ADT vs Alianza Atletico Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
59%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.73
SignalNEUTRALModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+1.5%
Value Analysis
59%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+5.8%
ADT Rest
7 days
Alianza Atletico Rest
8 days
ADT vs Alianza Atletico: the result in context
ADT and Alianza Atletico drew 1-1 in the Primera División on 15 Aug 2026. Alianza Atletico had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for ADT.
Their history points to a close game: 9 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
144%1.98
X32%3.32
224%3.60
Double Chance
1X76%1.25
X256%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes59%1.73
No41%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 1.05 = 2.60
Over 1.576%1.28
Over 2.554%1.91
Over 3.533%3.15
Under 1.524%3.40
Under 2.546%1.84
Under 3.567%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.5 = 9.7
Over 8.561%1.84
Over 9.547%2.34
Over 10.533%3.16
Under 8.539%1.84
Under 9.553%1.52
Under 10.567%1.27
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.6 = 5.1
Over 3.570%-
Over 4.553%-
Under 3.530%-
Under 4.547%-
Match Events
23'Jairo Molina
29'Jonathan BaumanAssist: Jhair Soto
34'Jorge del CastilloFoul
40'Erick PerlecheFoul
45+2'Jorge del CastilloFoul
45+2'Jorge del CastilloFoul
59'Jairo MolinaFoul
61'Horacio Benincasa INAlejandro Ramos out
62'Jerry Navarro INJuan Lucumí out
65'Anthony Gordillo INJesus Mendieta out
66'Ángel OjedaFoul
69'Román SuárezFoul
72'Said Peralta INAlexander Hidalgo out
72'Ángel Ojeda INHernán Rengifo out
72'Erick Perleche INWilliams Guzmán out
86'Jeremy CanelaArgument
86'José LujánArgument
87'Jonathan Bauman(Penalty missed)
89'Luis PérezFoul
90'Orlando Nuñez INJhojan Garcilazo out
90'José Ingratti INGuillermo Larios out
90'Jairo Molina INStefano Fernández out
Lineups
ADTAlianza Atletico
4-2-3-1Coach: Federico UrciuoliAvg ratingAvg rating
30J. Valencia
31J. Navarro
23J. Narváez
28J. Soto
44H. Benincasa
C16L. Pérez
6Á. Ojeda
24S. Peralta
80J. Canela
59O. Nuñez
32J. Bauman
31S. Rivadeneyra
21E. Perleche
2R. Suárez
6J. Luján
24A. Gordillo
10G. Diaz
C15H. Lupú
27J. Ingratti
22J. del Castillo
17C. Penilla
29J. MolinaADT Substitutes
98Alejandro Ramos61'for Horacio Benincasa
77Juan Lucumí62'for Jerry Navarro
27Alexander Hidalgo72'for Said Peralta
9Hernán Rengifo72'for Ángel Ojeda
26Jhojan Garcilazo90'for Orlando Nuñez
33Carlos Solis
3Leonardo Rugel
10Víctor Cedrón
2Jair Reyes
Alianza Atletico Substitutes
19Jesus Mendieta65'for Anthony Gordillo
25Williams Guzmán72'for Erick Perleche
16Stefano Fernández90'for Jairo Molina
11Guillermo Larios90'for José Ingratti
95Daniel Prieto
23Ariel Muñoz
8Franchesco Flores
20Jimmy Pérez
77Christian Valladolid
Match Stats
ADTAlianza Atletico 62%Ball Possession38%
15Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards6
0Red Cards1
18Total Shots8
5Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box5
10Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots2
12Fouls15
4Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
349Total Passes214
287Passes Accurate147
82%Pass Accuracy69%
Team Comparison
ADTAlianza Atletico1496Elo Rating 1632
1.36Attack 1.74
1.93Defense 0.96
23%Hit Rate 64%
18.2Shots per Game 17.1
5.7Shots on Target 5.1
4.9Corners per Game 5.7
3.9Cards per Game 1.5
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend44% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
ADT- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Alianza Atletico- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
ADT3Wins · 34%Draws333%
Alianza Atletico3Wins · 33%
3Wins · 33%1.9Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
33%3+ goals3 of 9
Previous meetings
27/02/2026Alianza AtleticoADT00
26/09/2025ADTAlianza Atletico10
04/05/2025Alianza AtleticoADT20
28/09/2024ADTAlianza Atletico01
28/04/2024Alianza AtleticoADT12
24/09/2023ADTAlianza Atletico10
06/05/2023Alianza AtleticoADT11
10/09/2022Alianza AtleticoADT22
24/04/2022ADTAlianza Atletico12
Recent Form
ADT2W2D6L
08/08/2026
UTC CajamarcaADTADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport BoysADTADT
Universitario
Sport HuancayoADT
UTC CajamarcaADT11
D02/08/2026ADTDeportivo Garcilaso01
L25/07/2026Sport BoysADT20
L18/07/2026ADTUniversitario12
L10/07/2026
CiencianoADT
26/06/2026CiencianoADT23
WSport HuancayoADT10
L19/06/2026ADT
Alianza Universidad
ADTAlianza Universidad31
W12/06/2026
MinasADT
MinasADT00
D30/05/2026ADT
Cusco
ADTCusco12
L24/05/2026
Sporting CristalADT
Sporting CristalADT21
LAlianza Atletico6W0D4L
06/08/2026Alianza AtleticoCienciano
Alianza LimaAlianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los ChankasCuscoAlianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
Cesar Vallejo
Alianza AtleticoCienciano10
W02/08/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico31
L24/07/2026Alianza AtleticoClub Deportivo Los Chankas31
W19/07/2026CuscoAlianza Atletico41
L10/07/2026Alianza Atletico
Molinos El Pirata
Alianza AtleticoMolinos El Pirata32
W28/06/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico
19/06/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico12
WAlianza AtleticoCesar Vallejo20
W13/06/2026
Carlos A. MannucciAlianza Atletico
Carlos A. MannucciAlianza Atletico01
W31/05/2026
FBC MelgarAlianza Atletico
FBC MelgarAlianza Atletico31
L29/05/2026
TigreAlianza Atletico
TigreAlianza Atletico20
LReferee Profile
5.42Cards per match
5.04Yellow cards per match
0.38Red cards per match
26.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.42 cards a match, 0.29 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.13).
