Chapecoense-sc vs Flamengo Prediction

Chapecoense-sc
0-4
Finished
HT 0-2
Flamengo
Arena Condá, Chapecó·Rafael Rodrigo Klein, Brazil 23/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.34
SignalHIGHModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+2.8%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 4.5
1.48
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+9.4%
Chapecoense-sc Rest
5 days
Flamengo Rest
5 days

Chapecoense-sc vs Flamengo: the result in context

Flamengo beat Chapecoense-sc 4-0 in the Serie A on 23 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Flamengo had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Chapecoense-sc.

Flamengo tend to win more corners, 8.5 a game to 4.1 for Chapecoense-sc.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
18%7.00
X
27%4.33
2
55%1.46
Double Chance
1X
45%2.64
X2
82%1.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.95
No
47%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.06 + 1.3 = 2.36
Over 1.5
71%1.25
Over 2.5
45%1.85
Over 3.5
23%3.10
Under 1.5
29%3.70
Under 2.5
55%1.96
Under 3.5
77%1.34
Corners
Projected Corners: 4 + 5.6 = 9.6
Over 8.5
61%1.40
Over 9.5
50%1.65
Over 10.5
36%1.97
Under 8.5
39%2.80
Under 9.5
50%2.08
Under 10.5
64%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 1.5 = 3.5
Over 3.5
50%1.41
Over 4.5
33%1.88
Under 3.5
50%2.52
Under 4.5
67%1.80

Match Events

26'PedroAssist: Bruno Henrique
33'G. Plata INLorran out
38'Rafael ThyereOG
48'Lorran
53'Bruno PachecoTripping
59'David Antunes INEnio out
59'Vinicius Balieiro INBruno Matias out
68'Bruno Henrique ING. de Arrascaeta out
69'Ayrton Lucas INAlex Sandro out
69'Jorginho INEvertton Araujo out
69'Y. Bolasie INKassio out
69'Giovanni Augusto INNeto Pessoa out
80'Leo Pereira INDanilo out
80'Marcinho INRubens Ricoldi out
87'PedroAssist: Samuel Lino

Lineups

Chapecoense-sc
4-3-2-1Coach: Lacerda Rafael
Flamengo
4-2-3-1Coach: Leonardo Jardim
Avg rating6.30
Avg rating7.02
Matheus5.730Matheus
Everton6.326Everton
Rafael ThyereC5.315R. Thyere
Eduardo Doma6.03E. Doma
Bruno Pacheco5.591B. Pacheco
David Antunes6.319D. Antunes
Camilo6.627Camilo
Vinicius Balieiro6.217V. Balieiro
Marcinho6.37Marcinho
Yannick Bolasie6.211Y. Bolasie
Giovanni Augusto7.310G. Augusto
Agustín Rossi8.21A. Rossi
Emerson Royal6.622E. Royal
Vitão7.344Vitão
Léo Pereira7.74L. Pereira
Ayrton Lucas6.26A. Lucas
Erick Pulgar7.35E. Pulgar
Jorginho7.521Jorginho
Gonzalo Plata6.719G. Plata
Samuel Lino6.516S. Lino
Bruno HenriqueC6.927B. Henrique
Pedro8.29Pedro

Chapecoense-sc Substitutes

16Bruno Matias59'for Vinicius Balieiro6.3
97Ênio59'for David Antunes7.3
18Neto Pessoa69'for Giovanni Augusto6.3
50Kassio69'for Y. Bolasie6.7
70Rubens Tadeu80'for Marcinho6.5
32Wellington
1Rafael Santos
2Marcos Vinícius
6Mancha
21Kauan
33Bruno Leonardo
66Juan

Flamengo Substitutes

99Lorran33'for G. Plata48'6.6
26Alex Sandro69'for Ayrton Lucas6.5
10Giorgian de Arrascaeta68'for Bruno Henrique6.9
52Evertton Araujo69'for Jorginho6.6
13Danilo80'for Leo Pereira6.6
49Dyogo Alves
42Andrew
61João Victor
2Guillermo Varela
11Everton
8Saúl Ñíguez
64Wallace Yan

