Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali Prediction

Once Caldas
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Deportivo Cali
Estadio Palogrande, Manizales·Edwin Trujillo 14/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-5.5%
Once Caldas Rest
3 days
Deportivo Cali Rest
2 days

Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali: the result in context

Deportivo Cali beat Once Caldas 2-1 in the Primera A on 14 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Once Caldas had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Deportivo Cali.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game. Once Caldas tend to win more corners, 5.8 a game to 3.3 for Deportivo Cali.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%2.03
X
29%3.20
2
23%3.69
Double Chance
1X
77%1.25
X2
52%1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.91
No
53%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 0.85 = 2.20
Over 1.5
71%1.36
Over 2.5
45%2.20
Over 3.5
25%4.00
Under 1.5
29%2.90
Under 2.5
55%1.65
Under 3.5
75%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4 = 9.1
Over 8.5
58%1.57
Over 9.5
45%1.85
Over 10.5
34%2.36
Under 8.5
42%2.24
Under 9.5
55%1.84
Under 10.5
66%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.8 = 4.8
Over 3.5
71%-
Over 4.5
53%-
Under 3.5
29%-
Under 4.5
47%-

Match Events

12'Nicolás BenedettiAssist: Johan Martinez
15'Gustavo CuéllarFoul
39'Juan DinennoDissent
45'Jaime Alvarado INJader Quinones out
50'Jefry ZapataAssist: Andrés Roa
55'Andres ColoradoDissent
60'Jorge Cardona INJuan Castaño out
61'Michael BarriosDissent
66'Johan Martinez INEmanuel Reynoso out
67'Felipe Gomez INEdwin Torres out
70'Fabian ViafaraFoul
74'Nicolás Benedetti INAvilés Hurtado out
74'Steven Rodríguez INJuan Dinenno out
81'Andrés Roa INJuan Pablo Nieto out
81'Michael Barrios INJorman Beltran out
83'Juan DinennoAssist: Emanuel Reynoso
87'Fernando Antonio Alvarez Amador INJuan Tello out

Lineups

Once Caldas
4-3-3Coach: H. Herrera
Deportivo Cali
4-4-2Coach: R. Dudamel
Avg rating6.77
Avg rating6.83
J. Parra7.099J. Parra
J. Cuesta6.822J. Cuesta
J. Cardona6.92J. Cardona
D. Londoño6.930D. Londoño
A. Correa6.63A. Correa
J. Alvarado6.415J. Alvarado
A. Roa7.720A. Roa
A. Colorado6.323A. Colorado
M. Barrios7.17M. Barrios
J. Zapata8.014J. Zapata
Pipe Gómez6.79P. Gómez
P. Gallese7.71P. Gallese
F. Viáfara6.227F. Viáfara
J. Caldera6.912J. Caldera
Fernando Antonio Álvarez Amador6.34F. Antonio Álvarez Amador
E. Velasco6.428E. Velasco
J. Martínez7.919J. Martínez
L. Chaverra6.315L. Chaverra
G. Cuéllar6.85G. Cuéllar
E. Bello6.220E. Bello
S. Rodríguez6.723S. Rodríguez
N. Benedetti7.421N. Benedetti

Once Caldas Substitutes

31Jorman Beltran81'replaced by Michael Barrios
12J. Camargo
16J. Castaño60'for Jorge Cardona6.3
21H. Guzman
17D. Moreno
5J. Nieto81'for Andrés Roa6.1
33J. Patiño
42J. Quiñónes45'for Jaime Alvarado7.0
29E. Torres67'for Felipe Gomez6.6

Deportivo Cali Substitutes

10E. Reynoso66'for Johan Martinez6.5
43Santiago Martinez
18A. Hurtado74'for Nicolás Benedetti7.0
9J. Dinenno39'74'for Steven Rodríguez83'7.7
14A. Castillo Manyoma
45M. Botero
70C. Bacca
26J. Tello87'for Fernando Antonio Alvarez Amador6.5
38A. Rodríguez

