Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv Prediction

Arena Arda, Kardzhali 04/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
85%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+4.5%
Arda Kardzhali Rest
4 days
Botev Plovdiv Rest
5 days

Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv: the result in context

Botev Plovdiv beat Arda Kardzhali 3-2 in the First League on 4 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Arda Kardzhali had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Botev Plovdiv.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Botev Plovdiv tend to win more corners, 4.8 a game to 1.5 for Arda Kardzhali.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%2.08
X
31%3.15
2
14%3.50
Double Chance
1X
86%1.25
X2
44%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.84
No
50%1.84
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 0.91 = 2.50
Over 1.5
71%1.34
Over 2.5
47%2.10
Over 3.5
25%3.73
Under 1.5
29%3.00
Under 2.5
53%1.68
Under 3.5
75%1.24
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'samuil tsonov
36'samuil tsonov
43'Lachezar Kotev
46'Carlos Meotti INwilliams chimezie out
52'Dominik Yankov INDavid idowu out
52'Asen Chandarov
61'Preslav·Bachev INGeorgi Nikolaev Nikolov out
61'Birsent Karagaren INAtanas Kabov out
63'Vyacheslav Velev
64'samuil tsonov INmascote out
74'Asen Chandarov INHenrique Jocu out
74'williams chimezie INDimitar Tonev out
79'Vyacheslav Velev
80'Stanislav Ivanov INAntonio Vutov out
83'Antonio Vutov
85'Mauro Rodrigues INBogdan Kostov out
85'Dimitar Tonev
89'Svetoslav Kovachev

Lineups

Arda Kardzhali
4-1-4-1Coach: A. Tunchev
Botev Plovdiv
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Genchev
A. Gospodinov1A. Gospodinov
V. Popov6V. Popov
Adama Ardile Traoré44A. Ardile Traoré
V. Lyubenov5V. Lyubenov
V. Velev21V. Velev
L. Kotev80L. Kotev
S. Kovachev10S. Kovachev
D. Yankov8D. Yankov
S. Ivanov91S. Ivanov
B. Karagaren99B. Karagaren
P. Bachev16P. Bachev
D. Naumov29D. Naumov
V. Mendes82V. Mendes
S. Petrov87S. Petrov
N. Soldo4N. Soldo
B. Hein27B. Hein
Lucas Araújo77L. Araújo
A. Chandarov10A. Chandarov
C. Meotti66C. Meotti
Mauro Rodrigues19M. Rodrigues
S. Kalu90S. Kalu
S. Tsonov13S. Tsonov

Arda Kardzhali Substitutes

39A. Vutov80'for Stanislav Ivanov83'
26B. Akandzha
22Y. Georgiev
4David Akintola Idowu52'for Dominik Yankov
11A. Kabov61'for Birsent Karagaren
9G. Nikolov61'for Preslav·Bachev
24M. Paskalev
18S. Vasilev
35D. Velkovski

Botev Plovdiv Substitutes

88W. Chimezie46'for Carlos Meotti74'for Dimitar Tonev
7N. Iliev
28Henrique Jocú74'for Asen Chandarov
15B. Kostov85'for Mauro Rodrigues
30Franklin Mascote64'for samuil tsonov
22M. Senger
1H. Slavkov
23D. Tonev74'replaced by williams chimezie85'
16V. Vidolov
20T. Awany
9C. Okoh

Match Stats

Arda KardzhaliBotev Plovdiv
3Yellow Cards1

Team Comparison

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
1564Elo Rating 1592
1.03Attack 2.60
0.80Defense 1.54
23%Hit Rate 77%
6.2Shots per Game 12.3
2.8Shots on Target 5.6
1.5Corners per Game 4.8
3.6Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv3Wins · 30%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs26/06/2026
Botev PlovdivArda Kardzhali
21
First League12/05/2026
Botev PlovdivArda Kardzhali
12
First League26/04/2026
Arda KardzhaliBotev Plovdiv
02
First League02/12/2025
Arda KardzhaliBotev Plovdiv
00
First League04/08/2025
Botev PlovdivArda Kardzhali
05
First League09/03/2025
Botev PlovdivArda Kardzhali
11
First League23/09/2024
Arda KardzhaliBotev Plovdiv
10
First League27/05/2024
Botev PlovdivArda Kardzhali
01
First League11/05/2024
Arda KardzhaliBotev Plovdiv
21
First League01/12/2023
Arda KardzhaliBotev Plovdiv
02

Recent Form

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
5W2D3L
31/08/2026
Arda KardzhaliBotev Vratsa
20
W
24/08/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
01
W
17/08/2026
Arda KardzhaliLokomotiv Sofia
31
W
08/08/2026
Dunav RuseArda Kardzhali
02
W
31/07/2026
CSKA 1948Arda Kardzhali
21
L
24/07/2026
Arda KardzhaliSlavia Sofia
10
W
18/07/2026
Septemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali
11
D
10/07/2026
Botev VratsaArda Kardzhali
10
L
07/07/2026
Arda KardzhaliBeitar Jerusalem
00
D
04/07/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
20
L
Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
4W1D5L
30/08/2026
Botev PlovdivLevski Sofia
13
L
24/08/2026
Botev VratsaBotev Plovdiv
10
L
15/08/2026
LudogoretsBotev Plovdiv
20
L
10/08/2026
Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
32
W
01/08/2026
Botev PlovdivCherno More Varna
10
W
27/07/2026
CSKA SofiaBotev Plovdiv
32
L
21/07/2026
Botev PlovdivLokomotiv Sofia
11
D
12/07/2026
Botev PlovdivBeroe
40
W
04/07/2026
Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
10
W
04/07/2026
Botev PlovdivEtar Veliko Tarnovo
12
L

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia12102025:5+2032WDWDW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1394029:9+2031DWWDW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1292124:9+1529WLWWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481391331:14+1728WWLWW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1371522:20+222WLWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1253416:18-218DLDLL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia132749:9013DDLLD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1334612:23-1113LLWLD
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1332815:22-711LWWDL
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1224610:21-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv132386:17-119LDDDL
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1316615:25-109LDDWL
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1223713:22-99WLDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1222810:23-138LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1225:532
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1329:931
3LudogoretsLudogorets1224:929
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481331:1428
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1322:2022
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1216:1818
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia139:913
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1312:2313
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1315:2211
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1210:2110
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv136:179
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1315:259
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1213:229
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1210:238
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Arda Kardzhali and Botev Plovdiv in the First League table

Botev Plovdiv and Arda Kardzhali are close in the First League table, 5th and 6th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Arda Kardzhali 16-18, Botev Plovdiv 22-20. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Botev Plovdiv have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.