Fiorentina vs Torino Prediction

Fiorentina
1-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Torino
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence·Davide Massa, Italy 05/09/2026
FiorentinaFiorentina
1-2
Finished
TorinoTorino

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.86
SignalNEUTRALModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+6.3%
Fiorentina Rest
6 days
Torino Rest
3 days

Fiorentina vs Torino: the result in context

Torino beat Fiorentina 2-1 in the Serie A on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%1.95
X
30%3.30
2
27%4.20
Double Chance
1X
73%1.24
X2
56%1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.86
No
56%1.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.09 = 2.45
Over 1.5
72%1.34
Over 2.5
46%2.10
Over 3.5
18%3.66
Under 1.5
28%3.13
Under 2.5
54%1.74
Under 3.5
82%1.26
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 3.9 = 9.1
Over 8.5
57%1.80
Over 9.5
47%2.25
Over 10.5
31%3.10
Under 8.5
43%1.95
Under 9.5
53%1.57
Under 10.5
69%1.30
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.6 = 4.6
Over 3.5
68%1.43
Over 4.5
49%1.92
Under 3.5
32%2.61
Under 4.5
51%1.80

Match Events

24'C. Inao Oulai INC. Ndour out
40'S. Coco INA. Ismajli out
46'M. Brescianini INA. Atta out
46'F. Mastantuono INW. Gnonto out
47'M. PellegrinoAssist: R. Dragusin
56'N. Fortini INN. Patterson out
56'A. Cacciamani INR. Belghali out
70'P. Comuzzo IND. Braganca out
70'G. Gineitis ING. Simeone out
73'R. MandragoraAssist: E. Comert
76'M. Pellegrino INBeto out
79'A. Njie INPote out
82'C. AdamsAssist: R. Belghali

Lineups

Fiorentina
Torino
3-1-4-2Coach: Ignazio Abate

Fiorentina Starting XI

43D. de GeaC6.6
17Joao Mario6.9
3R. Dragusin6.7
33Viery6.7
21V. Valdepenas6.3
44N. Fagioli7.5
42C. Inao Oulai24'replaced by C. Ndour6.7
4M. Brescianini46'replaced by A. Atta6.6
30F. Mastantuono46'replaced by W. Gnonto6.7
32M. Pellegrino47'76'replaced by Beto7.7
25A. Njie79'replaced by Pote7.2
Avg rating6.75

Torino Starting XI

20Lucas Perri7.5
5E. Comert7.3
23S. Coco40'replaced by A. Ismajli7.2
15P. Comuzzo70'replaced by D. Braganca6.6
8R. Mandragora73'8.3
29N. Fortini56'replaced by N. Patterson6.9
66G. Gineitis70'replaced by G. Simeone6.2
28K. Fitz-Jim6.5
77A. Cacciamani56'replaced by R. Belghali6.7
19C. Adams82'7.2
10N. VlasicC6.7
Avg rating6.92

Fiorentina Substitutes

19L. Lezzerini
53O. Christensen
5M. Pongracic
6L. Ranieri
20A. Jimenez
2Dodo
27C. Ndour24'for C. Inao Oulai6.6
14A. Atta46'for M. Brescianini6.6
23Beto76'for M. Pellegrino6.3
28Pote79'for A. Njie6.7
29W. Gnonto46'for F. Mastantuono6.2

Torino Substitutes

26D. Mascardi
76L. Siviero
3C. Biraghi
44A. Ismajli40'for S. Coco6.7
2N. Patterson56'for N. Fortini7.0
45R. Belghali56'for A. Cacciamani6.6
63M. Carrascosa
21D. Braganca70'for P. Comuzzo6.6
11G. Oristanio
6E. Ilkhan
79A. Luongo
18G. Simeone70'for G. Gineitis6.7
17S. Kulenovic
7Z. Aboukhlal
91D. Zapata

Match Stats

FiorentinaTorino
39%Ball Possession61%
3Corner Kicks5
14Total Shots7
6Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal1
10Shots Inside Box3
4Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots2
13Fouls9
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
348Total Passes551
289Passes Accurate489
83%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

