Genoa vs Sudtirol Prediction

Genoa
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Sudtirol
Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa 15/09/2026
GenoaGenoa
1-0
Finished
SudtirolSudtirol

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.55
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+8.1%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.55
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+11.5%
Genoa Rest
3 days
Sudtirol Rest
3 days

Genoa vs Sudtirol: result, form and history

Genoa beat Sudtirol 1-0 in the Coppa Italia on 15 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Sudtirol had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Genoa.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
75%1.55
X
16%4.00
2
9%6.00
Double Chance
1X
91%1.12
X2
25%2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.95
No
49%1.77
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.09 + 0.68 = 2.77
Over 1.5
85%1.29
Over 2.5
55%1.92
Over 3.5
37%3.25
Under 1.5
15%3.40
Under 2.5
45%1.88
Under 3.5
63%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45'Andrea Giorgini INGiacomo Stabile out
61'Mario Mitaj INLorenzo Colombo out
61'Cody Drameh INStephan El Shaarawy out
61'Lorenzo Anghele INKevin Zeroli out
68'Tommaso Baldanzi INJunior Messias out
73'Mattia Pellini INSalvatore Molina out
73'Kenny Meddy Mixtur INAlvin Okoro out
80'Sebastian Otoa INJohan Vásquez out
81'Franz-Ethan Meichtry INHamed Junior Traorè out
82'Davide Veroli INBjarki Steinn Bjarkason out
87'Johan VásquezAssist: David Puczka

Lineups

Genoa
3-4-2-1Coach: D. De Rossi
Sudtirol
3-4-2-1Coach: D. Possanzini
Avg rating7.06
Avg rating6.51
F. Stolz6.699F. Stolz
A. Marcandalli7.927A. Marcandalli
S. Otoa7.434S. Otoa
D. Puczka8.531D. Puczka
C. Drameh6.416C. Drameh
S. Wiafe6.571S. Wiafe
Alexsandro Amorim7.24A. Amorim
M. Mitaj7.22M. Mitaj
T. Baldanzi6.98T. Baldanzi
E. Meichtry6.711E. Meichtry
Vítinha6.59Vítinha
A. Plizzari7.622A. Plizzari
M. Pellini6.919M. Pellini
A. Giorgini6.655A. Giorgini
D. Veroli6.13D. Veroli
F. Davi6.523F. Davi
F. Tait6.721F. Tait
D. Brik7.146D. Brik
S. Davì6.824S. Davì
R. Burnete5.99R. Burnete
L. Anghelè5.917L. Anghelè
K. Mixtur6.025K. Mixtur

Genoa Substitutes

22J. Vásquez80'for Sebastian Otoa87'7.7
97D. Sow
39D. Sommariva
20S. Sabelli
18M. Osmajić
10Junior Messias68'for Tommaso Baldanzi6.9
32M. Frendrup
92S. El Shaarawy61'for Cody Drameh6.6
77M. Ellertsson
3K. Ehizibue
29L. Colombo61'for Mario Mitaj7.5
1J. Bijlow
25H. Traorè81'for Franz-Ethan Meichtry6.7

Sudtirol Substitutes

11Vasco Lopes
79S. Molina73'for Mattia Pellini6.3
10Fabio Rispoli
90A. Okoro73'for Kenny Meddy Mixtur6.2
20B. Bjarkason82'for Davide Veroli6.4
18Kevin Zeroli61'for Lorenzo Anghele6.3
5S. Tronchin
4R. Stivanello
27G. Stabile45'for Andrea Giorgini6.9
39Marco Iuliano
32T. Laureti
80Elias Schroot
12Rok Vadjunec

Match Stats

GenoaSudtirol
53%Ball Possession47%
10Corner Kicks3
27Total Shots5
6Shots on Goal2
13Shots off Goal1
18Shots Inside Box3
9Shots Outside Box2
8Blocked Shots2
10Fouls7
4Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves5
507Total Passes470
458Passes Accurate412
6Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

GenoaGenoa
SudtirolSudtirol
1735Elo Rating 1559
1.24Attack 0.79
2.16Defense 1.51
66%Hit Rate 14%
10.5Shots per Game 13.7
3.0Shots on Target 3.6
3.9Corners per Game 3.8
2.1Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+175 Elo
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

GenoaGenoa
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SudtirolSudtirol
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

GenoaGenoa1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
SudtirolSudtirol0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

Serie B01/05/2023
SudtirolGenoa
00
Serie B08/12/2022
GenoaSudtirol
20

Recent Form

GenoaGenoa
3W2D5L
12/09/2026
GenoaFrosinone
11
D
04/09/2026
GenoaComo
14
L
30/08/2026
LazioGenoa
10
L
22/08/2026
GenoaNapoli
02
L
16/08/2026
GenoaAscoli
41
W
08/08/2026
GenoaDeportivo La Coruna
01
L
04/08/2026
BournemouthGenoa
101
L
01/08/2026
LeicesterGenoa
01
W
25/07/2026
GenoaVicenza Virtus
22
D
19/07/2026
GenoaTrento
21
W
SudtirolSudtirol
4W6D0L
12/09/2026
SudtirolModena
11
D
05/09/2026
SudtirolCatanzaro
20
W
30/08/2026
BeneventoSudtirol
11
D
22/08/2026
SudtirolVirtus Entella
10
W
15/08/2026
CatanzaroSudtirol
3242
W
07/08/2026
SudtirolVirtus Verona
10
W
25/07/2026
Sudtirol1. FC Kaiserslautern
00
D
22/05/2026
SudtirolBari
00
D
15/05/2026
BariSudtirol
00
D
08/05/2026
SudtirolJuve Stabia
11
D

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Arezzo2
Union Brescia0
Parma
Seeded
Cagliari
Seeded
Monza
Seeded
Avellino
Seeded
Fiorentina
Seeded
Catanzaro
Seeded
Sudtirol
Seeded
Udinese
Seeded
Padova
Seeded
Venezia
Seeded
Modena
Seeded
Torino
Seeded
Carrarese
Seeded
Frosinone
Seeded
Juve Stabia
Seeded
Genoa
Seeded
Hellas Verona
Seeded
Virtus Entella
Seeded
Lazio
Seeded
Mantova
Seeded
Pisa
Seeded
Empoli
Seeded
Sassuolo
Seeded
Cesena
Seeded
Cremonese
Seeded
Sampdoria
Seeded
Palermo
Seeded
Lecce
Seeded

About the Genoa vs Sudtirol forecast

As a knockout tie in the Coppa Italia, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Coppa Italia

More Coppa Italia fixtures and forecasts are on the Coppa Italia Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Genoa have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Genoa and Sudtirol have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.