Casa Pia vs Moreirense Prediction
Portugal · Regular Season - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Casa Pia vs Moreirense: the result in context
Moreirense beat Casa Pia 1-0 in the Primeira Liga on 30 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 6 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Casa Pia
Avg ratingAvg rating
31A. Gomes
C18A. Geraldes
4J. Goulart
43D. Sousa
75P. Rosas
16S. Clúa
80L. Ofori
19K. Prieto
70J. Rêgo
10Rochinha
20A. Jatta
13A. Ferreira
76D. Pinto
66G. Batista
C26Maracás
27Kiko
23N. John
65G. Liberato
7M. Mendonça
20J. Veloso
11Landerson
9A. ParsemainCasa Pia Substitutes
Moreirense Substitutes
Match Stats
Casa PiaMoreirense Team Comparison
Casa PiaMoreirenseAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Casa Pia- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Moreirense- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Casa Pia2Wins · 33%3Wins · 50%Previous meetings
01/03/2026Casa PiaMoreirense27/09/2025MoreirenseCasa Pia15/02/2025MoreirenseCasa Pia14/09/2024Casa PiaMoreirense12/05/2024Casa PiaMoreirense08/01/2024MoreirenseCasa PiaRecent Form
Casa Pia
GIL VicenteCasa PiaCasa Pia
Benfica
MaritimoCasa Pia
LeixoesCasa Pia
Benfica BCasa Pia
EstrelaCasa PiaCasa Pia
TorreenseTorreenseCasa PiaCasa Pia
Rio Ave
GuimaraesCasa PiaMoreirense
AroucaMoreirenseMoreirense
SC BragaMoreirense
AmaranteGIL VicenteMoreirense
Santa ClaraMoreirenseMoreirense
AVSMoreirenseAVS
TondelaMoreirenseMoreirenseEstrelaBenficaMoreirenseReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.55 cards a match, 0.28 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.27).
Cards come from 183 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 27:5 | +22 | 33 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Benfica | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 28 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | +13 | 24 | WWLWD |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:8 | +8 | 21 | LWLWD |
| 5 | Arouca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13:8 | +5 | 20 | LWWWD |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | +2 | 20 | LWWWW |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:8 | +2 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 8 | SC Braga | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 17 | WWLLL |
| 9 | Moreirense | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 | LWWLD |
| 10 |  Famalicao | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:14 | +1 | 13 | WLWLW |
| 11 |  Alverca | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 12 | DLLWW |
| 12 | Estrela | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 13 |  Nacional | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:19 | -8 | 10 | WLWLL |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 9 | LDWLD |
| 15 | Maritimo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:20 | -14 | 8 | DLWLW |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:24 | -15 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5:19 | -14 | 2 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | 27:5 | 33 |
| 2 | Benfica | 11 | 30:10 | 28 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 11 | 24:11 | 24 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 11 | 16:8 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 11 | 13:8 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 11 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 11 | 10:8 | 18 |
| 8 | SC Braga | 11 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 11 | 13:18 | 14 |
| 10 | Famalicao | 11 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Alverca | 11 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 12 | Estrela | 11 | 17:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Nacional | 11 | 11:19 | 10 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 11 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 15 | Maritimo | 10 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 11 | 6:20 | 8 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 11 | 9:24 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 5:19 | 2 |
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This match
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About the Casa Pia vs Moreirense forecast
The forecasts for this Primeira Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Casa Pia and Moreirense in the Primeira Liga table
In the Primeira Liga table, Moreirense are 9th and Casa Pia 16th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Casa Pia 6-20, Moreirense 13-18. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.