Match Stats

Once CaldasDeportivo Cali
62%Ball Possession38%
5Corner Kicks0
2Yellow Cards3
28Total Shots12
9Shots on Goal6
12Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box6
15Shots Outside Box6
7Blocked Shots3
16Fouls8
2Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves8
504Total Passes307
421Passes Accurate233
7Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

Once CaldasOnce Caldas
Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali
1654Elo Rating 1665
1.17Attack 1.52
2.50Defense 2.30
50%Hit Rate 34%
15.3Shots per Game 13.1
5.0Shots on Target 4.8
5.8Corners per Game 3.3
1.9Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Once CaldasOnce Caldas
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Once CaldasOnce Caldas5Wins · 50%
Draws440%
Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1Wins · 10%
1.8Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A07/03/2026
Deportivo CaliOnce Caldas
02
Primera A14/11/2025
Deportivo CaliOnce Caldas
11
Primera A25/05/2025
Once CaldasDeportivo Cali
10
Primera A14/09/2024
Once CaldasDeportivo Cali
41
Primera A02/03/2024
Deportivo CaliOnce Caldas
01
Primera A30/07/2023
Once CaldasDeportivo Cali
40
Primera A05/02/2023
Deportivo CaliOnce Caldas
00
Primera A18/10/2022
Deportivo CaliOnce Caldas
11
Primera A01/05/2022
Once CaldasDeportivo Cali
01
Primera A21/11/2021
Deportivo CaliOnce Caldas
00

Referee Profile

Edwin Trujillo29 matches

6.46Cards per match
6.00Yellow cards per match
0.46Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Edwin Trujillo6.46
Other referees6.03

6.46 cards a match, 0.43 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.03).

Cards come from 26 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040LLWWW
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735WDWWL
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434LLWWD
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033WLWWL
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933WDWDD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031DLWLD
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729WWWDD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028LWLWD
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427DWLDW
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826DWLDL
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226LWWWL
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526WDLLW
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623LDLWL
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322LDLDW
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522WLLWD
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318WDLLW
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417DDLLW
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717WLLWL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316LDLWD
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710LWLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19124338:18+2040LLWWW
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali19106331:15+1636WLWWL
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1998228:12+1635DWLDW
4BucaramangaBucaramanga1998231:17+1435LDLWL
5Santa FeSanta Fe19104530:18+1234WWWDD
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin19102729:25+432LWWWL
7MillonariosMillonarios1979327:16+1130DWLDL
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1977523:19+428WDWDD
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1976625:23+227DLWLD
10CucutaCucuta1983821:26-527LDLWD
11Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1967622:22025WDLLW
12LlanerosLlaneros1973921:24-324LDLDW
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1958625:25023LWLWD
14JuniorJunior1957726:27-122WDWWL
15ChicoChico1955915:29-1420WLLWL
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar19531118:33-1518DDLLW
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1938816:28-1217LWLDL
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19431213:30-1715LLWWD
19JaguaresJaguares19341217:37-2013WDLLW
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1919917:29-1212WLLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1938:1840
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1931:1536
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1928:1235
4BucaramangaBucaramanga1931:1735
5Santa FeSanta Fe1930:1834
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1929:2532
7MillonariosMillonarios1927:1630
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1923:1928
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1925:2327
10CucutaCucuta1921:2627
11Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1922:2225
12LlanerosLlaneros1921:2424
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1925:2523
14JuniorJunior1926:2722
15ChicoChico1915:2920
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1918:3318
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1916:2817
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1913:3015
19JaguaresJaguares1917:3713
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1917:2912

About the Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali forecast

The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Once Caldas and Deportivo Cali in the Primera A table

In the Primera A table, Once Caldas are 5th and Deportivo Cali 9th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Once Caldas 31-22, Deportivo Cali 20-16. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Deportivo Cali have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.