Mirassol vs Gremio Prediction

Serie ABrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 19
Mirassol
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Gremio
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol· Bruno Arleu de Araujo, Brazil 18/07/2026
MirassolMirassol
2-1
Finished
GremioGremio

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.25
SignalNEUTRALModel45%RiskMediumGap-2.0%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.53
SignalGOODModel42%RiskMediumGap+12.7%
Mirassol Rest
48 days
Gremio Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.91
X
31%3.39
2
25%4.03
Double Chance
1X
75%1.22
X2
56%1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.90
No
46%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.07 = 2.34
Over 1.5
71%1.36
Over 2.5
44%2.12
Over 3.5
22%3.87
Under 1.5
29%3.10
Under 2.5
56%1.70
Under 3.5
78%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.3 = 9.2
Over 8.5
54%1.47
Over 9.5
41%1.83
Over 10.5
28%2.25
Under 8.5
46%2.40
Under 9.5
59%1.90
Under 10.5
72%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.7 = 5.4
Over 3.5
81%1.29
Over 4.5
59%1.55
Under 3.5
19%3.23
Under 4.5
41%2.31

Match Events

16'Bruno SantosAssist: Igor Formiga
38'DenilsonHolding
40'Edson CariocaAssist: Denilson
41'Walter KannemannHolding
46'M. Villasanti INL. Perez out
46'Gabriel Mec INM. Braithwaite out
46'F. Amuzu INWillian out
46'Caio Paulista INPedro Gabriel out
65'Gustavo MartinsRoughing
72'Edson Carioca INCarlos Eduardo out
75'Bruno Santos INAndre Luis out
76'Japa INShaylon out
77'Carlos ViniciusAssist: C. Pavon
79'L. Perez
80'J. Nardoni INRiquelme out
83'Denilson INChico Kim out
83'Alesson INFernandinho out
86'Tete INMarcos Rocha out

Lineups

Mirassol
4-3-3Coach: Guanaes Rafael
Gremio
4-3-3Coach: Luis Castro
Walter22WalterWalter
Igor Formiga32I. FormigaIgor Formiga
João Victor34J. VictorJoão Victor
Gabriel Knesowitsch44G. KnesowitschGabriel Knesowitsch
Reinaldo6ReinaldoReinaldo
Denilson8DenilsonDenilson
José Aldo21J. AldoJosé Aldo
Japa5JapaJapa
Edson Carioca95E. CariocaEdson Carioca
Bruno Santos30B. SantosBruno Santos
Alesson77AlessonAlesson
Weverton1WevertonWeverton
Cristian Pavón7C. PavónCristian Pavón
Gustavo Martins6G. MartinsGustavo Martins
Walter Kannemann4W. KannemannWalter Kannemann
Caio Paulista38C. PaulistaCaio Paulista
Juan Nardoni5J. NardoniJuan Nardoni
Mathias Villasanti20M. VillasantiMathias Villasanti
Gabriel Mec37G. MecGabriel Mec
Tetê21TetêTetê
Carlos Vinícius95C. ViníciusCarlos Vinícius
Francis Amuzu9F. AmuzuFrancis Amuzu

Mirassol Substitutes

96Carlos EduardoF
9André LuisF
7ShaylonM
10ChicoM
17FernandinhoF
1GeorgemyG
90ThomazellaG
2Lucas OliveiraD
18EliasD
12Victor LuisD
20Daniel BorgesD
27Antonio GaleanoF

Gremio Substitutes

54Pedro GabrielD
10WillianM
33Leonel PérezM
22Martin BraithwaiteF
65Riquelme FreitasM
14Marcos RochaD
12Gabriel GrandoG
43Luis GuedesD
3Wagner LeonardoD
17DodiM
19Erick NoriegaM
11Miguel MonsalveM

Match Stats

MirassolGremio
45%Ball Possession55%
5Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots9
3Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal3
10Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots2
14Fouls9
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves1
340Total Passes445
273Passes Accurate371
80%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

MirassolMirassol
GremioGremio
1645Elo Rating 1633
1.30Attack 1.35
1.54Defense 1.87
23%Hit Rate 36%
15.2Shots per Game 11.1
4.9Shots on Target 4.4
7.0Corners per Game 2.9
3.5Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend61% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MirassolMirassol
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
GremioGremio
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 3 historical meetings

Mirassol 100%Draw 0%0% Gremio
3.45Avg Goals
61%BTTS Rate
61%Over 2.5

Recent Form

MirassolMirassol
2W0D3L
30/05/2026
Atletico ParanaenseMirassol
10
L
27/05/2026
LanusMirassol
10
L
24/05/2026
MirassolFluminense
10
W
20/05/2026
Always ReadyMirassol
12
W
16/05/2026
Atletico-MGMirassol
31
L
GremioGremio
2W1D2L
12/07/2026
GremioCruzeiro
13
L
30/05/2026
GremioCorinthians
13
L
27/05/2026
GremioAtletico Torque
22
D
24/05/2026
GremioSantos
32
W
21/05/2026
GremioPalestino
20
W

Referee Profile

Bruno Arleu de Araujo, Brazil · 24 matches analysed

5.1Avg Yellows
5.3Avg Cards
26.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 90% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo27176453:22+3157WWWWL
2PalmeirasPalmeiras27168347:21+2656WDDWL
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense27137741:31+1046DLDWD
4BahiaBahia271210542:33+946WWWWD
5FluminenseFluminense27129641:35+645LWDWW
6CruzeiroCruzeiro27126939:39042LWLWW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG26116935:31+439WLWDW
8CoritibaCoritiba27108937:38-138DLWWD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino261061032:29+336DLLWD
10SantosSantos2698939:39035WWWDW
11Sao PauloSao Paulo26961131:30+133LWWLD
12VitoriaVitoria27961227:39-1233DWLLW
13CorinthiansCorinthians27881128:29-132LLLLL
14BotafogoBotafogo26881038:41-332DDLLL
15MirassolMirassol27781231:42-1129DWLDD
16GremioGremio26771228:35-728LLWLL
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama26771229:41-1228WLWLL
18InternacionalInternacional276101130:35-528WLLDD
19RemoRemo27581431:45-1423LLLLD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc26381528:52-2417LWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo2753:2257
2PalmeirasPalmeiras2747:2156
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense2741:3146
4BahiaBahia2742:3346
5FluminenseFluminense2741:3545
6CruzeiroCruzeiro2739:3942
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG2635:3139
8CoritibaCoritiba2737:3838
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino2632:2936
10SantosSantos2639:3935
11Sao PauloSao Paulo2631:3033
12VitoriaVitoria2727:3933
13CorinthiansCorinthians2728:2932
14BotafogoBotafogo2638:4132
15MirassolMirassol2731:4229
16GremioGremio2628:3528
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama2629:4128
18InternacionalInternacional2730:3528
19RemoRemo2731:4523
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc2628:5217
PromotionRelegation

Mirassol vs Gremio Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie A

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Key Factors for This Match

Gremio have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Mirassol and Gremio have met 3 times recently, averaging 3.45 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.