America de Cali vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+4.5%
America de Cali Rest
5 days
Deportivo Pasto Rest
4 days
America de Cali vs Deportivo Pasto: the result in context
Deportivo Pasto beat America de Cali 1-0 in the Primera A on 15 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: America de Cali had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Deportivo Pasto.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Wilmar Hernando Montano Guevara averages 6.93 cards a game, 0.86 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
168%1.30
X19%4.95
213%9.40
Double Chance
1X87%1.06
X232%3.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%2.09
No52%1.66
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.78 + 0.71 = 2.49
Over 1.574%1.22
Over 2.549%1.68
Over 3.528%2.69
Under 1.526%3.95
Under 2.551%2.11
Under 3.572%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.5 = 9.5
Over 8.559%1.52
Over 9.546%1.90
Over 10.536%2.44
Under 8.541%2.35
Under 9.554%1.82
Under 10.564%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 3.3 = 5.4
Over 3.578%-
Over 4.562%-
Under 3.522%-
Under 4.538%-
Match Events
2'Joyce Esteban Ossa RiosFoul
12'Jorge Obregón INJoider Micolta out
26'Dany RoseroFoul
40'Tomás ÁngelFoul
45'Joyce Esteban Ossa Rios INDiego Gabriel Chavez out
45+1'Card upgrade confirmedJean Paulo Fernandes Filho
45+1'Jean Paulo Fernandes FilhoSerious foul
45+4'Edson Tortolero INJuan Montoya out
62'Yeison Guzmán INJan Lucumi out
76'Luis Quiñones INJhon Murillo out
77'Rafael Carrascal INJosé Cavadia out
77'Tomás Ángel INDaniel Valencia out
78'Diego Gabriel ChavezAssist: Hervin Goyes
81'Nicolas GilTime wasting
85'Diego Gabriel ChavezArgument
86'Matias Pisano INEder Daniel Gómez De La Rosa out
89'Enrique SerjeSerious foul
90+2'Jonathan Perlaza INHarrinson Mancilla out
90+3'Geovanni BangueraTime wasting
Lineups
America de CaliDeportivo Pasto
4-4-2Coach: Jonathan RisueñoAvg ratingAvg rating
1Jean
18Y. Quintero
2M. Torres
3D. Rosero
14M. Mina
15R. Carrascal
5J. Escobar
23L. Quiñones
10Y. Guzmán
77E. Tortolero
21T. Ángel
12G. Banguera
33M. Garavito2121D. Osede
5N. Gil
3J. Ossa
7J. Perlaza
25F. Leys
8E. Serje
27H. Goyes
32M. Pisano
9J. ObregónAmerica de Cali Substitutes
34Jhordy Camacho
30O. Bertel
6José Cavadia77'for Rafael Carrascal
17J. Lucumí62'for Yeison Guzmán
12J. Montoya45+4'for Edson Tortolero
7J. Murillo76'for Luis Quiñones
24C. Tovar
9J. Valencia77'for Tomás Ángel
Deportivo Pasto Substitutes
6S. Jiménez
15H. Mancilla90+2'for Jonathan Perlaza
18J. Micolta12'for Jorge Obregón
17J. Mendez
22Y. Tolosa
42Eder Daniel Gómez De La Rosa86'replaced by Matias Pisano
10D. Chávez45'for Joyce Esteban Ossa Rios78'85'
1E. A. Cabezas Quinonez
38Michael Steven Mosquera Madrid
Match Stats
America de CaliDeportivo Pasto 53%Ball Possession47%
3Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards1
10Total Shots12
2Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal6
4Shots Inside Box8
6Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots1
12Fouls15
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
501Total Passes444
412Passes Accurate364
13Free Kicks12
Team Comparison
America de CaliDeportivo Pasto1683Elo Rating 1434
1.97Attack 0.14
2.22Defense 1.47
58%Hit Rate 14%
14.2Shots per Game 9.9
4.4Shots on Target 1.9
6.1Corners per Game 3.4
2.2Cards per Game 1.3
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+249 Elo
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
Game State Tendencies
America de Cali- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.8 in second half)
Deportivo Pasto- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
America de Cali4Wins · 40%Draws330%
Deportivo Pasto3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%2.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
10/03/2026Deportivo PastoAmerica de Cali20
25/09/2025Deportivo PastoAmerica de Cali02
08/02/2025America de CaliDeportivo Pasto11
08/11/2024Deportivo PastoAmerica de Cali31
19/04/2024America de CaliDeportivo Pasto00
31/07/2023America de CaliDeportivo Pasto11
05/02/2023Deportivo PastoAmerica de Cali24
24/11/2022Deportivo PastoAmerica de Cali10
14/11/2022America de CaliDeportivo Pasto21
22/10/2022America de CaliDeportivo Pasto40
Recent Form
America de Cali7W3D0L
10/09/2026America de Cali
Deportivo Pereira
03/09/2026America de CaliDeportivo Pereira41
WAmerica de Cali
Alianza Valledupar30
W29/08/2026
JaguaresAmerica de Cali22
D27/08/2026America de Cali
Junior42
W23/08/2026
Santa FeAmerica de Cali00
D10/08/2026America de Cali
Atletico Nacional10
W06/08/2026
Once CaldasAmerica de Cali01
W03/08/2026America de Cali
Chico70
W30/07/2026
Real CartagenaAmerica de Cali
