Arsenal vs Coventry Prediction

Arsenal
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Coventry
Emirates Stadium, London·Thomas Bramall, England 21/08/2026
ArsenalArsenal
3-0
Finished
CoventryCoventry

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.71
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+9.8%
Arsenal Rest
5 days
Coventry Rest
7 days

Arsenal vs Coventry: result, form and history

Arsenal beat Coventry 3-0 in the Premier League on 21 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.18
X
23%7.20
2
9%16.00
Double Chance
1X
91%1.04
X2
32%4.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%2.45
No
43%1.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.39 + 0.99 = 3.38
Over 1.5
84%1.17
Over 2.5
61%1.57
Over 3.5
39%2.45
Under 1.5
16%4.80
Under 2.5
39%2.38
Under 3.5
61%1.55
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.6 = 9.7
Over 8.5
61%1.36
Over 9.5
50%1.65
Over 10.5
36%2.05
Under 8.5
39%2.79
Under 9.5
50%2.11
Under 10.5
64%1.71
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 2 = 3.3
Over 3.5
35%2.10
Over 4.5
19%3.10
Under 3.5
65%1.67
Under 4.5
81%1.32

Match Events

15'K. HavertzAssist: R. Calafiori
23'B. Saka
27'Caleb YirenkyiFoul
34'Gabriel MagalhãesFoul
49'M. OdegaardAssist: B. White
62'C. Yirenkyi INV. Torp out
68'D. Rice INM. Zubimendi out
68'B. Saka INN. Madueke out
70'B. Thomas-Asante INJ. Rudoni out
70'E. Simms INT. Awoniyi out
76'M. Odegaard INM. Merino out
76'C. Tzolis INE. Eze out
81'R. Calafiori INP. Hincapie out
82'L. Tchaouna ING. Hamer out

Lineups

Arsenal
4-2-3-1Coach: Mikel Arteta
Coventry
4-1-4-1Coach: Frank Lampard
Avg rating7.23
Avg rating6.53
D. Raya7.01D. Raya
B. White7.94B. White
C. Mosquera6.93C. Mosquera
Gabriel6.36Gabriel
R. Calafiori7.333R. Calafiori
M. Lewis-Skelly7.349M. Lewis-Skelly
D. Rice7.541D. Rice
B. Saka7.97B. Saka
M. OdegaardC8.28M. Odegaard
C. Tzolis7.617C. Tzolis
K. Havertz7.629K. Havertz
C. Rushworth7.319C. Rushworth
M. van Ewijk5.527M. van Ewijk
B. Thomas6.94B. Thomas
A. Amenda7.024A. Amenda
J. Dasilva6.23J. Dasilva
M. GrimesC7.26M. Grimes
L. Tchaouna6.218L. Tchaouna
C. Yirenkyi6.08C. Yirenkyi
F. Onyeka6.216F. Onyeka
B. Thomas-Asante6.523B. Thomas-Asante
E. Simms6.79E. Simms

Arsenal Substitutes

13K. Arrizabalaga
5P. Hincapie81'for R. Calafiori6.7
36M. Zubimendi68'for D. Rice6.9
22E. Nwaneri
56M. Dowman
23M. Merino76'for M. Odegaard7.0
10E. Eze76'for C. Tzolis6.7
14V. Gyökeres
20N. Madueke68'for B. Saka6.9

Coventry Substitutes

13B. Wilson
15L. Kitching
29V. Torp62'for C. Yirenkyi6.6
22J. Latibeaudiere
7T. Sakamoto
38G. Hamer82'for L. Tchaouna6.3
28J. Eccles
5J. Rudoni70'for B. Thomas-Asante6.6
14T. Awoniyi70'for E. Simms6.7

Match Stats

ArsenalCoventry
64%Ball Possession36%
8Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
20Total Shots4
6Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal2
10Shots Inside Box1
10Shots Outside Box3
8Blocked Shots1
10Fouls13
5Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
616Total Passes347
565Passes Accurate271
92%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

