ADT vs Alianza Atletico Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 5
Estadio Union Tarma, Tarma· Sebastian Lozano, Peru 15/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
59%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.73SignalNEUTRALModel45%RiskMediumGap+1.5%
Value Analysis
59%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.73SignalSOLIDModel42%RiskMediumGap+5.8%
ADT Rest
7 days
Alianza Atletico Rest
8 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
144%1.98
X32%3.32
224%3.60
Double Chance
1X76%1.25
X256%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes59%1.73
No41%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 1.05 = 2.60
Over 1.576%1.28
Over 2.554%1.91
Over 3.533%3.15
Under 1.524%3.40
Under 2.546%1.84
Under 3.567%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.5 = 9.7
Over 8.561%1.84
Over 9.547%2.34
Over 10.533%3.16
Under 8.539%1.84
Under 9.553%1.52
Under 10.567%1.27
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.6 = 5.1
Over 3.570%-
Over 4.553%-
Under 3.530%-
Under 4.547%-
Match Events
23'Jairo Molina
29'Jonathan BaumanAssist: Jhair Soto
34'Jorge del CastilloFoul
40'Erick PerlecheFoul
45+2'Jorge del CastilloFoul
45+2'Jorge del CastilloFoul
59'Jairo MolinaFoul
61'Horacio Benincasa INAlejandro Ramos out
62'Jerry Navarro INJuan Lucumí out
65'Anthony Gordillo INJesus Mendieta out
66'Ángel OjedaFoul
69'Román SuárezFoul
72'Said Peralta INAlexander Hidalgo out
72'Ángel Ojeda INHernán Rengifo out
72'Erick Perleche INWilliams Guzmán out
86'Jeremy CanelaArgument
86'José LujánArgument
87'Jonathan Bauman(Penalty missed)
89'Luis PérezFoul
90'Orlando Nuñez INJhojan Garcilazo out
90'José Ingratti INGuillermo Larios out
90'Jairo Molina INStefano Fernández out
Lineups
ADTAlianza Atletico
4-2-3-1Coach: Federico Urciuoli
30J. ValenciaJuan Valencia
31J. NavarroJerry Navarro
23J. NarváezJohn Narváez
28J. SotoJhair Soto
44H. BenincasaHoracio Benincasa
16L. PérezLuis Pérez
6Á. OjedaÁngel Ojeda
24S. PeraltaSaid Peralta
80J. CanelaJeremy Canela
59O. NuñezOrlando Nuñez
32J. BaumanJonathan Bauman
31S. RivadeneyraSteven Rivadeneyra
21E. PerlecheErick Perleche
2R. SuárezRomán Suárez
6J. LujánJosé Luján
24A. GordilloAnthony Gordillo
10G. DiazGerman Diaz
15H. LupúHernan Lupú
27J. IngrattiJosé Ingratti
22J. del CastilloJorge del Castillo
17C. PenillaCristian Penilla
29J. MolinaJairo MolinaADT Substitutes
98Alejandro RamosD
77Juan LucumíF
27Alexander HidalgoM
9Hernán RengifoF
26Jhojan GarcilazoF
33Carlos SolisG
3Leonardo RugelD
10Víctor CedrónM
2Jair ReyesM
Alianza Atletico Substitutes
19Jesus MendietaD
25Williams GuzmánD
16Stefano FernándezM
11Guillermo LariosF
95Daniel PrietoG
23Ariel MuñozM
8Franchesco FloresM
20Jimmy PérezM
77Christian ValladolidF
Match Stats
ADTAlianza Atletico 62%Ball Possession38%
15Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards6
0Red Cards1
20Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal2
10Shots Inside Box4
10Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots2
12Fouls15
4Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
350Total Passes216
290Passes Accurate145
83%Pass Accuracy67%
Team Comparison
ADTAlianza Atletico1487Elo Rating 1618
0.93Attack 2.32
0.53Defense 1.23
19%Hit Rate 56%
13.8Shots per Game 17.0
2.7Shots on Target 5.7
7.4Corners per Game 4.0
2.5Cards per Game 3.0
Game State Tendencies
ADT- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Alianza Atletico- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Head to Head
Based on 5 historical meetings
ADT 37%Draw 27%36% Alianza Atletico
1.21Avg Goals
14%BTTS Rate
14%Over 2.5
Recent Form
ADT1W1D3L
Alianza Atletico3W0D2L
06/08/2026Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
Alianza LimaAlianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
CuscoAlianza Atletico
Alianza AtleticoCienciano10
W02/08/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico31
L24/07/2026Alianza AtleticoClub Deportivo Los Chankas31
W19/07/2026CuscoAlianza Atletico41
L10/07/2026Alianza Atletico
Molinos El Pirata
Alianza AtleticoMolinos El Pirata32
WReferee Profile
Sebastian Lozano, Peru · 20 matches analysed
4.5Avg Yellows
4.9Avg Cards
23.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 62% of referees analysed
League Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:18 | +24 | 53 | LWDWW |
| 2 |  Universitario | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:27 | +16 | 49 | WDWLW |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44:28 | +16 | 45 | LDDLL |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:24 | +11 | 45 | WDDLL |
| 5 | Cusco | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 38:37 | +1 | 42 | WWLWL |
| 6 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 | WWWWW |
