Casa Pia vs Moreirense Prediction

Casa Pia
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Moreirense
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior· Luís Godinho, Portugal 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
55%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
2.00
SignalGOODModel40%RiskMediumGap+8.7%
Casa Pia Rest
5 days
Moreirense Rest
14 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.74
X
28%3.10
2
32%2.72
Double Chance
1X
68%1.44
X2
60%1.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%2.00
No
45%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.08 = 2.54
Over 1.5
73%1.45
Over 2.5
45%2.45
Over 3.5
23%4.65
Under 1.5
27%2.65
Under 2.5
55%1.55
Under 3.5
77%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.2 = 9.2
Over 8.5
59%1.74
Over 9.5
49%2.17
Over 10.5
38%2.88
Under 8.5
41%2.00
Under 9.5
51%1.61
Under 10.5
62%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.3 = 4.9
Over 3.5
68%1.31
Over 4.5
47%1.60
Under 3.5
32%3.30
Under 4.5
53%2.19

Match Events

24'KikoAssist: J. Veloso
46'Rochinha INA. Dafe out
61'P. Rosas
61'K. Prieto INCassiano out
62'Kiko
65'N. John INRodri out
65'Landerson INT. Andrade out
71'Rodri
75'Aranha
77'Kiko INL. Santos out
78'S. Clua INS. Perez out
78'M. Mendonca INM. Stjepanovic out
78'J. Rego INB. Pauwels out
78'A. Jatta INH. Araujo out
82'J. Veloso INKevyn Monteiro out

Lineups

Casa Pia
4-2-3-1Coach: Filipe Coelho
Moreirense
4-2-3-1Coach: Vasco Costa
André Gomes31A. GomesAndré Gomes
André Geraldes18A. GeraldesAndré Geraldes
João Goulart4J. GoulartJoão Goulart
David Sousa43D. SousaDavid Sousa
Pedro Rosas75P. RosasPedro Rosas
Selvi Clúa16S. ClúaSelvi Clúa
Lawrence Ofori80L. OforiLawrence Ofori
Kevin Prieto19K. PrietoKevin Prieto
João Rêgo70J. RêgoJoão Rêgo
Rochinha10RochinhaRochinha
Alassana Jatta20A. JattaAlassana Jatta
André Ferreira13A. FerreiraAndré Ferreira
Dinis Pinto76D. PintoDinis Pinto
Gilberto Batista66G. BatistaGilberto Batista
Maracás26MaracásMaracás
Kiko27KikoKiko
Nile John23N. JohnNile John
Guilherme Liberato65G. LiberatoGuilherme Liberato
Manuel Mendonça7M. MendonçaManuel Mendonça
João Veloso20J. VelosoJoão Veloso
Landerson11LandersonLanderson
Alexandre Parsemain9A. ParsemainAlexandre Parsemain

Casa Pia Substitutes

59Abdu DafeM
90CassianoF
95Ivan MandićG
3Domingos Jose Gabriel BandeiraD
5Abdu ContéD
24Sebastián PérezM
98JPM
8Gabi PereiraM
9Henrique AraújoF
21Aymen ZouinF
99Claudio MendesF
77Benjamin PauwelsF

Moreirense Substitutes

21Rodrigo AlonsoM
19Tiago AndradeF
1AranhaG
2Leandro SantosD
4Kevyn MonteiroD
17Álvaro MartínezD
8Mateja StjepanovićM
10Kiko BondosoF
99Yan MaranhãoF
89Afonso VieiraF

Match Stats

Casa PiaMoreirense
62%Ball Possession38%
4Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots6
2Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal1
9Shots Inside Box3
2Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots0
14Fouls17
3Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves2
421Total Passes275
338Passes Accurate167
80%Pass Accuracy61%

Team Comparison

Casa PiaCasa Pia
MoreirenseMoreirense
1523Elo Rating 1592
0.27Attack 1.17
0.41Defense 0.86
0%Hit Rate 44%
10.2Shots per Game 8.1
2.8Shots on Target 2.9
3.8Corners per Game 2.1
2.2Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend86% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Casa PiaCasa Pia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MoreirenseMoreirense
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Casa Pia 17%Draw 27%56% Moreirense
3Avg Goals
86%BTTS Rate
59%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Casa PiaCasa Pia
0W0D5L
24/08/2026
GIL VicenteCasa Pia
20
L
17/08/2026
Casa PiaBenfica
07
L
08/08/2026
MaritimoCasa Pia
10
L
01/08/2026
LeixoesCasa Pia
62
L
25/07/2026
Benfica BCasa Pia
10
L
MoreirenseMoreirense
1W2D2L
16/08/2026
AroucaMoreirense
40
L
09/08/2026
MoreirenseSC Braga
22
D
01/08/2026
MoreirenseAmarante
20
W
25/07/2026
GIL VicenteMoreirense
22
D
22/07/2026
Santa ClaraMoreirense
21
L

Referee Profile

Luís Godinho, Portugal · 9 matches analysed

4.6Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
25.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 70% of referees analysed

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto660015:2+1318WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica651021:4+1716WWWWW
3Sporting CPSporting CP642015:6+914DWWWW
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara642011:4+714WWDWW
5AroucaArouca63128:5+310LDWLW
6EstrelaEstrela624014:12+210DWDWD
7SC BragaSC Braga53117:5+210WLWWD
8GIL VicenteGIL Vicente62225:508DLLDW
9Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu62227:9-28WWLDL
10AlvercaAlverca72239:11-28WWLDL
11MaritimoMaritimo72238:12-48DLLLD
12FamalicaoFamalicao71429:7+27WDDDL
13MoreirenseMoreirense62137:13-67WLLWL
14Vitória SCVitória SC61144:7-34LDLWL
15NacionalNacional71157:15-84LLLLL
16Rio AveRio Ave71155:15-104LDLLW
17EstorilEstoril60242:8-62LDLLL
18Casa PiaCasa Pia60151:15-141LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto615:218
2BenficaBenfica621:416
3Sporting CPSporting CP615:614
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara611:414
5AroucaArouca68:510
6EstrelaEstrela614:1210
7SC BragaSC Braga57:510
8GIL VicenteGIL Vicente65:58
9Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu67:98
10AlvercaAlverca79:118
11MaritimoMaritimo78:128
12FamalicaoFamalicao79:77
13MoreirenseMoreirense67:137
14Vitória SCVitória SC64:74
15NacionalNacional77:154
16Rio AveRio Ave75:154
17EstorilEstoril62:82
18Casa PiaCasa Pia61:151
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

Casa Pia vs Moreirense Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primeira Liga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primeira Liga

ScorePredicts covers Portugal football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Casa Pia and Moreirense have met 5 times recently, averaging 3 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.