FiorentinaFiorentina
TorinoTorino
1736Elo Rating 1721
2.04Attack 1.59
0.83Defense 1.24
27%Hit Rate 50%
16.3Shots per Game 12.2
4.5Shots on Target 4.4
5.2Corners per Game 4.5
2.8Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FiorentinaFiorentina
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.4 in first half)
TorinoTorino
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FiorentinaFiorentina3Wins · 30%
Draws550%
TorinoTorino2Wins · 20%
1.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A07/02/2026
FiorentinaTorino
22
Serie A31/08/2025
TorinoFiorentina
00
Serie A19/01/2025
FiorentinaTorino
11
Serie A03/11/2024
TorinoFiorentina
01
Serie A02/03/2024
TorinoFiorentina
00
Serie A29/12/2023
FiorentinaTorino
10
Serie A21/05/2023
TorinoFiorentina
11
Coppa Italia01/02/2023
FiorentinaTorino
21
Serie A21/01/2023
FiorentinaTorino
01
Serie A10/01/2022
TorinoFiorentina
40

Recent Form

FiorentinaFiorentina
4W3D3L
29/08/2026
FiorentinaFrosinone
03
L
24/08/2026
AS RomaFiorentina
40
L
14/08/2026
FiorentinaBenevento
41
W
06/08/2026
FiorentinaDeportivo La Coruna
11
D
01/08/2026
Real MadridFiorentina
22
D
29/07/2026
WatfordFiorentina
01
W
25/07/2026
QPRFiorentina
32
L
22/07/2026
FiorentinaGubbio
10
W
19/07/2026
FiorentinaFiorentina U20
81
W
22/05/2026
FiorentinaAtalanta
11
D
TorinoTorino
5W0D5L
01/09/2026
TorinoMonza
01
L
29/08/2026
SassuoloTorino
21
L
23/08/2026
TorinoAC Milan
12
L
15/08/2026
TorinoCarrarese
10
W
08/08/2026
AvellinoTorino
1131
W
02/08/2026
BurnleyTorino
01
W
25/07/2026
TorinoCittadella
01
L
22/07/2026
TorinoAlcione
10
W
17/05/2026
CagliariTorino
21
L
08/05/2026
TorinoSassuolo
21
W

Referee Profile

Davide Massa224 matches

4.78Cards per match
4.57Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
25.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Davide Massa4.78
Other referees4.41

4.78 cards a match, 0.37 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.41).

Cards come from 214 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LazioLazio1192025:9+1629DWWWW
2InterInter1191128:13+1528WLWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma1183031:10+2127WWWDW
4AC MilanAC Milan1173123:13+1024WWLWW
5ComoComo1172218:10+823LWWWW
6FrosinoneFrosinone1162324:15+920LWWDW
7JuventusJuventus1153315:12+318DWLWL
8BolognaBologna1152416:14+217WWWWL
9CagliariCagliari1151510:15-516WLLLL
10NapoliNapoli1143418:14+415DLWDL
11TorinoTorino1142515:17-214DLLWW
12AtalantaAtalanta1142517:20-314WLDDL
13GenoaGenoa1141611:16-513LWWWL
14LecceLecce1131712:22-1010DLLLW
15FiorentinaFiorentina1123617:25-89DWDLL
16ParmaParma112279:17-88LWDLL
17SassuoloSassuolo1122716:29-138LLLLL
18MonzaMonza1121817:25-87LLLLW
19VeneziaVenezia112098:21-136WLLLW
20UdineseUdinese1112812:25-135LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1LazioLazio1125:929
2InterInter1128:1328
3AS RomaAS Roma1131:1027
4AC MilanAC Milan1123:1324
5ComoComo1118:1023
6FrosinoneFrosinone1124:1520
7JuventusJuventus1115:1218
8BolognaBologna1116:1417
9CagliariCagliari1110:1516
10NapoliNapoli1118:1415
11TorinoTorino1115:1714
12AtalantaAtalanta1117:2014
13GenoaGenoa1111:1613
14LecceLecce1112:2210
15FiorentinaFiorentina1117:259
16ParmaParma119:178
17SassuoloSassuolo1116:298
18MonzaMonza1117:257
19VeneziaVenezia118:216
20UdineseUdinese1112:255
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Fiorentina vs Torino forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fiorentina and Torino in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Torino are 11th and Fiorentina 15th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Fiorentina 17-25, Torino 15-17. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Torino have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.