Genoa vs Como Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+9.2%
Genoa Rest
5 days
Como Rest
5 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
124%5.10
X30%3.50
246%1.75
Double Chance
1X54%2.00
X276%1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%1.87
No52%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.07 + 1.32 = 2.39
Over 1.570%1.32
Over 2.543%2.02
Over 3.516%3.48
Under 1.530%3.32
Under 2.557%1.80
Under 3.584%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 4.8 = 9.2
Over 8.558%1.83
Over 9.546%2.35
Over 10.534%3.20
Under 8.542%1.91
Under 9.554%1.53
Under 10.566%1.30
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 4
Over 3.558%1.67
Over 4.538%2.37
Under 3.542%2.19
Under 4.562%1.55
Match Events
19'Milutin OsmajićAssist: Lorenzo Colombo
25'Martin BaturinaAssist: Álex Valle
30'Assane Diao Diaoune
36'Djibril SowFoul
40'Nico PazAssist: Yan Couto
45'Stefano Sabelli INVítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira out
60'Martin BaturinaDissent
62'Leo ØstigårdFoul
66'Anastasios Douvikas INMoise Kean out
66'Martin Baturina INMaxence Caqueret out
66'Tommaso Baldanzi INKingsley Ehizibue out
66'Lorenzo Colombo INJunior Messias out
75'Djibril Sow INAlexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho out
78'Assane Diao DiaouneAssist: Moise Kean
79'Lucas Da Cunha INSamuele Ricci out
80'Nico Paz INLuis Milla out
81'Alessandro Marcandalli INFranz-Ethan Meichtry out
84'Assane Diao Diaoune INMattia Liberali out
Lineups
GenoaComo
4-2-3-1Coach: Cesc FàbregasAvg ratingAvg rating
1J. Bijlow
27A. Marcandalli
5L. Østigård
77M. Ellertsson
20S. Sabelli
97D. Sow
22J. Vásquez
8T. Baldanzi
32M. Frendrup
29L. Colombo
18M. Osmajić
1J. Butez
27Y. Couto
4J. Ramón Naveros
99T. Chalobah
3Á. Valle
5M. Perrone
7L. da Cunha
11A. Diao
10N. Paz
20M. Baturina
9T. DouvikasGenoa Substitutes
92S. El Shaarawy
4Alexsandro Amorim75'for Djibril Sow
9Vítinha45'for Stefano Sabelli
74M. Doucoure
3K. Ehizibue66'for Tommaso Baldanzi
11E. Meichtry81'for Alessandro Marcandalli
10Junior Messias66'for Lorenzo Colombo
2M. Mitaj
31D. Puczka
39D. Sommariva
99F. Stolz
25H. Traorè
34S. Otoa
71S. Wiafe
Como Substitutes
97Robert Sánchez
6Luis Milla80'for Nico Paz
14S. Ricci79'for Lucas Da Cunha
28I. Smolčić
22M. Vigorito
16Kaiki
30M. Liberali84'for Assane Diao Diaoune
15A. Lahdo
2M. Kempf
90M. Kean66'for Anastasios Douvikas
53Willy Kambwala Ndengushi
18E. Goldaniga
13A. Dossena
8M. Caqueret66'for Martin Baturina
17Jesús Rodríguez
Match Stats
GenoaComo 38%Ball Possession62%
5Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots20
2Shots on Goal9
5Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box11
4Blocked Shots5
8Fouls7
6Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves1
361Total Passes618
307Passes Accurate567
85%Pass Accuracy92%
Team Comparison
GenoaComo1749Elo Rating 1964
1.47Attack 4.13
2.26Defense 2.39
83%Hit Rate 100%
11.0Shots per Game 16.6
2.8Shots on Target 7.2
3.5Corners per Game 5.5
1.7Cards per Game 0.7
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Genoa- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0 in second half)
Como- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (3 vs 1.2 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Genoa0Wins · 0%Draws467%
Como2Wins · 33%
2Wins · 33%2.2Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
17%3+ goals1 of 6
Previous meetings
26/04/2026GenoaComo02
15/09/2025ComoGenoa11
27/04/2025ComoGenoa10
07/11/2024GenoaComo11
10/04/2023comoGenoa22
13/11/2022Genoacomo11
Recent Form
Genoa3W2D5L
30/08/2026
LazioGenoaGenoa
NapoliGenoa
Ascoli
LazioGenoa10
L22/08/2026GenoaNapoli02
L16/08/2026GenoaAscoli41
W08/08/2026Genoa
Deportivo La Coruna
GenoaDeportivo La Coruna01
L04/08/2026
BournemouthGenoa
BournemouthGenoa101
L01/08/2026
LeicesterGenoa
LeicesterGenoa01
W25/07/2026Genoa
Vicenza Virtus
GenoaVicenza Virtus22
D19/07/2026Genoa
Trento
GenoaTrento21
W17/05/2026Genoa
AC Milan
GenoaAC Milan12
L10/05/2026
FiorentinaGenoa
FiorentinaGenoa00
DComo5W3D2L
30/08/2026NapoliComo
UdineseComo
NapoliComo12
W22/08/2026UdineseComo11
D16/08/2026
LiverpoolComo
LiverpoolComo00
D12/08/2026
ArsenalComo
ArsenalComo4131
L31/07/2026
FamalicaoComo
FamalicaoComo23
W17/05/2026Como
Parma
ComoParma10
W10/05/2026
Hellas VeronaComo
Hellas VeronaComo01
W02/05/2026ComoNapoli
ComoNapoli00
D26/04/2026GenoaComo
GenoaComo02
W21/04/2026
InterComo
InterComo32
LReferee Profile
3.97Cards per match
3.85Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.97 cards a match, 0.46 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.43).
Cards come from 155 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24:8 | +16 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26:13 | +13 | 25 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | +18 | 24 | WWDWD |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | +10 | 23 | WWWWD |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | +9 | 21 | WLWWD |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:15 | +9 | 20 | LWWDW |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 17 | WLWLD |
| 8 |  Bologna | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:14 | +2 | 17 | WWWWL |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | WLLLL |
| 10 | Napoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 14 | LWDLW |
| 11 |  Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 | DLLWW |
| 12 | Genoa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 | WWWLW |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 11 | LDDLW |
| 14 |  Lecce | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 10 | DLLLW |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 16 | Parma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 | LWDLL |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16:26 | -10 | 8 | LLLLD |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8:21 | -13 | 6 | WLLLW |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 5 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 11 | 24:15 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 | Bologna | 11 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 11 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 10 | Napoli | 10 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 11 | Torino | 11 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 12 | Genoa | 10 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 10 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 11 | 12:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 10 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 16 | Parma | 11 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 10 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | 12:25 | 5 |
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About the Genoa vs Como forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Genoa and Como in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Como are 4th and Genoa 12th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Genoa 10-14, Como 18-8. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Genoa have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Como have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.