AS Roma vs Atalanta Prediction

AS Roma
2-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Atalanta
Stadio Olimpico, Rome· A. Colombo 05/09/2026
AS RomaAS Roma
2-1
Finished
AtalantaAtalanta

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.91
SignalHIGHModel61%RiskMediumGap+9.6%
AS Roma Rest
5 days
Atalanta Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.73
X
25%3.75
2
18%4.88
Double Chance
1X
82%1.18
X2
43%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.80
No
46%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.78 + 1.03 = 2.81
Over 1.5
77%1.29
Over 2.5
58%1.91
Over 3.5
33%3.23
Under 1.5
23%3.50
Under 2.5
42%1.91
Under 3.5
67%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.4 = 8.9
Over 8.5
51%1.69
Over 9.5
36%2.07
Over 10.5
25%2.75
Under 8.5
49%2.10
Under 9.5
64%1.70
Under 10.5
75%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.7 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.70
Over 4.5
42%2.32
Under 3.5
39%2.06
Under 4.5
58%1.56

Match Events

40'Gian Piero GasperiniDissent
45'Gianluca Scamacca INNikola Krstović out
47'Éderson José dos Santos
54'Emanuele Lulli INNahuel Molina out
54'Rodrigo Mora INMatias Soule out
55'Maurizio SarriDissent
62'Gianluca Mancini INDaniele Ghilardi out
63'Donyell Malen INSantiago Thomas Castro out
66'Elif Elmas INNicola Zalewski out
66'Lazar Samardzic INMario Pašalić out
67'Evan Ndicka INLeonardo Balerdi out
73'Sead Kolašinac INDavide Zappacosta out
79'Éderson José dos Santos INFranck Kessié out
84'Raoul BellanovaDissent
89'Mario HermosoAssist: Matias Soule
90+3'Matias SouleAssist: Paulo Dybala

Lineups

AS Roma
3-4-1-2Coach: G. Gasperini
Atalanta
4-3-3Coach: M. Sarri
M. Svilar99M. SvilarM. Svilar
G. Mancini23G. ManciniG. Mancini
E. Ndicka5E. NdickaE. Ndicka
Hermoso22HermosoHermoso
E. Lulli77E. LulliE. Lulli
B. Cristante4B. CristanteB. Cristante
M. Koné17M. KonéM. Koné
Wesley43WesleyWesley
Rodrigo Mora86R. MoraRodrigo Mora
P. Dybala21P. DybalaP. Dybala
D. Malen14D. MalenD. Malen
M. Carnesecchi29M. CarnesecchiM. Carnesecchi
R. Bellanova16R. BellanovaR. Bellanova
O. Kossounou3O. KossounouO. Kossounou
G. Scalvini42G. ScalviniG. Scalvini
S. Kolašinac23S. KolašinacS. Kolašinac
L. Samardžić10L. SamardžićL. Samardžić
G. Gaetano70G. GaetanoG. Gaetano
Éderson13ÉdersonÉderson
C. De Ketelaere17C. De KetelaereC. De Ketelaere
G. Scamacca9G. ScamaccaG. Scamacca
E. Elmas99E. ElmasE. Elmas

AS Roma Substitutes

18M. SouléF
2D. RenschD
20N. MolinaD
3K. KoulierakisD
95P. GolliniG
87D. GhilardiD
15M. de RoonM
70G. De MarziG
9S. CastroF
26L. BalerdiD
68A. ArenaF
61N. PisilliM

Atalanta Substitutes

19F. KessiéM
77D. ZappacostaD
31T. KristensenD
90N. KrstovićF
40R. ObrićD
8Mario PasalicM
18G. RaspadoriF
11J. RoweF
57M. SportielloG
59N. ZalewskiM
47L. BernasconiD
22Thomas PompeiG

Match Stats

AS RomaAtalanta
66%Ball Possession34%
14Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards1
39Total Shots6
10Shots on Goal2
20Shots off Goal3
27Shots Inside Box6
12Shots Outside Box0
9Blocked Shots1
9Fouls10
4Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves9
613Total Passes323
547Passes Accurate254
10Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

AS RomaAS Roma
AtalantaAtalanta
1933Elo Rating 1806
2.09Attack 1.14
2.10Defense 1.86
54%Hit Rate 50%
18.2Shots per Game 12.8
5.6Shots on Target 3.6
6.0Corners per Game 2.8
1.8Cards per Game 0.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+127 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📈BTTS Trend61% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

AS RomaAS Roma
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AtalantaAtalanta
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

AS Roma 0%Draw 27%73% Atalanta
2.11Avg Goals
61%BTTS Rate
34%Over 2.5

Recent Form

AS RomaAS Roma
3W1D1L
31/08/2026
LecceAS Roma
04
W
24/08/2026
AS RomaFiorentina
40
W
15/08/2026
Borussia DortmundAS Roma
22
D
08/08/2026
BrightonAS Roma
30
L
04/08/2026
Newport CountyAS Roma
14
W
AtalantaAtalanta
4W1D0L
31/08/2026
AtalantaBologna
10
W
27/08/2026
Hapoel Tel AvivAtalanta
01
W
23/08/2026
AtalantaSassuolo
21
W
20/08/2026
AtalantaHapoel Tel Aviv
00
D
14/08/2026
AtalantaAthletic Club
10
W

Referee Profile

A. Colombo · 56 matches analysed

4.6Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
24.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 85% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AS RomaAS Roma541014:3+1113DWWWW
2InterInter541015:8+713DWWWW
3LazioLazio54108:3+513WDWWW
4CagliariCagliari54015:2+312WWWLW
5ComoComo43109:4+510WWWD
6AC MilanAC Milan42207:4+38DDWW
7FrosinoneFrosinone42117:4+37DWWL
8JuventusJuventus42116:4+27LDWW
9NapoliNapoli52127:6+17DWLLW
10SassuoloSassuolo52129:907LWDWL
11AtalantaAtalanta42025:506LLWW
12LecceLecce42025:7-26WLLW
13UdineseUdinese51138:11-34LLLWD
14TorinoTorino51135:8-34DLWLL
15MonzaMonza51138:12-44WLDLL
16FiorentinaFiorentina51136:12-64DWLLL
17BolognaBologna50233:6-32DLDLL
18ParmaParma40132:6-41LDLL
19GenoaGenoa40132:8-61DLLL
20VeneziaVenezia50054:13-90LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AS RomaAS Roma514:313
2InterInter515:813
3LazioLazio58:313
4CagliariCagliari55:212
5ComoComo49:410
6AC MilanAC Milan47:48
7FrosinoneFrosinone47:47
8JuventusJuventus46:47
9NapoliNapoli57:67
10SassuoloSassuolo59:97
11AtalantaAtalanta45:56
12LecceLecce45:76
13UdineseUdinese58:114
14TorinoTorino55:84
15MonzaMonza58:124
16FiorentinaFiorentina56:124
17BolognaBologna53:62
18ParmaParma42:61
19GenoaGenoa42:81
20VeneziaVenezia54:130
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

AS Roma vs Atalanta Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie A

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Key Factors for This Match

AS Roma have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. AS Roma and Atalanta have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.11 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.