Rennes vs Marseille Prediction
France · Regular Season - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-1.1%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap+3.7%
Rennes Rest
5 days
Marseille Rest
5 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
149%2.10
X26%3.80
225%3.17
Double Chance
1X75%1.36
X251%1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes68%1.44
No32%2.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.88 + 1.37 = 3.25
Over 1.583%1.14
Over 2.562%1.50
Over 3.540%2.30
Under 1.517%5.28
Under 2.538%2.53
Under 3.560%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 3.8 = 10
Over 8.566%1.44
Over 9.554%1.74
Over 10.540%2.12
Under 8.534%2.65
Under 9.546%2.03
Under 10.560%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.9 = 3.6
Over 3.549%1.57
Over 4.530%2.08
Under 3.551%2.33
Under 4.570%1.71
Match Events
33'Himad AbdelliFoul
43'Igor PaixãoArgument
43'Przemysław FrankowskiArgument
45'Issa Soumaré INMousa Al-Tamari out
52'Adrien Thomasson
65'Angel Gomes INKeyliane Abdallah out
68'Przemysław Frankowski INBryan Reynolds out
78'Himad Abdelli INNeal Maupay out
78'Ludovic Blas INSebastian Szymański out
78'Esteban Lepaul INBoulaye Dia out
85'Amine HaritFoul
86'Mousa Al-Tamari INEliezer Mayenda out
88'Nayef Aguerd INDerek Cornelius out
88'Amine Gouiri INTadjidine Mmadi out
88'Igor Paixão INFaris Moumbagna out
90+4'Timothy WeahFoul
Lineups
RennesMarseille
4-2-3-1Coach: Bruno GenesioAvg ratingAvg rating
30B. Samba
95P. Frankowski
4C. Cresswell
24A. Rouault
18M. Nagida
45M. Camara
21V. Rongier
28A. Thomasson
10L. Blas
9E. Lepaul
90I. Soumaré
1J. de Lange
22T. Weah
4C. Egan-Riley
21N. Aguerd
33Emerson
8H. Abdelli
23P. Højbjerg
77A. Harit
7A. Gomes
14I. Paixão
9A. GouiriRennes Substitutes
26Q. Merlin
14B. Reynolds68'for Przemysław Frankowski
17S. Szymański78'for Ludovic Blas
11Mousa Tamari45'for Issa Soumaré86'for Eliezer Mayenda
48A. Ait Boudlal
22B. Dia78'for Esteban Lepaul
65H. Do Marcolino
16N. Lemaître
12Eliezer Mayenda86'replaced by Mousa Al-Tamari
Marseille Substitutes
13D. Cornelius88'for Nayef Aguerd
25U. Garcia
11N. Maupay78'for Himad Abdelli
18B. Meité
43T. Mmadi88'for Amine Gouiri
29F. Moumbagna88'for Igor Paixão
92T. Vermot
48K. Abdallah65'for Angel Gomes
42Nouhoum Kamissoko
Match Stats
RennesMarseille 49%Ball Possession51%
3Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards4
20Total Shots13
7Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal7
13Shots Inside Box8
7Shots Outside Box5
7Blocked Shots1
15Fouls13
1Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves6
496Total Passes525
417Passes Accurate440
84%Pass Accuracy84%
Team Comparison
RennesMarseille1813Elo Rating 1756
2.39Attack 2.33
0.46Defense 1.41
37%Hit Rate 61%
16.9Shots per Game 12.8
7.0Shots on Target 4.2
5.8Corners per Game 4.9
2.3Cards per Game 1.6
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.25 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Rennes- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Marseille- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Rennes2Wins · 20%Draws110%
Marseille7Wins · 70%
7Wins · 70%2.5Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
17/05/2026MarseilleRennes31
03/02/2026MarseilleRennes30
15/08/2025RennesMarseille10
17/05/2025MarseilleRennes42
11/01/2025RennesMarseille12
17/03/2024RennesMarseille20
21/01/2024RennesMarseille9181
03/12/2023MarseilleRennes20
05/03/2023RennesMarseille01
20/01/2023MarseilleRennes10
Recent Form
Rennes4W2D4L
06/09/2026
AngersRennesRennes
Le MansRennes
Paris Saint Germain
AngersRennes12
W30/08/2026RennesLe Mans32
W23/08/2026RennesParis Saint Germain22
D15/08/2026
SunderlandRennes
SunderlandRennes21
L08/08/2026Rennes
Brentford
RennesBrentford24
L08/08/2026Rennes
Brentford U21
RennesBrentford U2112
L02/08/2026
GalatasarayRennes
GalatasarayRennes33
D25/07/2026Rennes
Club Brugge KV
RennesClub Brugge KV21
W17/07/2026Rennes
Guingamp
RennesGuingamp31
W09/07/2026Rennes
Caen
RennesCaen12
LMarseille5W1D4L
06/09/2026Marseille
Paris FC
MonacoMarseilleMarseille
Strasbourg
MarseilleParis FC23
L30/08/2026MonacoMarseille20
L21/08/2026MarseilleStrasbourg40
W14/08/2026Marseille
Atletico Madrid
MarseilleAtletico Madrid12
L09/08/2026Marseille
Athletic Club
MarseilleAthletic Club31
W30/07/2026Marseille
Nimes
MarseilleNimes21
W17/05/2026MarseilleRennes
MarseilleRennes31
W10/05/2026
Le HavreMarseille
Le HavreMarseille01
W02/05/2026
NantesMarseille
NantesMarseille30
L26/04/2026Marseille
Nice
MarseilleNice11
DReferee Profile
3.96Cards per match
3.74Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.96 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.91).
Cards come from 145 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | +11 | 20 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | 18 | WDDWL |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | +8 | 17 | WLWLW |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | +6 | 17 | WLWLW |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:19 | +1 | 16 | LWLWL |
| 6 | Marseille | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20:13 | +7 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 15 | LDLDW |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | +1 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:13 | +3 | 13 | LWWWL |
| 10 |  Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 12 | DWWLD |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 10 | LDWDW |
| 12 | Strasbourg | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17:19 | -2 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:23 | -10 | 10 | LDWLW |
| 14 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | +2 | 9 | LDWLL |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:16 | -9 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:18 | -7 | 7 | LDLLW |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 2 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Lyon | 9 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 | Marseille | 9 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Lens | 9 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Lorient | 8 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 9 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 12 | Strasbourg | 9 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 13 | Auxerre | 9 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 14 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 9 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 9:20 | 2 |
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About the Rennes vs Marseille forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Rennes and Marseille in the Ligue 1 table
Rennes and Marseille are close in the Ligue 1 table, 5th and 6th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Rennes 20-19, Marseille 20-13. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.