Internacional vs Cruzeiro Prediction

Internacional
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Cruzeiro
Estádio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre·Flavio Rodrigues De Souza, Brazil 23/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Over 4.5
1.49
SignalGOODModel36%SurpriseMediumGap+12.3%
Internacional Rest
52 days
Cruzeiro Rest
10 days

Internacional vs Cruzeiro: the result in context

Cruzeiro beat Internacional 2-1 in the Serie A on 23 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game. Internacional tend to win more corners, 8.0 a game to 5.5 for Cruzeiro.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.25
X
28%3.30
2
32%3.22
Double Chance
1X
68%1.33
X2
60%1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.78
No
47%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.12 = 2.45
Over 1.5
71%1.33
Over 2.5
47%2.08
Over 3.5
29%3.63
Under 1.5
29%3.20
Under 2.5
53%1.75
Under 3.5
71%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4.3 = 10.4
Over 8.5
61%1.40
Over 9.5
50%1.70
Over 10.5
36%2.10
Under 8.5
39%2.75
Under 9.5
50%2.05
Under 10.5
64%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 3.2 + 2.7 = 5.8
Over 3.5
81%1.26
Over 4.5
68%1.49
Under 3.5
19%3.05
Under 4.5
32%2.32

Match Events

11'Kaio JorgeAssist: Fagner
16'Gerson
18'FagnerTripping
33'Matheus Pereira
35'A. BernabeiRoughing
45+3'Jonathan JesusRoughing
46'L. F. de Morais Francisco INMatheus Bahia out
46'G. Mercado INVictor Gabriel out
59'Victor GabrielTripping
62'Gabriel Pec INBruno Rodrigues out
64'Matheus PereiraAssist: Fagner
66'Matheus HenriqueRoughing
73'Alerrandro INBruno Henrique out
77'L. Sinisterra INLucas Silva out
83'J. CarboneroAssist: Matheus Bahia
86'Bruno Gomes INB. Aguirre out
86'R. Villagra INPaulinho Paula out
86'Gerson INWanderson out
87'Kaio Jorge INN. Villarreal out
87'Fagner INWilliam Furtado out
89'Lucas SilvaRoughing

Lineups

Internacional
4-4-2Coach: Paulo Pezzolano
Cruzeiro
4-2-3-1Coach: Jorge Artur
Avg rating6.50
Avg rating6.94
Anthoni7.512Anthoni
Félix Torres6.04F. Torres
Gabriel MercadoC6.925G. Mercado
Guillermo Maripán6.33G. Maripán
Luiz Felipe6.553L. Felipe
Vitinho6.228Vitinho
Bruno Gomes6.915B. Gomes
Rodrigo Villagra6.95R. Villagra
Alexandro Bernabei6.226A. Bernabei
Johan Carbonero7.07J. Carbonero
Alerrandro6.39Alerrandro
Otávio Costa6.681O. Costa
Fagner7.223Fagner
Fabrício Bruno7.615F. Bruno
Jonathan Jesus7.534J. Jesus
Gabriel Rojas6.927G. Rojas
Matheus Henrique7.27M. Henrique
Gerson7.08Gerson
Gabriel Pec7.377G. Pec
Matheus PereiraC7.310M. Pereira
Luis Sinisterra6.717L. Sinisterra
Kaio Jorge7.319K. Jorge

Internacional Substitutes

41Victor Gabriel46'for G. Mercado59'4.9
6Matheus Bahia46'for L. F. de Morais Francisco6.9
8Bruno Henrique73'for Alerrandro6.6
35Braian Aguirre86'for Bruno Gomes6.6
27Paulinho Paula86'for R. Villagra6.3
24Filipe Borba Sirio
18Jose Juninho
31Allex
52Gabriel Vinicius Oliveira da Silva
10Alan Patrick
14Alan Rodríguez
54Fabricio Zechmeister do Prado

Cruzeiro Substitutes

9Bruno Rodrigues62'for Gabriel Pec6.2
16Lucas Silva77'for L. Sinisterra89'6.3
94Wanderson86'for Gerson6.5
12William Furtado87'for Fagner6.6
22Néiser Villarreal87'for Kaio Jorge6.9
51Vitor Lamounier
2Kauã Moraes
25Lucas Villalba
43João Marcelo
57Rayan Lelis
11Marquinhos
40Rhuan Gabriel

