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526DLLWL
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623DLWLL
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322LDLDW
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522LLWDD
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318DLLWL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417DLLWD
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717WLLWL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316DLWDW
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710WLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional18123337:17+2039LWWWD
2Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1897226:10+1634WLDWW
3Santa FeSanta Fe19104530:18+1234WWWDD
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1896329:15+1433LWWLW
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1888230:17+1332DLWLL
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1892728:25+329WWWLD
7MillonariosMillonarios1869325:16+927WLDLD
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1876522:18+427DWDDD
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1875623:21+226LWLDW
10Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1867522:21+125DLLWL
11LlanerosLlaneros1973921:24-324LDLDW
12CucutaCucuta1873819:26-724DLWDW
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1958625:25023LWLWD
14JuniorJunior1957726:27-122WDWWL
15ChicoChico1955915:29-1420WLLWL
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar18531018:31-1318DLLWD
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1838716:26-1017WLDLL
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19431213:30-1715LLWWD
19JaguaresJaguares18341117:35-1813DLLWL
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1819817:28-1112LLWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1837:1739
2Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1826:1034
3Santa FeSanta Fe1930:1834
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1829:1533
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1830:1732
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1828:2529
7MillonariosMillonarios1825:1627
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1822:1827
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1823:2126
10Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1822:2125
11LlanerosLlaneros1921:2424
12CucutaCucuta1819:2624
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1925:2523
14JuniorJunior1926:2722
15ChicoChico1915:2920
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1818:3118
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1816:2617
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1913:3015
19JaguaresJaguares1817:3513
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1817:2812

About the Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Alianza Valledupar and Llaneros in the Primera A table

In the Primera A table, Llaneros are 14th and Alianza Valledupar 17th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Alianza Valledupar 13-27, Llaneros 17-20. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.