Match Stats

Chapecoense-scFlamengo
36%Ball Possession64%
5Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards0
13Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal6
8Shots off Goal3
6Shots Inside Box7
7Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots1
9Fouls8
3Goalkeeper Saves3
378Total Passes683
320Passes Accurate617
85%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
FlamengoFlamengo
1506Elo Rating 1940
0.80Attack 2.73
0.85Defense 2.11
19%Hit Rate 83%
10.9Shots per Game 18.6
3.3Shots on Target 7.9
4.1Corners per Game 8.5
2.1Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FlamengoFlamengo
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1.1 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
FlamengoFlamengo1Wins · 50%
3.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Serie A09/11/2021
Chapecoense-scFlamengo
22
Serie A11/07/2021
FlamengoChapecoense-sc
21

Recent Form

Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
2W2D6L
18/07/2026
BahiaChapecoense-sc
20
L
07/06/2026
Chapecoense-scAvai
4350
L
04/06/2026
AvaiChapecoense-sc
30
L
31/05/2026
PalmeirasChapecoense-sc
10
L
28/05/2026
Chapecoense-scNovorizontino
22
D
21/05/2026
NovorizontinoChapecoense-sc
02
W
17/05/2026
Chapecoense-scRemo
23
L
14/05/2026
Chapecoense-scBotafogo
20
W
10/05/2026
MirassolChapecoense-sc
11
D
03/05/2026
Chapecoense-scRB Bragantino
12
L
FlamengoFlamengo
6W2D2L
18/07/2026
FlamengoOlimpia
42
W
11/07/2026
BenficaFlamengo
12
W
08/07/2026
FlamengoLausanne
20
W
03/07/2026
FlamengoRiver Plate
22
D
30/05/2026
FlamengoCoritiba
30
W
27/05/2026
FlamengoCusco
30
W
24/05/2026
FlamengoPalmeiras
03
L
21/05/2026
FlamengoEstudiantes L.P.
10
W
18/05/2026
Atletico ParanaenseFlamengo
11
D
15/05/2026
VitoriaFlamengo
20
L

Referee Profile

Rafael Rodrigo Klein205 matches

5.44Cards per match
5.11Yellow cards per match
0.33Red cards per match
28.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rafael Rodrigo Klein5.44
Other referees5.22

5.44 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.22).

Cards come from 140 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo34237471:29+4276WWWWW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras342110362:23+3973WDWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro341861055:48+760WWWWL
4FluminenseFluminense34169955:42+1357WWLLL
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense341591051:43+854LLDLW
6BahiaBahia341411950:45+553LWDLW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG341481244:40+450LLLWW
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino341381344:39+547WWLDW
9SantosSantos3412111150:49+147LDDWL
10Sao PauloSao Paulo341281439:39044DLDWW
11BotafogoBotafogo341191446:53-742WLLWD
12CoritibaCoritiba341191440:51-1142LWLLD
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama331181443:50-741WLWLD
14MirassolMirassol3410101439:48-940WLDWL
15VitoriaVitoria341081635:51-1638LLDDL
16InternacionalInternacional349111438:42-438WLWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians349101536:42-637DWLDL
18GremioGremio349101538:47-937LWWLD
19RemoRemo346111737:57-2029LWLDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc33492033:68-3521LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3471:2976
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3462:2373
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3455:4860
4FluminenseFluminense3455:4257
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3451:4354
6BahiaBahia3450:4553
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3444:4050
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3444:3947
9SantosSantos3450:4947
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3439:3944
11BotafogoBotafogo3446:5342
12CoritibaCoritiba3440:5142
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3343:5041
14MirassolMirassol3439:4840
15VitoriaVitoria3435:5138
16InternacionalInternacional3438:4238
17CorinthiansCorinthians3436:4237
18GremioGremio3438:4737
19RemoRemo3437:5729
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3333:6821
PromotionRelegation

About the Chapecoense-sc vs Flamengo forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Chapecoense-sc and Flamengo in the Serie A table

The table shows a wide gap: Flamengo are 1st in the Serie A, while Chapecoense-sc sit 20th, 55 points behind. League goal record so far: Chapecoense-sc 33-68, Flamengo 71-29. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Flamengo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Chapecoense-sc and Flamengo have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.