26/07/2026Real CartagenaAmerica de Cali11
D
Internacional de BogotaAmerica de Cali02
WDeportivo Pasto1W2D7L
10/09/2026Deportivo Pasto
Independiente Medellin
Deportivo PastoIndependiente Medellin14
L06/09/2026
CucutaDeportivo Pasto
01/09/2026CucutaDeportivo Pasto22
DDeportivo PastoDeportivo Pereira12
L28/08/2026Internacional de BogotaDeportivo Pasto11
D23/08/2026Deportivo Pasto
Llaneros01
L09/08/2026Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Cali02
L05/08/2026
MillonariosDeportivo Pasto20
L01/08/2026Deportivo Pasto
Águilas Doradas12
L29/07/2026
Bogota FCDeportivo Pasto
25/07/2026Bogota FCDeportivo Pasto03
WIndependiente MedellinDeportivo Pasto32
LReferee Profile
6.93Cards per match
6.48Yellow cards per match
0.44Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.93 cards a match, 0.86 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.07).
Cards come from 27 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WDWWL |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | DLWWL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWLDW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DDDLD |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LDWWD |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | DLWWD |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | WDLLD |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | DWWLD |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | LDWLW |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | WLWDL |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LLLLD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | DDLLL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | WLDLL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | WDLWW |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | DWDDL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 30:13 | +17 | 32 | WDWWL |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:11 | +18 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:10 | +14 | 30 | DWWLD |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23:15 | +8 | 28 | DLWWD |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 23:15 | +8 | 25 | LLLLD |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22:21 | +1 | 23 | LDWLW |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DDDLD |
| 9 | Cucuta | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 21 | DWDDL |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 19 | WLWDL |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 18:22 | -4 | 17 | WDLLD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:21 | -5 | 17 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 15 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11:19 | -8 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 12 | DLWWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 30:13 | 32 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 29:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 24:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 15 | 23:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 23:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 16 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Cucuta | 15 | 18:22 | 21 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 15 | 19:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 16:26 | 18 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 18:22 | 17 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 16:21 | 17 |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 20:23 | 15 |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 12:25 | 15 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 11:19 | 14 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 10:22 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Deportivo Pereira vs Bucaramanga 13/09/26
- Atletico Nacional vs Águilas Doradas 13/09/26
- Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali 14/09/26
- Cucuta vs Millonarios 14/09/26
- Chico vs Alianza Valledupar 16/09/26
- Internacional de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional 17/09/26
- Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellin 18/09/26
- Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira 18/09/26
About the America de Cali vs Deportivo Pasto forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
America de Cali and Deportivo Pasto in the Primera A table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Deportivo Pasto are 3rd in the Primera A, 1 point ahead of America de Cali in 4th. League goal record so far: America de Cali 25-15, Deportivo Pasto 29-25. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.