Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios Prediction

Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibague·Edwin Ferney Trujillo Castro, Colombia 09/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-1.2%
Deportes Tolima Rest
5 days
Millonarios Rest
3 days

Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios: result, form and history

Deportes Tolima beat Millonarios 2-1 in the Primera A on 8 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.7 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.29
X
30%3.12
2
27%3.10
Double Chance
1X
73%1.33
X2
57%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.85
No
49%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.03 = 2.35
Over 1.5
71%1.36
Over 2.5
45%2.16
Over 3.5
26%3.78
Under 1.5
29%2.90
Under 2.5
55%1.65
Under 3.5
74%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.3 = 9.3
Over 8.5
57%1.85
Over 9.5
45%2.36
Over 10.5
34%3.24
Under 8.5
43%1.86
Under 9.5
55%1.50
Under 10.5
66%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5
--
Over 4.5
--
Under 3.5
--
Under 4.5
--

Match Events

8'J. Cuadrado
9'H. E. Martinez Yepez
14'M. Garcia
18'S. Vega
25'E. Valencia(Penalty)
27'J. Cuadrado
29'D. Ruiz INF. Chaverra out
36'K. FlorezAssist: H. E. Martinez Yepez
45+1'J. Hernandez
45+3'S. Mosquera
46'M. Garcia INL. Castro out
46'D. Banguero INA. Estupinan out
46'K. Florez
56'H. E. Martinez Yepez INJ. Angulo out
56'E. Valencia INL. Sandoval out
65'B. Rovira INV. Reyes out
72'Goal Disallowed - handballJ. Angulo
75'J. Mosquera
80'J. Hurtado INE. Lopez out
80'A. Parra Osorio INS. Aguayo out
82'L. Sandoval
86'J. Cuadrado IND. Quintero out
90+1'S. Vega INLeonai Souza out
90+5'S. Aguayo

Lineups

Deportes Tolima
4-2-3-1
Millonarios
4-2-3-1
Avg rating6.71
Avg rating6.54
Miguel Ortega5.613M. Ortega
Jherson Mosquera6.233J. Mosquera
Yordan Osorio7.271Y. Osorio
Juan Mera6.75J. Mera
Junior Hernández5.920J. Hernández
Homer Martinez7.314H. Martinez
Brayan RoviraC7.080B. Rovira
Kelvin Florez8.218K. Florez
Ever Valencia7.28E. Valencia
Jorge Hurtado6.27J. Hurtado
Adrián Parra6.224A. Parra
Javier Burrai6.31J. Burrai
Samuel Martín6.33S. Martín
Stiven Barreiro6.34S. Barreiro
Sergio Mosquera5.36S. Mosquera
Danovis Banguero6.220D. Banguero
Stiven Vega7.028S. Vega
Mateo García6.219M. García
Daniel Ruiz6.310D. Ruiz
David Macalister Silva7.214D. Macalister Silva
Juan CuadradoC7.77J. Cuadrado
Rodrigo Contreras6.727R. Contreras

Deportes Tolima Substitutes

23Gali Balanta
3Jan Ángulo56'for H. E. Martinez Yepez6.9
4Daniel Pedrozo
16Victor Reyes65'for B. Rovira6.6
9Luis Sandoval56'for E. Valencia82'6.6
11Jader Valencia
28Edwar López80'for J. Hurtado6.7
15Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo80'for A. Parra Osorio90+5'6.9
29Neifer Sanchez

Millonarios Substitutes

13Francisco Chaverra29'for D. Ruiz6.3
23Leonardo Castro46'for M. Garcia6.7
11Andrey Estupiñán46'for D. Banguero7.0
12James Aguirre
17Jorge Arias
43Cristian Uparela
25Darwin Quintero86'for J. Cuadrado
55Leonai90+1'for S. Vega
30Sebastián del Castillo

Match Stats

Deportes TolimaMillonarios
46%Ball Possession54%
3Corner Kicks3
5Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
11Total Shots12
2Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal6
5Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots2
23Fouls14
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves0
337Total Passes394
252Passes Accurate319
75%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
MillonariosMillonarios
1566Elo Rating 1648
1.33Attack 1.31
1.61Defense 2.27
27%Hit Rate 19%
14.3Shots per Game 19.2
5.2Shots on Target 6.3
5.4Corners per Game 5.2
3.5Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
MillonariosMillonarios
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
MillonariosMillonarios4Wins · 40%
1.7Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
10%3+ goals1 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A24/04/2026
MillonariosDeportes Tolima
20
Primera A18/08/2025
Deportes TolimaMillonarios
31
Primera A02/03/2025
MillonariosDeportes Tolima
20
Primera A03/08/2024
MillonariosDeportes Tolima
10
Primera A04/02/2024
Deportes TolimaMillonarios
20
Primera A08/08/2023
MillonariosDeportes Tolima
10
Primera A30/03/2023
Deportes TolimaMillonarios
11
Primera A24/10/2022
Deportes TolimaMillonarios
10
Primera A10/05/2022
MillonariosDeportes Tolima
00
Primera A10/12/2021
MillonariosDeportes Tolima
11

Referee Profile

Edwin Ferney Trujillo Castro29 matches

6.46Cards per match
6.00Yellow cards per match
0.46Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Edwin Ferney Trujillo Castro6.46
Other referees6.04

6.46 cards a match, 0.42 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.04).

Cards come from 26 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040LWWWD
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735WDWWL
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434LLWWD
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWWLW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933DWDDD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LWLDW
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729WWWDD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028LWLWD
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427WLDWW
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826WLDLD
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226WWWLD
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526DLLWL
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623DLWLL
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322LDLDW
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522LLWDD
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318DLLWL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417DLLWD
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717WLLWL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316DLWDW
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710WLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional18123337:17+2039LWWWD
2Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1897226:10+1634WLDWW
3Santa FeSanta Fe19104530:18+1234WWWDD
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1896329:15+1433LWWLW
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1888230:17+1332DLWLL
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1892728:25+329WWWLD
7MillonariosMillonarios1869325:16+927WLDLD
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1876522:18+427DWDDD
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1875623:21+226LWLDW
10Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1867522:21+125DLLWL
11LlanerosLlaneros1973921:24-324LDLDW
12CucutaCucuta1873819:26-724DLWDW
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1958625:25023LWLWD
14JuniorJunior1957726:27-122WDWWL
15ChicoChico1955915:29-1420WLLWL
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar18531018:31-1318DLLWD
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1838716:26-1017WLDLL
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19431213:30-1715LLWWD
19JaguaresJaguares18341117:35-1813DLLWL
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1819817:28-1112LLWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1837:1739
2Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1826:1034
3Santa FeSanta Fe1930:1834
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1829:1533
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1830:1732
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1828:2529
7MillonariosMillonarios1825:1627
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1822:1827
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1823:2126
10Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1822:2125
11LlanerosLlaneros1921:2424
12CucutaCucuta1819:2624
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1925:2523
14JuniorJunior1926:2722
15ChicoChico1915:2920
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1818:3118
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1816:2617
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1913:3015
19JaguaresJaguares1817:3513
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1817:2812

About the Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Deportes Tolima and Millonarios in the Primera A table

In the Primera A table, Deportes Tolima are 6th and Millonarios 10th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Deportes Tolima 27-17, Millonarios 31-23. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.