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | +7 | 40 | WWWWD |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:34 | +4 | 37 | DDWLD |
| 9 |  Sport Boys | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | +3 | 37 | LWLLD |
| 10 |  Sporting Cristal | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | +6 | 35 | LLWWL |
| 11 |  Atletico Grau | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 | DDDWL |
| 12 |  Sport Huancayo | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 32 | DLLLW |
| 13 |  Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 | WLLWW |
| 14 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 30 | DDWLW |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 40:50 | -10 | 27 | LLLLL |
| 16 |  UCV Moquegua | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 | WLLWD |
| 17 | ADT | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 22 | DWLDD |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 15 | LDLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 26 | 42:18 | 53 |
| 2 | Universitario | 26 | 43:27 | 49 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 26 | 44:28 | 45 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 26 | 35:24 | 45 |
| 5 | Cusco | 26 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 6 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 44:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 26 | 38:34 | 37 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 26 | 28:25 | 37 |
| 10 | Sporting Cristal | 26 | 45:39 | 35 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 26 | 25:28 | 32 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 26 | 34:42 | 32 |
| 13 | Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 38:52 | 31 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 26 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 26 | 40:50 | 27 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 26 | 24:37 | 25 |
| 17 | ADT | 25 | 27:39 | 22 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 30:47 | 15 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | LWDWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WDWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | LDDLL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WDDLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DDWLD |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DDWLW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWLDD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LWLLD |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | LLWWL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | WLLWD |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | DDDWL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DLLLW |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | WLLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:12 | +7 | 20 | WDWLW |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | +8 | 19 | WDDLL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 17 | LDDLL |
| 4 | Sport Boys | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 17 | LWLLD |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:9 | +8 | 16 | LLWWL |
| 6 | Atletico Grau | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 16 | DDDWL |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:16 | +2 | 16 | DDWLD |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 16 | DLLLW |
| 9 | Cusco | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 15 | WLLWW |
| 11 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 13 | LWDWW |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 9 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:23 | -13 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 2 | LDLWL |
| 18 | ADT | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | -13 | 2 | DWLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 9 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 15:8 | 17 |
| 4 | Sport Boys | 9 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 17:9 | 16 |
| 6 | Atletico Grau | 9 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 9 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 9 | Cusco | 9 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 11 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 17:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 16:16 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 9 | 9:21 | 2 |
| 18 | ADT | 8 | 5:18 | 2 |
PromotionRelegation
ADT vs Alianza Atletico Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Primera División
ScorePredicts covers Peru football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
ADT and Alianza Atletico have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.21 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.