Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas Prediction

Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar·Wilmar Hernando Montano Guevara 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-6.9%
Alianza Valledupar Rest
6 days
Águilas Doradas Rest
6 days

Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas: result, form and history

Alianza Valledupar and Águilas Doradas drew 2-2 in the Primera A on 10 Oct 2026. Alianza Valledupar had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Águilas Doradas.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Referee Wilmar Hernando Montano Guevara averages 6.93 cards a game, 0.86 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.38
X
30%3.13
2
32%2.96
Double Chance
1X
68%1.36
X2
62%1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.84
No
48%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.4 + 1.04 = 2.44
Over 1.5
70%1.36
Over 2.5
46%2.13
Over 3.5
25%3.75
Under 1.5
30%2.90
Under 2.5
54%1.66
Under 3.5
75%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.7 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.73
Over 9.5
54%2.19
Over 10.5
42%2.92
Under 8.5
35%2.00
Under 9.5
46%1.59
Under 10.5
58%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 3 = 5.7
Over 3.5
82%-
Over 4.5
67%-
Under 3.5
18%-
Under 4.5
33%-

Match Events

4'Cristian VergaraFoul
21'Iván RojasAssist: Andres Ricaurte
33'Fabián Suárez INAnthony Vásquez out
36'John OntanedaFoul
45'Deinner Quiñones INMisael Martinez out
45+3'Anthony VásquezAssist: Ricardo Marquez
57'Charly Villegas González INYeiner Londoño out
58'Eduar Arízalas INMatías Ramírez out
62'Jair CastilloDissent
63'Andres RicaurteFoul
72'Ever MezaDissent
75'Yeiner LondoñoDissent
77'Iván Rojas INSebastián Rodríguez out
78'Ricardo Marquez INJuan Esteban·Avalo Trejos out
78'Andres Ricaurte INJuan Camilo Roa out
79'Frank LozanoNot retreating
80'Misael MartinezArgument
81'Jair Castillo INJosy Pérez out
81'Jesús Muñoz INEver Meza out
82'Juan ViverosFoul
84'Juan Viveros INPedro Franco out
90'Misael MartinezAssist: Josy Pérez
90+2'José Flabio Torres DíazDissent
90+4'Josy PérezDissent
90+4'Misael Martinez
90+6'Penalty confirmedYeiner Londoño
90+9'Jesus Figueroa(Penalty)

Lineups

Alianza Valledupar
4-2-3-1Coach: Flabio Torres
Águilas Doradas
4-2-3-1Coach: F. Robatto
Avg rating6.25
Avg rating6.74
E. Esteban6.040E. Esteban
I. Alba6.423I. Alba
J. Figueroa7.322J. Figueroa
J. Viveros6.132J. Viveros
3333j. lasso
W. Fernández6.555W. Fernández
J. Castillo6.37J. Castillo
C. Villegas6.314C. Villegas
D. Quiñónes5.710D. Quiñónes
J. Muñoz6.28J. Muñoz
1818C. Vergara
J. Soto6.61J. Soto
D. Lozano6.426D. Lozano
A. Mosquera6.94A. Mosquera
J. Ontaneda6.53J. Ontaneda
J. Mena7.132J. Mena
F. Lozano6.219F. Lozano
I. Rojas7.66I. Rojas
F. Suárez7.015F. Suárez
A. Ricaurte7.78A. Ricaurte
77E. Arízalas
R. Márquez6.821R. Márquez

Alianza Valledupar Substitutes

77M. Martínez45'for Deinner Quiñones80'90'90+4'7.0
27Yeiner Stiwar Londoño Rentería57'for Charly Villegas González75'5.9
5P. Franco84'for Juan Viveros6.1
6E. Meza72'81'for Jesús Muñoz5.8
3K. Moreno
21Samuel Nieto
25J. Perez81'for Jair Castillo90+4'5.9
13A. Simancas
11Brayan Stiven Viafara Aponza

