Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 13
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.48
SignalSOLIDModel66%SurpriseMediumGap-4.3%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.72
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+7.8%
Deportivo Cali Rest
4 days
Alianza Valledupar Rest
5 days
Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar: the result in context
Deportivo Cali beat Alianza Valledupar 3-1 in the Primera A on 3 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
163%1.48
X24%4.00
213%6.80
Double Chance
1X87%1.10
X237%2.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes47%2.15
No53%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.07 + 0.8 = 2.87
Over 1.573%1.33
Over 2.549%2.05
Over 3.528%3.60
Under 1.527%3.12
Under 2.551%1.72
Under 3.572%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.3 = 10.2
Over 8.565%1.72
Over 9.554%2.15
Over 10.544%2.88
Under 8.535%2.02
Under 9.546%1.60
Under 10.556%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.8 = 4.9
Over 3.572%-
Over 4.554%-
Under 3.528%-
Under 4.546%-
Match Events
32'Ever MezaFoul
41'Jose Carlos CalderaFoul
45'Deinner Quiñones INLeyner Palacios out
47'Emanuel ReynosoDissent
54'Juan ViverosFoul
55'Ever Meza INWiston Fernández out
61'Leyner PalaciosAssist: Wiston Fernández
64'Emanuel Reynoso INSteven Rodríguez out
69'Juan DinennoAssist: Johan Martinez
71'Jesús Muñoz INCharly Villegas González out
71'Johan Martinez INAlexis Castillo Manyoma out
71'Cristian Andrés Vergara Rivas INMisael Martinez out
73'Carlos BaccaDissent
79'Jose Carlos CalderaAssist: Alexis Castillo Manyoma
80'Eduar Esteban RestrepoArgument
80'Gustavo CuéllarViolent conduct
82'Juan DinennoFoul
82'J. Lasso INJosy Pérez out
83'Jair CastilloDissent
84'Fabian Viafara INDaniel Giraldo out
84'Juan Dinenno INKeimer Sandoval out
86'Leyner PalaciosFoul
90+4'Alexis Castillo ManyomaAssist: Steven Rodríguez
Lineups
Deportivo CaliAlianza Valledupar
4-2-3-1Coach: Flabio TorresAvg ratingAvg rating
38A. Rodríguez
27F. Viáfara
12J. Caldera
4F. Antonio Álvarez Amador
28E. Velasco
15L. Chaverra
5G. Cuéllar
20E. Bello
10E. Reynoso
19J. Martínez
9J. Dinenno
40E. Esteban
22J. Figueroa
3K. Moreno
32J. Viveros
33J. Lasso
6E. Meza
7J. Castillo
23I. Alba
10D. Quiñónes
8J. Muñoz
18C. VergaraDeportivo Cali Substitutes
70C. Bacca73'
14A. Castillo Manyoma71'for Johan Martinez90+4'
32Santiago Mondragón Alzate
2J. Moya
23S. Rodríguez64'for Emanuel Reynoso
16K. Sandoval84'for Juan Dinenno
29Kevin Caicedo
26J. Tello
8D. Giraldo84'for Fabian Viafara
Alianza Valledupar Substitutes
14C. Villegas71'for Jesús Muñoz
13A. Simancas
2Sebastián Quiñones
25J. Perez82'for J. Lasso
88L. Palacios45'for Deinner Quiñones61'86'
77M. Martínez71'for Cristian Andrés Vergara Rivas
55W. Fernández55'for Ever Meza
Match Stats
Deportivo CaliAlianza Valledupar 62%Ball Possession38%
3Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards5
1Red Cards0
8Total Shots13
4Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal8
5Shots Inside Box4
3Shots Outside Box9
0Blocked Shots1
10Fouls14
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves1
507Total Passes307
443Passes Accurate236
14Free Kicks8
Team Comparison
Deportivo CaliAlianza Valledupar1665Elo Rating 1477
1.59Attack 1.39
2.83Defense 1.23
58%Hit Rate 44%
12.8Shots per Game 13.6
6.3Shots on Target 4.0
4.1Corners per Game 4.5
1.7Cards per Game 4.4
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+188 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Deportivo Cali- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
Alianza Valledupar- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Deportivo Cali4Wins · 40%Draws330%
Alianza Valledupar3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%2.6Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
21/05/2026Deportivo CaliAlianza Valledupar10
22/03/2026Alianza ValleduparDeportivo Cali10
29/10/2025Deportivo CaliAlianza Valledupar01
11/05/2025Alianza ValleduparDeportivo Cali20
23/07/2024Deportivo CaliAlianza Valledupar10
27/01/2024Alianza ValleduparDeportivo Cali33
02/10/2023Deportivo CaliAlianza Valledupar10
22/04/2023Alianza ValleduparDeportivo Cali03
20/08/2022Alianza ValleduparDeportivo Cali44
20/02/2022Deportivo CaliAlianza Valledupar11
Recent Form
Deportivo Cali5W3D2L
28/09/2026Deportivo Cali
Águilas Doradas
Santa FeDeportivo CaliDeportivo Cali
Cucuta
Once CaldasDeportivo Cali
MillonariosDeportivo Cali
Atletico NacionalDeportivo CaliDeportivo Cali
BucaramangaDeportivo Cali
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo PastoDeportivo Cali
Deportivo CaliÁguilas Doradas20
W23/09/2026Santa FeDeportivo Cali01
W20/09/2026Deportivo CaliCucuta30
W14/09/2026Once CaldasDeportivo Cali12
W11/09/2026MillonariosDeportivo Cali11
D08/09/2026Atletico NacionalDeportivo Cali30
L31/08/2026Deportivo CaliBucaramanga11
D27/08/2026Atletico NacionalDeportivo Cali
24/08/2026Atletico NacionalDeportivo Cali21
LDeportivo CaliInternacional de Bogota22
