Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Allianz Arena, Munich

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
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Bayern München Rest
2 days
Borussia Dortmund Rest
3 days

Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund preview: form and head-to-head

Both sides arrive in good form: Bayern München have won 3 of their last five and Borussia Dortmund 3. It is a derby, played in the Bundesliga on 31 Oct 2026.

Bayern München have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
1.33
X
5.78
2
7.55
Double Chance
1X
1.10
X2
3.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.44
No
2.62
Goals
Over 1.5
1.06
Over 2.5
1.24
Over 3.5
1.63
Under 1.5
8.95
Under 2.5
3.92
Under 3.5
2.30
Corners
Over 8.5
1.36
Over 9.5
1.70
Over 10.5
2.11
Under 8.5
2.67
Under 9.5
2.08
Under 10.5
1.67
Cards
Over 3.5
1.80
Over 4.5
2.45
Under 3.5
1.94
Under 4.5
1.52
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

Bayern MünchenBayern München
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
2091Elo Rating 1939
3.82Attack 1.01
1.32Defense 2.32
37%Hit Rate 50%
23.2Shots per Game 16.3
10.6Shots on Target 5.9
9.0Corners per Game 9.5
1.3Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+152 Elo
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Bayern MünchenBayern München
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.4 vs 1.4 in first half)
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Bayern MünchenBayern München6Wins · 60%
Draws330%
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund1Wins · 10%
3.7Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Super Cup22/08/2026
Borussia DortmundBayern München
12
Bundesliga28/02/2026
Borussia DortmundBayern München
23
Bundesliga18/10/2025
Bayern MünchenBorussia Dortmund
21
Bundesliga12/04/2025
Bayern MünchenBorussia Dortmund
22
Bundesliga30/11/2024
Borussia DortmundBayern München
11
Bundesliga30/03/2024
Bayern MunichBorussia Dortmund
02
Bundesliga04/11/2023
Borussia DortmundBayern Munich
04
Bundesliga01/04/2023
Bayern MunichBorussia Dortmund
42
Bundesliga08/10/2022
Borussia DortmundBayern Munich
22
Bundesliga23/04/2022
Bayern MunichBorussia Dortmund
31

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bayern MünchenBayern München752025:6+1917WWDWW
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund752012:4+817WDDWW
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg741216:9+713LLWDW
4Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen741216:12+413LWWWD
5RB LeipzigRB Leipzig740320:11+912WLWLW
6Werder BremenWerder Bremen733115:14+112WDDWD
7FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05731316:13+310LWLWL
8SV ElversbergSV Elversberg731312:15-310LWLDL
9FC AugsburgFC Augsburg723217:13+49DLDLD
101899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim730414:1409WWLLW
11Hamburger SVHamburger SV73046:16-109LWWWL
121. FC Köln1. FC Köln72238:11-38DLWLD
13SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0772236:9-38WDLWL
14Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt722310:17-78LWLDW
15VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart720510:13-36LLWLL
16FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0471334:7-36DLLDW
17Union BerlinUnion Berlin71336:18-126DDWLL
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach710611:22-113WLLLL
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund forecast

As a derby, this Bundesliga meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga table

In the Bundesliga table, Bayern München (1st) and Borussia Dortmund (2nd) are level on 17 points. League goal record so far: Bayern München 25-6, Borussia Dortmund 12-4. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.