Peterborough vs Barnsley Prediction

Peterborough
3-3
After Penalties
HT 2-2AET 0-0PEN 7-6
Barnsley
Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough 15/09/2026
PeterboroughPeterborough
3-3
After Penalties
BarnsleyBarnsley

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-3.7%
Peterborough Rest
3 days
Barnsley Rest
3 days

Peterborough vs Barnsley: result, form and history

Peterborough beat Barnsley on penalties (7-6) after a 3-3 draw in the League Cup on 15 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Barnsley had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Peterborough.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%2.25
X
23%3.70
2
55%2.90
Double Chance
1X
45%1.40
X2
78%1.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.53
No
49%2.37
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.1 + 1.17 = 2.27
Over 1.5
85%1.20
Over 2.5
52%1.65
Over 3.5
35%2.52
Under 1.5
15%4.25
Under 2.5
48%2.23
Under 3.5
65%1.47
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'Cameron McGeehan
19'Harry Leonard
26'Connor O'RiordanFoul
27'D. OrmerodAssist: Harley Mills
40'Reyes ClearyAssist: Arley Kay
51'A. RichardsNot retreating
57'Harry Ashfield INLiam Kelly out
57'Brandon·Singh Khela INHarrison Jones out
60'Ben Hamed Touré INNoah Town out
60'A. Richards INClayton Taylor out
61'Cameron McGeehanArgument
68'Owura EdwardsNot retreating
74'Reyes ClearyAssist: Clayton Taylor
75'Ethan Williams INBolu Shofowoke out
76'Harry LeonardFoul
84'Cameron McGeehan INL. Alker out
88'D. OrmerodAssist: Harley Mills
90+4'Lucca MendonçaFoul
90+4'Lucca Mendonça INChris Conn-Clarke out

Penalty Shootout7 - 6

1Luca Connell(Penalty)
1Harry Leonard(Penalty)
2Patrick Kelly(Penalty)
2D. Ormerod(Penalty)
3Tyrese Noslin(Penalty)
3Chris Conn-Clarke(Penalty)
4Arley Kay(Penalty)
4Harley Mills(Penalty)
5Reyes Cleary(Penalty)
5Liam Kelly(Penalty)
6S. Gale(Penalty)
6Joshua Feeney(Penalty)
7L. Alker(Penalty missed)
7Harrison Jones(Penalty)

Lineups

Peterborough
4-2-3-1Coach: L. Williams
Barnsley
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Stendel
Avg rating6.52
Avg rating6.64
A. Bass7.51A. Bass
Lucca Mendonça5.518L. Mendonça
Joshua Feeney6.112J. Feeney
D. Okagbue6.126D. Okagbue
Harley Mills7.514H. Mills
B. Khela5.98B. Khela
Harry Ashfield5.845H. Ashfield
Ethan Williams6.110E. Williams
2727D. Ormerod
O. Edwards6.211O. Edwards
H. Leonard8.09H. Leonard
Kieren Flavell7.451K. Flavell
T. Noslin5.711T. Noslin
C. O'Riordan6.06C. O'Riordan
S. Gale6.04S. Gale
A. Kay6.32A. Kay
Patrick Kelly6.622P. Kelly
L. Connell6.648L. Connell
Amani Richards6.417A. Richards
C. McGeehan7.08C. McGeehan
R. Cleary8.719R. Cleary
B. Touré6.810B. Touré

Peterborough Substitutes

3E. Weir
19Bolu Shofowoke75'for Ethan Williams7.0
4L. Kelly57'for Harry Ashfield6.2
7Harrison Jones57'for Brandon·Singh Khela6.0
20C. Conn-Clarke90+4'for Lucca Mendonça5.8
34Ejiro Abbey
36N. Freeman
35E. Fox
23C. Andeng Ndi

Barnsley Substitutes

12J. Okedina
9M. Kirk
39Leo Farrell
30Jonathan Bland
28J. Andrassy
13C. Taylor60'for A. Richards7.0
5J. Shepherd
34N. Town60'for Ben Hamed Touré6.1
36L. Alker84'for Cameron McGeehan6.5

Match Stats

PeterboroughBarnsley
48%Ball Possession52%
7Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots28
9Shots on Goal15
5Shots off Goal9
15Shots Inside Box17
1Shots Outside Box11
2Blocked Shots4
14Fouls14
0Offsides1
11Goalkeeper Saves6
399Total Passes355
267Passes Accurate244
14Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

PeterboroughPeterborough
BarnsleyBarnsley
1533Elo Rating 1477
1.18Attack 1.00
0.98Defense 0.55
14%Hit Rate 0%
16.3Shots per Game 17.9
3.6Shots on Target 5.7
7.7Corners per Game 7.8
1.4Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

PeterboroughPeterborough
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BarnsleyBarnsley
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PeterboroughPeterborough3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
BarnsleyBarnsley5Wins · 50%
2.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

League One17/02/2026
BarnsleyPeterborough
21
FA Cup06/12/2025
PeterboroughBarnsley
01
League One19/08/2025
PeterboroughBarnsley
01
League One21/04/2025
BarnsleyPeterborough
11
League One29/12/2024
PeterboroughBarnsley
13
League One29/12/2023
PeterboroughBarnsley
22
League One15/08/2023
BarnsleyPeterborough
13
League One07/05/2023
BarnsleyPeterborough
02
League One02/12/2022
PeterboroughBarnsley
12
Championship18/04/2022
BarnsleyPeterborough
02

Recent Form

PeterboroughPeterborough
4W2D4L
12/09/2026
Milton Keynes DonsPeterborough
11
D
05/09/2026
PeterboroughSheffield Wednesday
12
L
01/09/2026
PeterboroughStevenage
00
D
29/08/2026
BlackpoolPeterborough
40
L
25/08/2026
WatfordPeterborough
15
W
22/08/2026
PeterboroughMansfield Town
21
W
15/08/2026
BradfordPeterborough
20
L
08/08/2026
Bristol RoversPeterborough
01
W
01/08/2026
PeterboroughWest Brom
02
L
28/07/2026
YorkPeterborough
12
W
BarnsleyBarnsley
5W2D3L
12/09/2026
PlymouthBarnsley
30
L
05/09/2026
BarnsleyStevenage
15
L
02/09/2026
BarnsleyBlackpool
21
W
29/08/2026
Leyton OrientBarnsley
13
W
25/08/2026
BarnsleyCrewe
32
W
22/08/2026
DoncasterBarnsley
00
D
15/08/2026
BarnsleyBromley
01
L
08/08/2026
BarnsleyWigan
6151
W
02/08/2026
Guiseley AFCBarnsley
11
D
01/08/2026
BarnsleyLincoln
30
W

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the Peterborough vs Barnsley forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Barnsley have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.