Deportivo Pasto vs Junior Prediction

Deportivo Pasto
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Junior
Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto·Diego Alejandro Ruiz Casas, Colombia 13/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.18
SignalGOODModel74%SurpriseMediumGap-13.8%
Deportivo Pasto Rest
4 days
Junior Rest
2 days

Deportivo Pasto vs Junior: the result in context

Junior beat Deportivo Pasto 1-0 in the Primera A on 12 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Diego Alejandro Ruiz Casas averages 4.55 cards a game, 1.32 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
15%14.00
X
17%6.50
2
68%1.18
Double Chance
1X
31%4.63
X2
85%1.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.86
No
49%1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.41 = 2.72
Over 1.5
82%1.11
Over 2.5
64%1.35
Over 3.5
31%1.97
Under 1.5
18%5.30
Under 2.5
36%2.85
Under 3.5
69%1.75
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4 = 9.1
Over 8.5
55%-
Over 9.5
43%-
Over 10.5
32%-
Under 8.5
45%-
Under 9.5
57%-
Under 10.5
68%-
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5
--
Over 4.5
--
Under 3.5
--
Under 4.5
--

Match Events

20'C. Perez
21'J. Revollo
31'A. Shmalbach
37'H. Goyes INT. Blandon out
46'D. Villarreal INB. Castrillon out
46'A. Shmalbach INJ. Pena out
59'J. Arboleda INL. Medina out
59'J. Solarte INF. Martinez out
59'E. Garcia INE. Gomez out
59'C. Barrios ING. Paiva out
60'C. PerezAssist: K. Perez
73'G. Celis
74'G. Paiva
80'J. Revollo IND. Chillambo out
80'L. Muriel INJ. Canchimbo out
80'K. Perez INF. S. Angel Bernal out
88'F. S. Angel Bernal

Lineups

Deportivo Pasto
4-4-2
Junior
4-3-3
Avg rating6.68
Avg rating6.73
Luis Marquínez6.313L. Marquínez
Juan Arboleda6.941J. Arboleda
Juan Revollo6.54J. Revollo
Samuel Portes6.944S. Portes
Hervin GoyesC7.227H. Goyes
Heiler Moreno7.226H. Moreno
Michael Mosquera6.938M. Mosquera
Kevin Santacruz6.924K. Santacruz
Édgar García6.331É. García
José Solarte6.322J. Solarte
Patrick Preciado7.519P. Preciado
Mauro Silveira6.61M. Silveira
Andrés Schmalbach6.238A. Schmalbach
Jean Carlos Pestaña6.924J. Carlos Pestaña
Carlos Perez7.716C. Perez
9999F. Correa
Harold Rivera6.97H. Rivera
Guillermo Celis7.228G. Celis
Dilan Villareal6.96D. Villareal
Cristian Barrios6.377C. Barrios
Luis MurielC7.010L. Muriel
Kevin Pérez7.218K. Pérez

Deportivo Pasto Substitutes

28Tomás Blandón37'for H. Goyes6.6
30Luis Medina59'for J. Arboleda6.2
42Eder Gómez59'for E. Garcia6.3
35Frank Martínez59'for J. Solarte6.6
21Yinier Perea
43Juan David Quintero Pantoja
37Didier Chillambo80'for J. Revollo6.3
45Juan Rosero
1Cristian Valderrama

Junior Substitutes

98Jermein Peña46'for A. Shmalbach6.5
88Bryan Castrillón46'for D. Villarreal6.5
9Guillermo Paiva59'for C. Barrios74'6.3
30Jefersson Martínez
23Pablo Ortíz
80Fabián Ángel80'for K. Perez88'6.3
25Déiber Caicedo
14Juan David Ríos
21Joel Canchimbo80'for L. Muriel6.6

Match Stats

Deportivo PastoJunior
39%Ball Possession61%
6Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
16Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal4
5Shots Inside Box8
11Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots5
12Fouls10
0Offsides4
3Goalkeeper Saves5
291Total Passes464
244Passes Accurate389
84%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
JuniorJunior
1469Elo Rating 1559
0.96Attack 1.10
1.90Defense 1.82
46%Hit Rate 19%
13.0Shots per Game 10.6
3.8Shots on Target 3.0
4.2Corners per Game 3.4
3.5Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
JuniorJunior
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
JuniorJunior4Wins · 40%
2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A04/05/2026
JuniorDeportivo Pasto
43
Primera A29/09/2025
JuniorDeportivo Pasto
20
Primera A13/04/2025
Deportivo PastoJunior
33
Primera A29/08/2024
Deportivo PastoJunior
10
Primera A09/02/2024
JuniorDeportivo Pasto
20
Primera A14/08/2023
JuniorDeportivo Pasto
00
Primera A19/02/2023
Deportivo PastoJunior
10
Primera A18/09/2022
Deportivo PastoJunior
21
Primera A25/03/2022
JuniorDeportivo Pasto
11
Primera A01/11/2021
JuniorDeportivo Pasto
21

Referee Profile

Diego Alejandro Ruiz Casas92 matches

4.55Cards per match
4.37Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
23.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Diego Alejandro Ruiz Casas4.55
Other referees5.87

4.55 cards a match, 1.32 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.87).

Cards come from 75 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040LWWWD
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735WDWWL
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434LLWWD
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWWLW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933DWDDD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LWLDW
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729WWWDD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028LWLWD
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427WLDWW
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826WLDLD
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226WWWLD
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526DLLWL
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623DLWLL
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322LDLDW
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522LLWDD
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318DLLWL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417DLLWD
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717WLLWL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316DLWDW
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710WLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional18123337:17+2039LWWWD
2Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1897226:10+1634WLDWW
3Santa FeSanta Fe19104530:18+1234WWWDD
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1896329:15+1433LWWLW
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1888230:17+1332DLWLL
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1892728:25+329WWWLD
7MillonariosMillonarios1869325:16+927WLDLD
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1876522:18+427DWDDD
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1875623:21+226LWLDW
10Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1867522:21+125DLLWL
11LlanerosLlaneros1973921:24-324LDLDW
12CucutaCucuta1873819:26-724DLWDW
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1958625:25023LWLWD
14JuniorJunior1957726:27-122WDWWL
15ChicoChico1955915:29-1420WLLWL
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar18531018:31-1318DLLWD
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1838716:26-1017WLDLL
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19431213:30-1715LLWWD
19JaguaresJaguares18341117:35-1813DLLWL
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1819817:28-1112LLWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1837:1739
2Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1826:1034
3Santa FeSanta Fe1930:1834
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1829:1533
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1830:1732
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1828:2529
7MillonariosMillonarios1825:1627
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1822:1827
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1823:2126
10Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1822:2125
11LlanerosLlaneros1921:2424
12CucutaCucuta1819:2624
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1925:2523
14JuniorJunior1926:2722
15ChicoChico1915:2920
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1818:3118
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1816:2617
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1913:3015
19JaguaresJaguares1817:3513
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1817:2812

About the Deportivo Pasto vs Junior forecast

The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Deportivo Pasto and Junior in the Primera A table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Junior are 2nd in the Primera A, 1 point ahead of Deportivo Pasto in 3rd. League goal record so far: Deportivo Pasto 29-25, Junior 31-24. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.