ArsenalArsenal
CoventryCoventry
2057Elo Rating 1720
1.58Attack 1.69
2.25Defense 1.13
66%Hit Rate 37%
15.9Shots per Game 12.6
4.8Shots on Target 3.4
5.1Corners per Game 3.2
2.1Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+338 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.38 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ArsenalArsenal
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
CoventryCoventry
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

ArsenalArsenal
7W0D3L
16/08/2026
ArsenalManchester City
30
W
12/08/2026
ArsenalComo
4131
W
09/08/2026
ArsenalBorussia Dortmund
23
L
05/08/2026
ArsenalReal Betis
13
L
01/08/2026
GironaArsenal
14
W
30/05/2026
Paris Saint GermainArsenal
4131
L
24/05/2026
Crystal PalaceArsenal
12
W
18/05/2026
ArsenalBurnley
10
W
10/05/2026
West HamArsenal
01
W
05/05/2026
ArsenalAtletico Madrid
10
W
CoventryCoventry
6W4D0L
14/08/2026
CoventryMonaco
20
W
08/08/2026
CoventryEspanyol
31
W
18/07/2026
NorthamptonCoventry
00
D
02/05/2026
WatfordCoventry
04
W
26/04/2026
CoventryWrexham
31
W
21/04/2026
CoventryPortsmouth
51
W
17/04/2026
BlackburnCoventry
11
D
11/04/2026
CoventrySheffield Wednesday
00
D
06/04/2026
Hull CityCoventry
00
D
03/04/2026
CoventryDerby
32
W

Referee Profile

Thomas Bramall184 matches

3.60Cards per match
3.47Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
22.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Thomas Bramall3.60
Other referees3.79

3.60 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.79).

Cards come from 176 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArsenalArsenal1090115:5+1027WWWWW
2BrightonBrighton1071226:7+1922WWLWW
3Manchester CityManchester City1070321:13+821LLLWW
4LiverpoolLiverpool1053214:10+418WLWWL
5ChelseaChelsea1051419:16+316LWLWW
6EvertonEverton1044212:10+216WWLLD
7BournemouthBournemouth1043316:14+215WWWWL
8BrentfordBrentford1035216:11+514LWDLD
9LeedsLeeds1035210:8+214WLDDL
10Aston VillaAston Villa1034314:17-313DDWWD
11TottenhamTottenham1033410:11-112LWWWD
12NewcastleNewcastle1033413:16-312DLWLL
13Hull CityHull City1025311:11011LDDLD
14IpswichIpswich1032515:20-511LDDLW
15FulhamFulham1024410:12-210DDWWL
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest102359:13-49WLDLL
17CoventryCoventry1030710:19-99LWLLW
18Manchester UnitedManchester United1015414:19-58DLLDD
19SunderlandSunderland102268:17-98WLDLL
20Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1021710:24-147LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1ArsenalArsenal1015:527
2BrightonBrighton1026:722
3Manchester CityManchester City1021:1321
4LiverpoolLiverpool1014:1018
5ChelseaChelsea1019:1616
6EvertonEverton1012:1016
7BournemouthBournemouth1016:1415
8BrentfordBrentford1016:1114
9LeedsLeeds1010:814
10Aston VillaAston Villa1014:1713
11TottenhamTottenham1010:1112
12NewcastleNewcastle1013:1612
13Hull CityHull City1011:1111
14IpswichIpswich1015:2011
15FulhamFulham1010:1210
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest109:139
17CoventryCoventry1010:199
18Manchester UnitedManchester United1014:198
19SunderlandSunderland108:178
20Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1010:247
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Arsenal vs Coventry forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Arsenal and Coventry in the Premier League table

The table shows a wide gap: Arsenal are 1st in the Premier League, while Coventry sit 17th, 18 points behind. League goal record so far: Arsenal 15-5, Coventry 10-19. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Arsenal have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Arsenal and Coventry have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.