Águilas Doradas Substitutes

30N. Lara
12Juan Hurtado
29T. Blandon
10Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca
16M. Ramírez58'replaced by Eduar Arízalas6.6
24J. Ávalo78'for Ricardo Marquez6.2
25J. Roa78'for Andres Ricaurte6.1
28S. Rodríguez77'for Iván Rojas6.4
9A. Vásquez33'for Fabián Suárez45+3'7.4

Match Stats

Alianza ValleduparÁguilas Doradas
59%Ball Possession41%
6Corner Kicks5
6Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
20Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal5
7Shots Inside Box9
13Shots Outside Box3
8Blocked Shots2
18Fouls11
3Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves4
371Total Passes264
304Passes Accurate181
10Free Kicks18

Team Comparison

Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar
Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas
1477Elo Rating 1544
1.39Attack 1.27
1.23Defense 1.98
44%Hit Rate 37%
13.6Shots per Game 11.7
4.0Shots on Target 3.3
4.5Corners per Game 5.5
4.4Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas4Wins · 40%
2.9Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A27/03/2026
Águilas DoradasAlianza Valledupar
10
Primera A18/10/2025
Águilas DoradasAlianza Valledupar
10
Copa Colombia04/06/2025
Alianza ValleduparÁguilas Doradas
40
Primera A26/04/2025
Alianza ValleduparÁguilas Doradas
00
Primera A06/11/2024
Alianza ValleduparÁguilas Doradas
30
Primera A17/04/2024
Águilas DoradasAlianza Valledupar
40
Primera A15/10/2023
Águilas DoradasAlianza Valledupar
30
Primera A18/06/2023
Águilas DoradasAlianza Valledupar
11
Primera A23/05/2023
Alianza ValleduparÁguilas Doradas
53
Primera A01/05/2023
Alianza ValleduparÁguilas Doradas
21

Referee Profile

Wilmar Hernando Montano Guevara80 matches

6.93Cards per match
6.48Yellow cards per match
0.44Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Wilmar Hernando Montano Guevara6.93
Other referees6.07

6.93 cards a match, 0.86 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.07).

Cards come from 27 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040WDWWL
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735LWWLW
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434DLWWL
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWLDW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933DDDLD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LDWWD
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729LWWDD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028WDLLD
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427DWWLD
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826DLDWW
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226LDWLW
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526WLWDL
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623LLLDD
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322DWDDD
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522DDLLL
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318WLDLL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417WDLWW
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717LWLDL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316DWDDL
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional15102330:13+1732WDWWL
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1594229:11+1831LWLDW
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1686224:10+1430DWWLD
4MillonariosMillonarios1668224:14+1026DLDWW
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1467122:13+925LLLDD
6Santa FeSanta Fe1474321:14+725LWWDD
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1572622:21+123LDWLW
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1656520:18+221DDDLD
9CucutaCucuta1563618:22-421DWDDL
10Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1655618:19-120LDWWD
11Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1547419:20-119WLWDL
12Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1553716:26-1018WDLWW
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1638518:22-417WDLLD
14LlanerosLlaneros1652916:21-517DWDDD
15JuniorJunior1536620:23-315LWWLW
16ChicoChico1543812:25-1315LWLDL
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1528511:19-814LLLDD
18JaguaresJaguares1534817:28-1113WLDLL
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1519516:22-612DDLLL
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1533910:22-1212DLWWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1530:1332
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1529:1131
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1624:1030
4MillonariosMillonarios1624:1426
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1422:1325
6Santa FeSanta Fe1421:1425
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1522:2123
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1620:1821
9CucutaCucuta1518:2221
10Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1618:1920
11Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1519:2019
12Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1516:2618
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1618:2217
14LlanerosLlaneros1616:2117
15JuniorJunior1520:2315
16ChicoChico1512:2515
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1511:1914
18JaguaresJaguares1517:2813
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1516:2212
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1510:2212

About the Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Alianza Valledupar and Águilas Doradas in the Primera A table

In the Primera A table, Águilas Doradas are 12th and Alianza Valledupar 17th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Alianza Valledupar 13-27, Águilas Doradas 20-25. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.