Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction

Atalanta
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Bologna
New Balance Arena, Bergamo· Daniele Doveri, Italy 31/08/2026
AtalantaAtalanta
1-0
Finished
BolognaBologna

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.53
SignalGOODModel52%RiskMediumGap+10.6%
Atalanta Rest
4 days
Bologna Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.92
X
26%3.60
2
24%4.10
Double Chance
1X
76%1.25
X2
50%1.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.75
No
43%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.03 = 2.59
Over 1.5
73%1.29
Over 2.5
49%1.91
Over 3.5
22%3.23
Under 1.5
27%3.50
Under 2.5
51%1.91
Under 3.5
78%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 3.8 = 8.3
Over 8.5
36%1.59
Over 9.5
23%2.00
Over 10.5
8%2.57
Under 8.5
64%2.19
Under 9.5
77%1.75
Under 10.5
92%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.9 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%2.58
Over 4.5
30%3.85
Under 3.5
48%1.45
Under 4.5
70%1.22

Match Events

55'C. De Ketelaere INN. Zalewski out
56'G. Raspadori INE. Elmas out
60'J. Odgaard INR. Orsolini out
60'R. Piccoli INA. Dovbyk out
61'D. Tedesco
68'G. Scamacca INN. Krstovic out
68'Ederson INL. Samardzic out
72'E. Holm INN. Zortea out
72'T. Pobega INM. Amondarain out
73'N. KrstovicUnsportsmanlike conduct
78'S. Kolasinac INR. Bellanova out
80'R. Orsolini INN. Moro out
90+6'L. SamardzicAssist: N. Zalewski

Lineups

Atalanta
4-3-3Coach: Maurizio Sarri
Bologna
4-2-3-1Coach: Domenico Tedesco
Marco Carnesecchi29M. CarnesecchiMarco Carnesecchi
Davide Zappacosta77D. ZappacostaDavide Zappacosta
Odilon Kossounou3O. KossounouOdilon Kossounou
Giorgio Scalvini42G. ScalviniGiorgio Scalvini
Sead Kolašinac23S. KolašinacSead Kolašinac
Mario Pašalić8M. PašalićMario Pašalić
Gianluca Gaetano70G. GaetanoGianluca Gaetano
Éderson13ÉdersonÉderson
Charles De Ketelaere17C. De KetelaereCharles De Ketelaere
Gianluca Scamacca9G. ScamaccaGianluca Scamacca
Giacomo Raspadori18G. RaspadoriGiacomo Raspadori
Łukasz Skorupski1Ł. SkorupskiŁukasz Skorupski
Emil Holm2E. HolmEmil Holm
Eivind Helland5E. HellandEivind Helland
Torbjørn Heggem14T. HeggemTorbjørn Heggem
Abdel Rahim23A. RahimAbdel Rahim
Tommaso Pobega4T. PobegaTommaso Pobega
Lewis Ferguson19L. FergusonLewis Ferguson
Federico Bernardeschi10F. BernardeschiFederico Bernardeschi
Jens Odgaard21J. OdgaardJens Odgaard
Nicolò Cambiaghi28N. CambiaghiNicolò Cambiaghi
Roberto Piccoli91R. PiccoliRoberto Piccoli

Atalanta Substitutes

59Nicola ZalewskiM
99Eljif ElmasM
10Lazar SamardžićM
90Nikola KrstovićF
16Raoul BellanovaD
57Marco SportielloG
95Paolo VismaraG
40Relja ObrićD
6Ibrahim SulemanaM
49Federico CassaM
47Lorenzo BernasconiD

Bologna Substitutes

7Riccardo OrsoliniF
9Artem DovbykF
20Nadir ZorteaD
8Mikel AmondarainM
6Nikola MoroM
25Massimo PessinaG
72Ukko HapponenG
33Juan MirandaD
16Nicolò CasaleD
29Lorenzo De SilvestriD
3Arthur TheateD
41Martin VitíkD
18Marco LibraD

Match Stats

AtalantaBologna
42%Ball Possession58%
1Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards0
6Total Shots16
2Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal10
3Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots3
10Fouls13
0Offsides4
3Goalkeeper Saves1
478Total Passes680
409Passes Accurate617
86%Pass Accuracy91%

Team Comparison

AtalantaAtalanta
BolognaBologna
1806Elo Rating 1733
1.14Attack 0.88
1.86Defense 1.49
50%Hit Rate 0%
12.8Shots per Game 13.3
3.6Shots on Target 3.6
2.8Corners per Game 4.7
0.7Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AtalantaAtalanta
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BolognaBologna
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Atalanta 42%Draw 14%44% Bologna
1.56Avg Goals
14%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

AtalantaAtalanta
4W1D0L
27/08/2026
Hapoel Tel AvivAtalanta
01
W
23/08/2026
AtalantaSassuolo
21
W
20/08/2026
AtalantaHapoel Tel Aviv
00
D
14/08/2026
AtalantaAthletic Club
10
W
08/08/2026
FC Schalke 04Atalanta
03
W
BolognaBologna
2W1D2L
24/08/2026
BolognaLazio
01
L
15/08/2026
BrightonBologna
10
L
08/08/2026
BolognaPisa
11
D
01/08/2026
BolognaCambuur
31
W
25/07/2026
BolognaIraklis 1908
20
W

Referee Profile

Daniele Doveri, Italy · 11 matches analysed

3.9Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
24.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 24% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AS RomaAS Roma440012:1+1112WWWW
2InterInter440013:6+712WWWW
3ComoComo43109:4+510WWWD
4LazioLazio43106:3+310DWWW
5CagliariCagliari43014:2+29WWLW
6AC MilanAC Milan42207:4+38DDWW
7FrosinoneFrosinone42117:4+37DWWL
8JuventusJuventus42116:4+27LDWW
9SassuoloSassuolo42118:7+17WDWL
10NapoliNapoli42026:5+16WLLW
11AtalantaAtalanta42025:506LLWW
12LecceLecce42025:7-26WLLW
13UdineseUdinese41128:10-24LLWD
14TorinoTorino41034:7-33LWLL
15FiorentinaFiorentina41035:11-63WLLL
16BolognaBologna40132:5-31LDLL
17ParmaParma40132:6-41LDLL
18MonzaMonza40136:11-51LDLL
19GenoaGenoa40132:8-61DLLL
20VeneziaVenezia40044:11-70LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AS RomaAS Roma412:112
2InterInter413:612
3ComoComo49:410
4LazioLazio46:310
5CagliariCagliari44:29
6AC MilanAC Milan47:48
7FrosinoneFrosinone47:47
8JuventusJuventus46:47
9SassuoloSassuolo48:77
10NapoliNapoli46:56
11AtalantaAtalanta45:56
12LecceLecce45:76
13UdineseUdinese48:104
14TorinoTorino44:73
15FiorentinaFiorentina45:113
16BolognaBologna42:51
17ParmaParma42:61
18MonzaMonza46:111
19GenoaGenoa42:81
20VeneziaVenezia44:110
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie A

ScorePredicts covers Italy football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Atalanta and Bologna have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.56 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.