D09/08/2026Deportivo PastoDeportivo Cali02
WAlianza Valledupar3W1D6L
27/09/2026
JaguaresAlianza Valledupar
ChicoAlianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar
JuniorOnce CaldasAlianza Valledupar
America de CaliAlianza ValleduparAlianza ValleduparAtletico NacionalCucutaAlianza ValleduparAlianza ValleduparBucaramanga
JaguaresAlianza Valledupar12
W19/09/2026Alianza ValleduparSanta Fe
16/09/2026Alianza ValleduparSanta Fe14
LChicoAlianza Valledupar12
W13/09/2026Alianza ValleduparJunior10
W10/09/2026Once CaldasAlianza Valledupar10
L03/09/2026America de CaliAlianza Valledupar30
L30/08/2026Alianza ValleduparAtletico Nacional15
L26/08/2026CucutaAlianza Valledupar10
L22/08/2026Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
09/08/2026Alianza ValleduparDeportivo Pereira00
DAlianza ValleduparBucaramanga23
LReferee Profile
6.53Cards per match
6.18Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.53 cards a match, 0.45 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.08).
Cards come from 45 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WDWWL |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | DLWWL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWLDW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DDDLD |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LDWWD |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | LWWDD |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | WDLLD |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | DWWLD |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 |  Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | LDWLW |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | WLWDL |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LLLDD |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | WDDDL |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | DDLLL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | LDLLL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | WDLWW |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | DWDDL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 30:13 | +17 | 32 | WDWWL |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:11 | +18 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:10 | +14 | 30 | DWWLD |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 22:13 | +9 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | +7 | 25 | LWWDD |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22:21 | +1 | 23 | LDWLW |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DDDLD |
| 9 | Cucuta | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 21 | DWDDL |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 19 | WLWDL |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 18:22 | -4 | 17 | WDLLD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 17 | WDDDL |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 15 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11:19 | -8 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 18 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 12 | DLWWL |
| 20 | Jaguares | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:28 | -12 | 10 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 30:13 | 32 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 29:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 24:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 14 | 22:13 | 25 |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 14 | 21:14 | 25 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 16 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Cucuta | 15 | 18:22 | 21 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 15 | 19:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 16:26 | 18 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 18:22 | 17 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 15 | 16:20 | 17 |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 20:23 | 15 |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 12:25 | 15 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 11:19 | 14 |
| 18 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 10:22 | 12 |
| 20 | Jaguares | 14 | 16:28 | 10 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar 27/09/26
- Deportivo Cali vs Águilas Doradas 28/09/26
- Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios 30/09/26
- Atletico Nacional vs Junior 01/10/26
- Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares 03/10/26
- Deportes Tolima vs Chico 03/10/26
- Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC 04/10/26
- Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira 04/10/26
About the Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Deportivo Cali and Alianza Valledupar in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Deportivo Cali are 9th and Alianza Valledupar 17th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Deportivo Cali 20-16, Alianza Valledupar 13-27. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.