BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepaja Prediction

BFC Daugavpils
3-1
Finished
HT 1-0
FK Liepaja
Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils 04/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalGOODModel40%RiskHighGap+9.7%
BFC Daugavpils Rest
3 days
FK Liepaja Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%3.00
X
28%3.38
2
33%2.10
Double Chance
1X
67%1.62
X2
61%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.55
No
56%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.20
Over 2.5
39%1.67
Over 3.5
19%2.66
Under 1.5
37%4.10
Under 2.5
61%2.08
Under 3.5
81%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

25'I. Mushindi INE. Rodolphe out
41'M. SyllaAssist: A. Traore
46'C. Amatkarijo IND. Gueye out
50'M. SyllaAssist: J. Yakubu
56'M. SyllaAssist: Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand
63'Fellipe Vieira INK. Leidsman out
63'L. Strumia INA. Ogunniyi out
72'G. Mihalcovs INR. Skrebels out
72'D. Kivinda IND. Ayebadiepreye out
78'A. HaidaraFoul
81'J. Yakubu INN. Barkovskis out
82'A. Haidara INI. Pulis out
90+1'Goal Disallowed - video reviewD. Gueye
90+1'D. Gueye

Team Comparison

BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
1484Elo Rating 1507
0.89Attack 1.55
1.48Defense 1.76
0%Hit Rate 34%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend77% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

BFC Daugavpils 23%Draw 0%77% FK Liepaja
2.77Avg Goals
77%BTTS Rate
77%Over 2.5

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS29234270:21+4973WDWDW
2RigaRiga30217285:30+5570WDDLD
3AudaAuda30186648:29+1960WDWDW
4FK LiepajaFK Liepaja301261241:43-242DDWLW
5BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils301081235:35038LDLDW
6Super NovaSuper Nova291051429:39-1035LWWDD
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava30881432:48-1632DLWWL
8GrobiņaGrobiņa305101520:51-3125DLWLL
9TukumsTukums30581743:60-1723LWLLL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United30362129:76-4715LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS2970:2173
2RigaRiga3085:3070
3AudaAuda3048:2960
4FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3041:4342
5BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3035:3538
6Super NovaSuper Nova2929:3935
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3032:4832
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3020:5125
9TukumsTukums3043:6023
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3029:7615

BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepaja Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Virsliga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Virsliga

ScorePredicts covers Latvia football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

BFC Daugavpils and FK Liepaja have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.77 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.