Cards come from 55 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 54:24 | +30 | 69 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 59:39 | +20 | 61 | DLDWL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 56:38 | +18 | 57 | DWDWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 50:35 | +15 | 55 | DWWWW |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 63:48 | +15 | 51 | WLDDL |
| 6 | Cusco | 33 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 51 | WLDDW |
| 7 | Cienciano | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 54:46 | +8 | 50 | DLWWD |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 48:49 | -1 | 50 | DLWLL |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 49:48 | +1 | 49 | DWLWW |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 40:52 | -12 | 48 | LWDLL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | +2 | 42 | DWDLD |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 48:59 | -11 | 41 | DLLLD |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 37 | DLDLW |
| 14 |  Atletico Grau | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 37 | LWLLL |
| 15 | ADT | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36:48 | -12 | 31 | LWDWW |
| 16 |  UCV Moquegua | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 | DLDLW |
| 17 |  FC Cajamarca | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 46:65 | -19 | 29 | DWWWL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 33 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 14 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 33 | 54:24 | 69 |
| 2 | Universitario | 33 | 59:39 | 61 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 33 | 56:38 | 57 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | 50:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 33 | 63:48 | 51 |
| 6 | Cusco | 33 | 46:47 | 51 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 33 | 54:46 | 50 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 33 | 48:49 | 50 |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 33 | 49:48 | 49 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 40:52 | 48 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 33 | 37:35 | 42 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 48:59 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 33 | 32:41 | 37 |
| 15 | ADT | 33 | 36:48 | 31 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 33 | 27:48 | 30 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 33 | 46:65 | 29 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 33 | 38:58 | 14 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | LWDLL |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | DLWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | DLDWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | DWDWL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | WLDDW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | DWWWW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DWLWW |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLDLW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DWDLD |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | WLDDL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | DLLLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | DLDLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | DWWWL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 27:18 | +9 | 34 | DLWLL |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 35:18 | +17 | 32 | WLDDL |
| 3 | Universitario | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 35:24 | +11 | 32 | DLDWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 29 | DWWWW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | +9 | 29 | DWDWL |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 29:30 | -1 | 28 | DWLWW |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 26 | DWDLD |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26:19 | +7 | 25 | DLLLD |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 25:23 | +2 | 24 | WLDDW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 | LWLLL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20:24 | -4 | 17 | DLWWD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | 16 | DLDLW |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 23:37 | -14 | 14 | DWWWL |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:31 | -16 | 14 | LWDLL |
| 16 | ADT | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14:27 | -13 | 12 | LWDWW |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 10:24 | -14 | 12 | DLDLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 6 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 27:18 | 34 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 35:18 | 32 |
| 3 | Universitario | 16 | 35:24 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 29:17 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 27:18 | 29 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 16 | 29:30 | 28 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 16 | 22:16 | 26 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 25:23 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 20:23 | 21 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 20:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 26:27 | 16 |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 23:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 15:31 | 14 |
| 16 | ADT | 16 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 16 | 10:24 | 12 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 16 | 17:32 | 6 |
PromotionRelegation
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This match
More Primera División matches
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs UCV Moquegua 09/08/26
- FBC Melgar vs FC Cajamarca 09/08/26
- Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos 14/08/26
- Cusco vs Juan Pablo II College 15/08/26
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar 15/08/26
- UCV Moquegua vs Sport Boys 16/08/26
- FC Cajamarca vs Universitario 16/08/26
- FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau 21/08/26
About the ADT vs Alianza Atletico forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
ADT and Alianza Atletico in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Alianza Atletico are 9th and ADT 15th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: ADT 36-48, Alianza Atletico 49-48. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.