Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv Prediction

Arena Arda, Kardzhali 04/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
85%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel53%RiskMediumGap+4.5%
Arda Kardzhali Rest
4 days
Botev Plovdiv Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%2.08
X
31%3.15
2
14%3.50
Double Chance
1X
86%1.25
X2
44%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.84
No
50%1.84
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 0.91 = 2.50
Over 1.5
71%1.34
Over 2.5
47%2.10
Over 3.5
25%3.73
Under 1.5
29%3.00
Under 2.5
53%1.68
Under 3.5
75%1.24
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'samuil tsonov
36'samuil tsonov
43'Lachezar Kotev
46'Carlos Meotti INwilliams chimezie out
52'Dominik Yankov INDavid idowu out
52'Asen Chandarov
61'Preslav·Bachev INGeorgi Nikolaev Nikolov out
61'Birsent Karagaren INAtanas Kabov out
63'Vyacheslav Velev
64'samuil tsonov INmascote out
74'Asen Chandarov INHenrique Jocu out
74'williams chimezie INDimitar Tonev out
79'Vyacheslav Velev
80'Stanislav Ivanov INAntonio Vutov out
83'Antonio Vutov
85'Mauro Rodrigues INBogdan Kostov out
85'Dimitar Tonev
89'Svetoslav Kovachev

Lineups

Arda Kardzhali
4-1-4-1Coach: A. Tunchev
Botev Plovdiv
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Genchev
A. Gospodinov1A. GospodinovA. Gospodinov
V. Popov6V. PopovV. Popov
Adama Ardile Traoré44A. Ardile TraoréAdama Ardile Traoré
V. Lyubenov5V. LyubenovV. Lyubenov
V. Velev21V. VelevV. Velev
L. Kotev80L. KotevL. Kotev
S. Kovachev10S. KovachevS. Kovachev
D. Yankov8D. YankovD. Yankov
S. Ivanov91S. IvanovS. Ivanov
B. Karagaren99B. KaragarenB. Karagaren
P. Bachev16P. BachevP. Bachev
D. Naumov29D. NaumovD. Naumov
V. Mendes82V. MendesV. Mendes
S. Petrov87S. PetrovS. Petrov
N. Soldo4N. SoldoN. Soldo
B. Hein27B. HeinB. Hein
Lucas Araújo77L. AraújoLucas Araújo
A. Chandarov10A. ChandarovA. Chandarov
C. Meotti66C. MeottiC. Meotti
Mauro Rodrigues19M. RodriguesMauro Rodrigues
S. Kalu90S. KaluS. Kalu
S. Tsonov13S. TsonovS. Tsonov

Arda Kardzhali Substitutes

39A. VutovM
26B. AkandzhaM
22Y. GeorgievG
4David Akintola IdowuD
11A. KabovF
9G. NikolovF
24M. PaskalevD
18S. VasilevD
35D. VelkovskiD

Botev Plovdiv Substitutes

88W. ChimezieF
7N. IlievM
28Henrique JocúM
15B. KostovD
30Franklin MascoteF
22M. SengerD
1H. SlavkovG
23D. TonevM
16V. VidolovM
20T. AwanyD
9C. OkohF

Match Stats

Arda KardzhaliBotev Plovdiv
56%Ball Possession44%
7Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards1
20Total Shots9
9Shots on Goal5
11Shots off Goal4
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
1592Elo Rating 1542
1.71Attack 1.42
1.09Defense 1.51
50%Hit Rate 50%
13.0Shots per Game 7.4
7.4Shots on Target 5.0
4.8Corners per Game 2.0
3.4Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Arda Kardzhali 37%Draw 17%46% Botev Plovdiv
2.59Avg Goals
50%BTTS Rate
64%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
4W0D1L
31/08/2026
Arda KardzhaliBotev Vratsa
20
W
24/08/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
01
W
17/08/2026
Arda KardzhaliLokomotiv Sofia
31
W
08/08/2026
Dunav RuseArda Kardzhali
02
W
31/07/2026
CSKA 1948Arda Kardzhali
21
L
Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
2W0D3L

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia981021:4+1725DWWWW
2LudogoretsLudogorets972016:7+923WWDDW
3CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia862021:6+1520WDWWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 1948961217:9+819WLWLW
5Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali951314:11+316LLWWW
6Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv941413:14-113WWLLL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia92528:6+211DWLDD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna924310:14-410DDDLL
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa92257:17-108DWLWL
10Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia92258:15-78LLDWW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv92074:12-86LWLLL
12Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna912610:19-95DLLWL
13Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia804410:16-64DLDLL
14Dunav RuseDunav Ruse91178:17-94LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia921:425
2LudogoretsLudogorets916:723
3CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia821:620
4CSKA 1948CSKA 1948917:919
5Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali914:1116
6Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv913:1413
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia98:611
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna910:1410
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa97:178
10Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia98:158
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv94:126
12Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna910:195
13Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia810:164
14Dunav RuseDunav Ruse98:174
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this First League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About First League

ScorePredicts covers Bulgaria football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Arda Kardzhali and Botev Plovdiv have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.59 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.