Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia Prediction

Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires·Sebastian Zunino 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.46
SignalSOLIDModel67%SurpriseMediumGap-2.0%
Boca Juniors Rest
6 days
Defensa Y Justicia Rest
4 days

Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia: result, form and history

Boca Juniors beat Defensa Y Justicia 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Boca Juniors tend to win more corners, 6.5 a game to 4.1 for Defensa Y Justicia.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.46
X
23%4.33
2
15%6.58
Double Chance
1X
85%1.10
X2
38%2.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.90
No
50%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.77 + 0.83 = 2.60
Over 1.5
76%1.22
Over 2.5
53%1.78
Over 3.5
32%2.88
Under 1.5
24%3.83
Under 2.5
47%2.00
Under 3.5
68%1.37
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 3.4 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.57
Over 9.5
51%2.00
Over 10.5
40%2.53
Under 8.5
37%2.25
Under 9.5
49%1.76
Under 10.5
60%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.4 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%1.36
Over 4.5
40%2.10
Under 3.5
41%3.00
Under 4.5
60%1.67

Match Events

39'Goal cancelledMiguel Merentiel
57'Leandro ParedesFoul
63'Maximiliano PorcelFoul
64'Alan Velasco INTomás Aranda out
64'Sebastián Villa INLeonel Flores out
68'Jeremías Lucco INAaron Molinas out
68'Maximiliano Porcel INDavid Barbona out
76'Leandro Paredes INEnner Valencia out
78'Leandro Fernández INTiziano Perrotta out
89'Tiziano PerrottaFoul
90+1'César Pérez INEzequiel Burdín out
90+1'Juan Manuel Gutiérrez INAyrton Portillo out
90+6'Enner ValenciaAssist: Lautaro Di Lollo
90+7'Santiago SosaDissent
90+9'Valentín Pucheta LozaFoul

Lineups

Boca Juniors
4-3-3Coach: R. Arruabarrena
Defensa Y Justicia
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Vaccari
Avg rating7.10
Avg rating6.42
Á. Montero7.21Á. Montero
L. Lozano7.317L. Lozano
L. Di Lollo8.02L. Di Lollo
F. Herrera7.342F. Herrera
L. Blanco7.93L. Blanco
S. Ascacíbar7.225S. Ascacíbar
L. Paredes6.75L. Paredes
M. Delgado6.818M. Delgado
A. Velasco6.320A. Velasco
M. Merentiel6.416M. Merentiel
S. Villa7.122S. Villa
M. Borgogno7.31M. Borgogno
V. Loza5.828V. Loza
D. Fernández6.929D. Fernández
D. Martínez6.221D. Martínez
D. Domínguez6.130D. Domínguez
C. Pérez6.78C. Pérez
S. Sosa6.315S. Sosa
J. Lucco6.326J. Lucco
M. Porcel6.422M. Porcel
J. Gutiérrez6.824J. Gutiérrez
L. Fernández6.19L. Fernández

Boca Juniors Substitutes

19L. Flores64'for Sebastián Villa6.5
4N. Figal
24D. Gorosito
7C. Palacios
26Marco Pellegrino
13E. Valencia76'for Leandro Paredes90+6'7.7
15W. Alarcón
10T. Aranda64'for Alan Velasco7.1
8T. Belmonte
27M. Braida
12L. Brey
32A. Costa

Defensa Y Justicia Substitutes

36L. Amadé
19D. Barbona68'for Maximiliano Porcel6.6
27D. Blanco
6E. Burdin90+1'for César Pérez
41Ramiro Gagliardi
17A. Hausch
10A. Molinas68'for Jeremías Lucco6.5
11Tiziano Perrota78'for Leandro Fernández89'6.0
16A. Portillo90+1'for Juan Manuel Gutiérrez
3F. Román
32Nazareno Roselli
33L. Souto

Match Stats

Boca JuniorsDefensa Y Justicia
62%Ball Possession38%
10Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards4
22Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal6
13Shots Inside Box4
9Shots Outside Box6
8Blocked Shots3
7Fouls15
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
519Total Passes321
412Passes Accurate225
15Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia
1837Elo Rating 1681
1.41Attack 1.48
2.50Defense 2.31
86%Hit Rate 54%
12.7Shots per Game 17.0
4.2Shots on Target 6.3
6.5Corners per Game 4.1
3.5Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+156 Elo
📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors5Wins · 56%
Draws333%
Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1Wins · 11%
2.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored3 of 9
56%3+ goals5 of 9

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina24/04/2026
Defensa Y JusticiaBoca Juniors
04
Liga Profesional Argentina28/09/2025
Defensa Y JusticiaBoca Juniors
21
Liga Profesional Argentina16/03/2025
Boca JuniorsDefensa Y Justicia
40
Liga Profesional Argentina22/07/2024
Defensa Y JusticiaBoca Juniors
22
Liga Profesional Argentina07/03/2023
Boca JuniorsDefensa Y Justicia
00
Liga Profesional Argentina22/08/2022
Defensa Y JusticiaBoca Juniors
01
Liga Profesional Argentina11/05/2022
Boca JuniorsDefensa Y Justicia
20
Liga Profesional Argentina15/09/2021
Boca JuniorsDefensa Y Justicia
00
Liga Profesional Argentina03/04/2021
Boca JuniorsDefensa Y Justicia
21

Referee Profile

Sebastian Zunino197 matches

4.82Cards per match
4.52Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Sebastian Zunino4.82
Other referees5.24

4.82 cards a match, 0.42 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.24).

