Estac Troyes vs Marseille Prediction
France · Regular Season - 6
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Estac Troyes vs Marseille: the result in context
Marseille beat Estac Troyes 2-0 in the Ligue 1 on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Marseille have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game. Estac Troyes tend to win more corners, 7.5 a game to 4.9 for Marseille.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Estac Troyes
Avg ratingAvg rating
33P. Beach
2L. Maronnier
6A. Monfray
4M. Diaz
5P. Gozzi
8M. Diop
29D. Karim
17A. Mille
11I. Gomis
7K. Diawara
9J. Le Douaron
12J. de Lange
74K. Bezahaf
4C. Egan-Riley
21N. Aguerd
33Emerson
8H. Abdelli
77A. Harit
7A. Gomes
14I. Paixão
9A. GouiriEstac Troyes Substitutes
Marseille Substitutes
Match Stats
Estac TroyesMarseille Team Comparison
Estac TroyesMarseilleAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Estac Troyes- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0.1 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Marseille- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Estac Troyes0Wins · 0%3Wins · 75%Previous meetings
16/04/2023MarseilleEstac Troyes11/01/2023Estac TroyesMarseille27/02/2022Estac TroyesMarseille28/11/2021MarseilleEstac TroyesRecent Form
Estac Troyes
DijonEstac Troyes
AngersEstac Troyes
LilleEstac TroyesEstac Troyes
Strasbourg
LorientEstac TroyesEstac Troyes
Paris FCEstac Troyes
Panetolikos
AuxerreEstac TroyesEstac Troyes
Chasselay MDA
GrenobleEstac TroyesMarseilleMarseille
Paris Saint Germain
BeşiktaşMarseille
RennesMarseilleMarseilleParis FC
MonacoMarseilleMarseilleStrasbourgMarseille
Atletico MadridMarseille
Athletic ClubMarseille
NimesMarseilleRennesReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.20 cards a match, 0.29 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.91).
Cards come from 129 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 14 | WLWDW |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | +5 | 14 | WWWWL |
| 3 | Paris FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | +5 | 14 | WLWDW |
| 4 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 14 | DWLWW |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | +4 | 14 | LDWDW |
| 6 | Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15:14 | +1 | 13 | LWLWW |
| 7 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 10 | WWLDL |
| 9 | Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:10 | +4 | 9 | WWLLL |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | +3 | 9 | DWLLW |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 9 | WDWDL |
| 12 | Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 13 |  Nice | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 | LWWLD |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 7 | LLLDW |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 | LLWDL |
| 16 |  Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 | LLWDD |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 2 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | 13:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 7 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Lille | 7 | 10:5 | 14 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 10:6 | 14 |
| 6 | Rennes | 7 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Lorient | 7 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 8 | Lens | 7 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 9 | Marseille | 7 | 14:10 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Brestois 29 | 7 | 13:10 | 9 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 7 | 12:11 | 9 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 7 | 11:17 | 9 |
| 13 | Nice | 7 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 12:15 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 9:15 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 7 | 5:16 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | 5:11 | 2 |
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This match
About the Estac Troyes vs Marseille forecast
The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Estac Troyes and Marseille in the Ligue 1 table
In the Ligue 1 table, Marseille are 9th and Estac Troyes 17th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Estac Troyes 5-16, Marseille 14-10. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.