Arsenal vs Coventry Prediction

Arsenal
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Coventry
Emirates Stadium, London· Thomas Bramall, England 21/08/2026
ArsenalArsenal
3-0
Finished
CoventryCoventry

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.71
SignalHIGHModel65%RiskMediumGap+9.8%
Arsenal Rest
5 days
Coventry Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.18
X
23%7.20
2
9%16.00
Double Chance
1X
91%1.04
X2
32%4.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%2.45
No
43%1.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.39 + 0.99 = 3.38
Over 1.5
84%1.17
Over 2.5
61%1.57
Over 3.5
39%2.45
Under 1.5
16%4.80
Under 2.5
39%2.38
Under 3.5
61%1.55
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.6 = 9.7
Over 8.5
61%1.36
Over 9.5
50%1.65
Over 10.5
36%2.05
Under 8.5
39%2.79
Under 9.5
50%2.11
Under 10.5
64%1.71
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 2 = 3.3
Over 3.5
35%2.10
Over 4.5
19%3.10
Under 3.5
65%1.67
Under 4.5
81%1.32

Match Events

15'K. HavertzAssist: R. Calafiori
23'B. Saka
27'Caleb YirenkyiFoul
34'Gabriel MagalhãesFoul
49'M. OdegaardAssist: B. White
62'C. Yirenkyi INV. Torp out
68'D. Rice INM. Zubimendi out
68'B. Saka INN. Madueke out
70'B. Thomas-Asante INJ. Rudoni out
70'E. Simms INT. Awoniyi out
76'M. Odegaard INM. Merino out
76'C. Tzolis INE. Eze out
81'R. Calafiori INP. Hincapie out
82'L. Tchaouna ING. Hamer out

Lineups

Arsenal
4-2-3-1Coach: Mikel Arteta
Coventry
4-1-4-1Coach: Frank Lampard
D. Raya1D. RayaD. Raya
B. White4B. WhiteB. White
C. Mosquera3C. MosqueraC. Mosquera
Gabriel6GabrielGabriel
R. Calafiori33R. CalafioriR. Calafiori
M. Lewis-Skelly49M. Lewis-SkellyM. Lewis-Skelly
D. Rice41D. RiceD. Rice
B. Saka7B. SakaB. Saka
M. Odegaard8M. OdegaardM. Odegaard
C. Tzolis17C. TzolisC. Tzolis
K. Havertz29K. HavertzK. Havertz
C. Rushworth19C. RushworthC. Rushworth
M. van Ewijk27M. van EwijkM. van Ewijk
B. Thomas4B. ThomasB. Thomas
A. Amenda24A. AmendaA. Amenda
J. Dasilva3J. DasilvaJ. Dasilva
M. Grimes6M. GrimesM. Grimes
L. Tchaouna18L. TchaounaL. Tchaouna
C. Yirenkyi8C. YirenkyiC. Yirenkyi
F. Onyeka16F. OnyekaF. Onyeka
B. Thomas-Asante23B. Thomas-AsanteB. Thomas-Asante
E. Simms9E. SimmsE. Simms

Arsenal Substitutes

13K. ArrizabalagaG
5P. HincapieD
36M. ZubimendiM
22E. NwaneriM
56M. DowmanM
23M. MerinoM
10E. EzeM
14V. GyökeresF
20N. MaduekeF

Coventry Substitutes

13B. WilsonG
15L. KitchingD
29V. TorpM
22J. LatibeaudiereD
7T. SakamotoM
38G. HamerM
28J. EcclesM
5J. RudoniM
14T. AwoniyiF

Match Stats

ArsenalCoventry
65%Ball Possession35%
8Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
20Total Shots4
6Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal2
10Shots Inside Box1
10Shots Outside Box3
8Blocked Shots1
10Fouls13
5Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
613Total Passes337
561Passes Accurate265
92%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

ArsenalArsenal
CoventryCoventry
2035Elo Rating 1701
1.75Attack 0.66
2.81Defense 0.47
100%Hit Rate 17%
16.0Shots per Game 11.2
6.1Shots on Target 3.9
4.9Corners per Game 4.4
1.5Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+333 Elo
High Goal Expectancy3.38 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ArsenalArsenal
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)
CoventryCoventry
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

ArsenalArsenal
3W0D2L
16/08/2026
ArsenalManchester City
30
W
12/08/2026
ArsenalComo
4131
W
09/08/2026
ArsenalBorussia Dortmund
23
L
05/08/2026
ArsenalReal Betis
13
L
01/08/2026
GironaArsenal
14
W
CoventryCoventry
4W1D0L
14/08/2026
CoventryMonaco
20
W
08/08/2026
CoventryEspanyol
31
W
18/07/2026
NorthamptonCoventry
00
D
02/05/2026
WatfordCoventry
04
W
26/04/2026
CoventryWrexham
31
W

Referee Profile

Thomas Bramall, England · 24 matches analysed

4.2Avg Yellows
4.3Avg Cards
22.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 58% of referees analysed

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArsenalArsenal44008:1+712WWWW
2Manchester CityManchester City44008:2+612WWWW
3LeedsLeeds42207:3+48WDDW
4Hull CityHull City42205:2+38DDWW
5BrightonBrighton421113:5+87WDLW
6ChelseaChelsea421110:9+17DLWW
7BrentfordBrentford41307:4+36DDDW
8LiverpoolLiverpool41306:4+26DWDD
9EvertonEverton41305:3+26DDDW
10IpswichIpswich42027:10-36WLLW
11Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest41214:405WDDL
12NewcastleNewcastle41217:8-15LDWD
13Manchester UnitedManchester United41127:704LDWL
14SunderlandSunderland41123:5-24LDWL
15BournemouthBournemouth40316:7-13DDDL
16Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace41036:11-53LWLL
17TottenhamTottenham40220:5-52DDLL
18FulhamFulham40134:7-31DLLL
19Aston VillaAston Villa40131:7-61LDLL
20CoventryCoventry40040:10-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ArsenalArsenal48:112
2Manchester CityManchester City48:212
3LeedsLeeds47:38
4Hull CityHull City45:28
5BrightonBrighton413:57
6ChelseaChelsea410:97
7BrentfordBrentford47:46
8LiverpoolLiverpool46:46
9EvertonEverton45:36
10IpswichIpswich47:106
11Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest44:45
12NewcastleNewcastle47:85
13Manchester UnitedManchester United47:74
14SunderlandSunderland43:54
15BournemouthBournemouth46:73
16Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace46:113
17TottenhamTottenham40:52
18FulhamFulham44:71
19Aston VillaAston Villa41:71
20CoventryCoventry40:100
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Arsenal vs Coventry Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Premier League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Premier League

ScorePredicts covers England football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Arsenal and Coventry have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.