Angers vs Marseille Prediction

Angers
2-5
Finished
HT 1-2
Marseille
Stade Raymond Kopa, Angers·Jeremie Pignard 18/10/2026
AngersAngers
2-5
Finished
MarseilleMarseille

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-5.1%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Over 1.5
1.55
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+3.7%
Angers Rest
7 days
Marseille Rest
2 days

Angers vs Marseille: result, form and history

Marseille beat Angers 5-2 in the Ligue 1 on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Marseille have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.7 goals a game. Referee Jeremie Pignard averages 4.43 cards a game, 0.51 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%3.55
X
28%3.77
2
43%2.01
Double Chance
1X
57%1.76
X2
71%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.53
No
38%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.66 = 2.93
Over 1.5
80%1.17
Over 2.5
60%1.62
Over 3.5
38%2.45
Under 1.5
20%4.53
Under 2.5
40%2.35
Under 3.5
62%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.4 = 10
Over 8.5
63%1.46
Over 9.5
52%1.83
Over 10.5
41%2.25
Under 8.5
37%2.50
Under 9.5
48%1.94
Under 10.5
59%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.73
Over 4.5
41%2.26
Under 3.5
39%2.03
Under 4.5
59%1.59

Match Events

14'Lillian Rao-Lisoa
37'Himad AbdelliAssist: Timothy Weah
43'Nouhoum KamissokoAssist: Emerson Palmieri
57'Louis Mouton INProsper Peter out
59'Amine Gouiri(Penalty missed)
60'Amine Gouiri
60'Geoffrey Kondogbia INNayef Aguerd out
68'Emmanuel BiumlaFoul
72'Emmanuel Biumla INJoseph Kalulu out
72'Jim Allevinah INHarouna Djibirin out
74'Tochukwu NnadiFoul
75'Amine El Ouazzani(Penalty)
80'Nouhoum Kamissoko INAngel Gomes out
80'Himad Abdelli INKeyliane Abdallah out
83'Amine HaritAssist: Tochukwu Nnadi
85'Igor PaixãoAssist: Timothy Weah
89'Amine El Ouazzani INBané Diatta out
89'Amine Sbaï INAnthony Bermont out
90'Amine Harit INUlisses Garcia out
90'Tochukwu Nnadi INNeal Maupay out

Lineups

Angers
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Gilli
Marseille
4-2-3-1Coach: Bruno Genesio
Avg rating6.13
Avg rating7.06
Anthony Lopes5.91A. Lopes
C. Arcus6.22C. Arcus
E. Biumla5.324E. Biumla
M. Gernigon5.734M. Gernigon
L. Rao-Lisoa6.827L. Rao-Lisoa
Y. Belkhdim6.414Y. Belkhdim
B. van den Boomen6.58B. van den Boomen
J. Allevinah6.618J. Allevinah
L. Mouton5.66L. Mouton
A. Sbaï6.110A. Sbaï
A. El Ouazzani6.819A. El Ouazzani
J. de Lange6.21J. de Lange
T. Weah8.322T. Weah
C. Egan-Riley6.64C. Egan-Riley
G. Kondogbia6.419G. Kondogbia
Emerson6.933Emerson
4242N. Kamissoko
T. Nnadi6.66T. Nnadi
A. Harit7.677A. Harit
H. Abdelli8.28H. Abdelli
Igor Paixão7.314I. Paixão
A. Gouiri8.09A. Gouiri

Angers Substitutes

9P. Peter57'for Louis Mouton6.6
37Jules Bouffandeau
26A. Bermont89'for Amine Sbaï5.8
36Bane Diatta89'for Amine El Ouazzani5.9
11Djibirin Harouna72'for Jim Allevinah6.3
17J. Kalulu72'for Emmanuel Biumla5.5
20Marius Louër
7U. Simbakoli
40Oumar Pona

Marseille Substitutes

7A. Gomes80'replaced by Nouhoum Kamissoko6.1
21N. Aguerd60'for Geoffrey Kondogbia6.2
74K. Bezahaf
25U. Garcia90'for Amine Harit
48K. Abdallah80'for Himad Abdelli6.6
92T. Vermot
18B. Meité
11N. Maupay90'for Tochukwu Nnadi
43T. Mmadi

Match Stats

AngersMarseille
42%Ball Possession58%
2Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots21
3Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal8
7Shots Inside Box14
4Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots5
11Fouls12
3Goalkeeper Saves1
388Total Passes564
328Passes Accurate492
85%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

AngersAngers
MarseilleMarseille
1631Elo Rating 1763
1.30Attack 2.04
0.22Defense 1.34
19%Hit Rate 46%
11.5Shots per Game 13.1
2.7Shots on Target 4.8
4.8Corners per Game 4.9
1.6Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.93 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AngersAngers
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
MarseilleMarseille
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AngersAngers1Wins · 10%
Draws330%
MarseilleMarseille6Wins · 60%
3.7Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Ligue 117/01/2026
AngersMarseille
25
Ligue 129/10/2025
MarseilleAngers
22
Ligue 109/02/2025
AngersMarseille
02
Ligue 104/10/2024
MarseilleAngers
11
Ligue 114/05/2023
MarseilleAngers
31
Ligue 130/09/2022
AngersMarseille
03
Ligue 104/02/2022
MarseilleAngers
52
Ligue 122/09/2021
AngersMarseille
00
Ligue 116/05/2021
MarseilleAngers
32
Ligue 123/12/2020
AngersMarseille
21

Referee Profile

Jeremie Pignard161 matches

4.44Cards per match
4.16Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jeremie Pignard4.43
Other referees3.92

4.43 cards a match, 0.51 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.92).

Cards come from 152 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LyonLyon742113:5+814WLWDW
2Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain742114:9+514WWWWL
3Paris FCParis FC742112:7+514WLWDW
4LilleLille742110:5+514DWLWW
5MonacoMonaco742110:6+414LDWDW
6RennesRennes741215:14+113LWLWW
7LorientLorient73227:6+111WWLDW
8LensLens731314:11+310WWLDL
9MarseilleMarseille730414:10+49WWLLL
10Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29723213:10+39DWLLW
11ToulouseToulouse723212:11+19WDWDL
12AuxerreAuxerre730411:17-69WLWWL
13NiceNice72236:9-38LWWLD
14StrasbourgStrasbourg721412:15-37LLLDW
15AngersAngers72149:15-67LLWDL
16Le MansLe Mans713310:15-56LLWDD
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes71155:16-114LLLLL
18Le HavreLe Havre70255:11-62LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1LyonLyon713:514
2Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain714:914
3Paris FCParis FC712:714
4LilleLille710:514
5MonacoMonaco710:614
6RennesRennes715:1413
7LorientLorient77:611
8LensLens714:1110
9MarseilleMarseille714:109
10Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29713:109
11ToulouseToulouse712:119
12AuxerreAuxerre711:179
13NiceNice76:98
14StrasbourgStrasbourg712:157
15AngersAngers79:157
16Le MansLe Mans710:156
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes75:164
18Le HavreLe Havre75:112
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Angers vs Marseille forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Angers and Marseille in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Marseille are 9th and Angers 15th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Angers 9-15, Marseille 14-10. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.