Barnsley vs Crewe Prediction

Barnsley
3-2
Finished
HT 3-1
Crewe
Oakwell Ground, Barnsley·Leigh Doughty, England 25/08/2026
BarnsleyBarnsley
3-2
Finished
CreweCrewe

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.53
SignalHIGHModel36%SurpriseHighGap+11.4%
Barnsley Rest
3 days
Crewe Rest
3 days

Barnsley vs Crewe: result, form and history

Barnsley beat Crewe 3-2 in the League Cup on 25 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Barnsley tend to win more corners, 7.8 a game to 3.7 for Crewe.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.69
X
28%4.00
2
26%4.60
Double Chance
1X
74%1.18
X2
54%2.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.57
No
49%2.23
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.4 + 1.12 = 2.52
Over 1.5
83%1.17
Over 2.5
48%1.57
Over 3.5
28%2.40
Under 1.5
17%4.63
Under 2.5
52%2.31
Under 3.5
72%1.53
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'A. ThibautAssist: C. McNeill
23'J. BlandFoul
29'R. Cleary
31'T. Noslin
38'C. O'Keeffe
52'R. Hutchinson INL. Billington out
52'C. Agius INP. Mlynarski out
53'L. Offord INM. Demetriou out
53'J. Stephenson INJ. Gibson out
67'L. Alker INC. Taylor out
67'M. Kirk INN. Town out
80'C. O'Keeffe INN. Saunders out
80'C. McGeehan INL. Farrell out
85'T. Noslin INT. Dunne out
86'L. Moore INJ. Ewusi out
89'J. EwusiAssist: L. Billington
89'R. RavenhillUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Barnsley
4-2-3-1Coach: Daniel Stendel
Crewe
5-3-2Coach: Lee Bell
Avg rating6.77
Avg rating6.71
Rogan Ravenhill6.625R. Ravenhill
Tyrese Noslin7.311T. Noslin
Sam Gale6.64S. Gale
Arley Kay6.92A. Kay
Corey O'Keeffe7.77C. O'Keeffe
Jonathan Bland7.030J. Bland
Cameron McGeehanC7.08C. McGeehan
Reyes Cleary7.319R. Cleary
Patrick Kelly7.222P. Kelly
Luke Alker6.936L. Alker
Makenzie Kirk6.29M. Kirk
Tom Booth6.61T. Booth
Stan Dancey6.730S. Dancey
Phil Croker6.322P. Croker
Luke OffordC5.96L. Offord
Joshua Stephenson6.312J. Stephenson
Reece Hutchinson6.23R. Hutchinson
Luca Moore5.332L. Moore
Kyle Ure6.74K. Ure
Calum Agius6.720C. Agius
Charlie McNeill6.923C. McNeill
Adrien Thibaut7.729A. Thibaut

Barnsley Substitutes

13Clayton Taylor67'replaced by L. Alker6.2
34Noah Philip Town67'for M. Kirk5.6
38Noah Saunders80'for C. O'Keeffe6.3
39Leo Farrell80'for C. McGeehan7.0
44Tayo Dunne
51Kieran Flavell
5Jack Shepherd
37Callum Hudson
17Amani Richards

Crewe Substitutes

2Lewis Billington52'for R. Hutchinson7.2
27Patrick Mlynarski52'for C. Agius7.3
5Mickey Demetriou53'for L. Offord7.7
14Jordan Gibson53'for J. Stephenson6.2
36Joel Ewusi
35Noah Bell
9Josh March
7Jack Lankester
31Luke Thomas

Match Stats

BarnsleyCrewe
66%Ball Possession34%
20Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards0
30Total Shots16
8Shots on Goal9
9Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box11
17Shots Outside Box5
13Blocked Shots3
10Fouls4
1Offsides0
7Goalkeeper Saves5
470Total Passes236
382Passes Accurate147
81%Pass Accuracy62%

Team Comparison

BarnsleyBarnsley
CreweCrewe
1477Elo Rating 1550
1.00Attack 1.30
0.55Defense 0.52
0%Hit Rate 36%
17.9Shots per Game 9.3
5.7Shots on Target 3.6
7.8Corners per Game 3.7
1.5Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BarnsleyBarnsley
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CreweCrewe
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

BarnsleyBarnsley2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
CreweCrewe0Wins · 0%
3.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

FA Cup26/11/2022
BarnsleyCrewe
30
FA Cup05/01/2020
CreweBarnsley
13

Recent Form

BarnsleyBarnsley
4W2D4L
22/08/2026
DoncasterBarnsley
00
D
15/08/2026
BarnsleyBromley
01
L
08/08/2026
BarnsleyWigan
6151
W
02/08/2026
Guiseley AFCBarnsley
11
D
01/08/2026
BarnsleyLincoln
30
W
25/07/2026
Scarborough AthleticBarnsley
02
W
11/07/2026
YorkBarnsley
21
L
02/05/2026
BarnsleyStockport County
13
L
28/04/2026
NorthamptonBarnsley
01
W
25/04/2026
LutonBarnsley
21
L
CreweCrewe
5W3D2L
22/08/2026
CreweNorthampton
10
W
15/08/2026
Crawley TownCrewe
01
W
08/08/2026
CreweAccrington ST
21
W
01/08/2026
ChesterCrewe
00
D
25/07/2026
CreweBirmingham
12
L
21/07/2026
AFC Telford UnitedCrewe
03
W
18/07/2026
CreweStoke City
11
D
11/07/2026
Witton AlbionCrewe
23
W
02/05/2026
CreweCambridge United
00
D
25/04/2026
ChesterfieldCrewe
20
L

Referee Profile

Leigh Doughty179 matches

4.27Cards per match
4.14Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
22.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Leigh Doughty4.27
Other referees3.78

4.27 cards a match, 0.49 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.78).

Cards come from 173 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the Barnsley vs Crewe forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Barnsley have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Barnsley and Crewe have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.