Match Stats

InternacionalCruzeiro
47%Ball Possession53%
5Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards6
1Red Cards0
21Total Shots13
3Shots on Goal6
11Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box9
10Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots3
18Fouls14
3Offsides5
3Goalkeeper Saves1
337Total Passes400
263Passes Accurate322
78%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

InternacionalInternacional
CruzeiroCruzeiro
1645Elo Rating 1809
1.22Attack 2.18
2.07Defense 1.57
46%Hit Rate 86%
15.5Shots per Game 17.0
5.2Shots on Target 7.3
8.0Corners per Game 5.5
3.3Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

InternacionalInternacional
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CruzeiroCruzeiro
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

InternacionalInternacional3Wins · 50%
Draws233%
CruzeiroCruzeiro1Wins · 17%
1.7Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Serie A23/08/2025
CruzeiroInternacional
21
Serie A06/04/2025
InternacionalCruzeiro
30
Serie A29/08/2024
CruzeiroInternacional
00
Serie A26/08/2024
InternacionalCruzeiro
10
Serie A05/11/2023
CruzeiroInternacional
12
Serie A02/07/2023
InternacionalCruzeiro
00

Recent Form

InternacionalInternacional
4W3D3L
31/05/2026
RB BragantinoInternacional
31
L
23/05/2026
VitoriaInternacional
20
L
16/05/2026
InternacionalVasco DA Gama
41
W
13/05/2026
InternacionalAthletic Club
32
W
09/05/2026
CoritibaInternacional
22
D
03/05/2026
InternacionalFluminense
20
W
25/04/2026
BotafogoInternacional
22
D
23/04/2026
Athletic ClubInternacional
12
W
19/04/2026
InternacionalMirassol
12
L
12/04/2026
InternacionalGremio
00
D
CruzeiroCruzeiro
5W4D1L
12/07/2026
GremioCruzeiro
13
W
04/07/2026
CruzeiroDefensor Sporting
20
W
01/06/2026
CruzeiroFluminense
11
D
29/05/2026
CruzeiroBarcelona SC
40
W
20/05/2026
Boca JuniorsCruzeiro
11
D
17/05/2026
PalmeirasCruzeiro
11
D
13/05/2026
CruzeiroGoias
10
W
10/05/2026
BahiaCruzeiro
12
W
07/05/2026
U. CatolicaCruzeiro
00
D
03/05/2026
CruzeiroAtletico-MG
13
L

Referee Profile

Flavio Rodrigues De Souza229 matches

4.96Cards per match
4.74Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
25.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Flavio Rodrigues De Souza4.96
Other referees5.08

4.96 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.08).

Cards come from 215 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo34237471:29+4276WWWWW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras342110362:23+3973WDWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro341861055:48+760WWWWL
4FluminenseFluminense34169955:42+1357WWLLL
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense341591051:43+854LLDLW
6BahiaBahia341411950:45+553LWDLW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG341481244:40+450LLLWW
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino341381344:39+547WWLDW
9SantosSantos3412111150:49+147LDDWL
10Sao PauloSao Paulo341281439:39044DLDWW
11BotafogoBotafogo341191446:53-742WLLWD
12CoritibaCoritiba341191440:51-1142LWLLD
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama331181443:50-741WLWLD
14MirassolMirassol3410101439:48-940WLDWL
15VitoriaVitoria341081635:51-1638LLDDL
16InternacionalInternacional349111438:42-438WLWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians349101536:42-637DWLDL
18GremioGremio349101538:47-937LWWLD
19RemoRemo346111737:57-2029LWLDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc33492033:68-3521LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3471:2976
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3462:2373
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3455:4860
4FluminenseFluminense3455:4257
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3451:4354
6BahiaBahia3450:4553
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3444:4050
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3444:3947
9SantosSantos3450:4947
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3439:3944
11BotafogoBotafogo3446:5342
12CoritibaCoritiba3440:5142
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3343:5041
14MirassolMirassol3439:4840
15VitoriaVitoria3435:5138
16InternacionalInternacional3438:4238
17CorinthiansCorinthians3436:4237
18GremioGremio3438:4737
19RemoRemo3437:5729
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3333:6821
PromotionRelegation

About the Internacional vs Cruzeiro forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Internacional and Cruzeiro in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Cruzeiro are 3rd and Internacional 16th, 22 points apart. League goal record so far: Internacional 38-42, Cruzeiro 55-48. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.