Atletico-MG vs Bahia Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 19
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Atletico-MG vs Bahia: the result in context
Atletico-MG and Bahia drew 1-1 in the Serie A on 21 Jul 2026. Atletico-MG had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Bahia.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5. Referee Braulio Da Silva Machado averages 6.06 cards a game, 0.92 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Atletico-MG
22Everson
2Natanael
13Lyanco
4Ruan
6R. Lodi
8Maycon
25T. Pérez
30V. Hugo
11Bernard
9M. Cassierra
28T. Cuello
1Ronaldo
31R. Gómez
33D. Duarte
21S. Ramos Mingo
66J. Guilherme
14Erick
5N. Acevedo
11R. Nestor
7Ademir
12W. José
16E. PulgaAtletico-MG Substitutes
Bahia Substitutes
Match Stats
Atletico-MGBahia Team Comparison
Atletico-MGBahiaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Atletico-MG- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Bahia- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atletico-MG5Wins · 50%4Wins · 40%Previous meetings
06/11/2025Atletico-MGBahia13/07/2025BahiaAtletico-MG15/09/2024BahiaAtletico-MG02/06/2024Atletico-MGBahia07/12/2023BahiaAtletico-MG13/08/2023Atletico-MGBahia02/12/2021BahiaAtletico-MG
05/08/2021BahiaAtletico-MG29/07/2021Atletico-MGBahia25/07/2021Atletico-MGBahiaRecent Form
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA GamaAtletico-MGAtletico-MG
Puerto Cabello
CorinthiansAtletico-MGAtletico-MG
CiencianoAtletico-MG
Mirassol
CearaAtletico-MGAtletico-MG
Botafogo
JuventudAtletico-MG
CruzeiroAtletico-MGCiencianoAtletico-MGBahiaBahia
Chapecoense-sc
FluminenseBahiaBahiaBotafogo
CoritibaBahiaBahia
Gremio
RemoBahiaBahiaCruzeiro
Sao PauloBahiaBahia
SantosBahiaRemoReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
6.06 cards a match, 0.92 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.14).
Cards come from 161 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71:29 | +42 | 76 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62:23 | +39 | 73 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55:48 | +7 | 60 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:42 | +13 | 57 | WWLLL |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51:43 | +8 | 54 | LLDLW |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50:45 | +5 | 53 | LWDLW |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:40 | +4 | 50 | LLLWW |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:39 | +5 | 47 | WWLDW |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:49 | +1 | 47 | LDDWL |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 44 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:53 | -7 | 42 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 42 | LWLLD |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 41 | WLWLD |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 | WLDWL |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35:51 | -16 | 38 | LLDDL |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 38 | WLWLD |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 | DWLDL |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:47 | -9 | 37 | LWWLD |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37:57 | -20 | 29 | LWLDD |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33:68 | -35 | 21 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 34 | 71:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 62:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 55:48 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 55:42 | 57 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 50:45 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 44:40 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 50:49 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 39:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 40:51 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 43:50 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 39:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 34 | 35:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 38:42 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 36:42 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 37:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 33:68 | 21 |
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This match
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About the Atletico-MG vs Bahia forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atletico-MG and Bahia in the Serie A table
Bahia and Atletico-MG are close in the Serie A table, 6th and 7th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Atletico-MG 44-40, Bahia 50-45. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.