Cards come from 99 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231DDLLD
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1686222:9+1330WWWWD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677218:12+628LDWWL
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1675417:13+426DWLLD
5IndependienteIndependiente1666424:20+424WDLDD
6LanusLanus1666418:15+324DDDWW
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1657414:14022LDDWW
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1656524:20+421WDWDL
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1663717:17021DDWWD
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319LDWLW
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819DDLLW
12PlatensePlatense1637610:15-516WWWLD
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016DLLLD
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1636715:27-1215DDDWL
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra161875:12-711LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1619:731
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1622:930
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1618:1228
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:1326
5IndependienteIndependiente1624:2024
6LanusLanus1618:1524
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1614:1422
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2021
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1617:1721
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1618:2119
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1614:2219
12PlatensePlatense1610:1516
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1611:2116
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1615:2715
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra165:1211

Clausura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba16104226:15+1134DDWWD
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1696124:14+1033WWWWD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677225:17+828LDWWL
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1684421:15+628LDWLW
5LanusLanus1675419:12+726DDDWW
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1658316:13+323DDDWL
7IndependienteIndependiente1665515:16-123WDLDD
8Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1664618:17+122DDLLW
9Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1663724:24021WDWDL
10PlatensePlatense1655618:20-220WWWLD
11San LorenzoSan Lorenzo165479:16-719LDDWW
12Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1644821:22-116DDLLD
13Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1634917:23-613DWLLD
14Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1626811:19-812LLLDL
15Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1625912:26-1411DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1626:1534
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1624:1433
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1625:1728
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1621:1528
5LanusLanus1619:1226
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1616:1323
7IndependienteIndependiente1615:1623
8Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1618:1722
9Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2421
10PlatensePlatense1618:2020
11San LorenzoSan Lorenzo169:1619
12Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1621:2216
13Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:2313
14Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1611:1912
15Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1612:2611

Liga Profesional Argentina

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors321712346:23+2363WWWWD
2Rosario CentralRosario Central32188646:28+1862WWWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS32179637:27+1060LWWWD
4Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia32169750:39+1157DWLDL
5Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.32176944:39+557WWWWD
6Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield321414443:29+1456LDWWL
7River PlateRiver Plate321741143:26+1755WLWWD
8Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba32167943:32+1155DDWWD
9LanusLanus321311837:27+1050DDDWW
10Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba321310934:28+649LDLLW
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.321381140:29+1147DDLLD
12Barracas CentralBarracas Central321211932:28+447WDWDW
13IndependienteIndependiente321211939:36+347WDLDD
14Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia321211939:36+347LDWLW
15HuracanHuracan3211111031:29+244WLLLL
16Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe321191248:44+442WDWDL
17Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.321181332:39-741DDLLW
18San LorenzoSan Lorenzo3210111123:30-741LDDWW
19Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin321241636:44-840LLLDD
20TigreTigre329121134:31+339WWLDL
21Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba321091334:36-239DWLLD
22Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys328141031:40-938DDDWL
23Racing ClubRacing Club32991433:39-636LWLDL
24PlatensePlatense328121228:35-736WWWLD
25BanfieldBanfield32891535:44-933DLDLW
26Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman327111431:37-632DLWLD
27Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago32691723:47-2427DLLLD
28Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra323141516:31-1523LLLDL
29AldosiviAldosivi323101922:45-2319LLWLL
30Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto32352415:47-3214LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors3246:2363
2Rosario CentralRosario Central3246:2862
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS3237:2760
4Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia3250:3957
5Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.3244:3957
6Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield3243:2956
7River PlateRiver Plate3243:2655
8Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba3243:3255
9LanusLanus3237:2750
10Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba3234:2849
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.3240:2947
12Barracas CentralBarracas Central3232:2847
13IndependienteIndependiente3239:3647
14Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia3239:3647
15HuracanHuracan3231:2944
16Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe3248:4442
17Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.3232:3941
18San LorenzoSan Lorenzo3223:3041
19Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin3236:4440
20TigreTigre3234:3139
21Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba3234:3639
22Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys3231:4038
23Racing ClubRacing Club3233:3936
24PlatensePlatense3228:3536
25BanfieldBanfield3235:4433
26Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman3231:3732
27Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago3223:4727
28Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra3216:3123
29AldosiviAldosivi3222:4519
30Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto3215:4714
Relegation

About the Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Boca Juniors and Defensa Y Justicia in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Boca Juniors are 2nd and Defensa Y Justicia 10th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Boca Juniors 22-9, Defensa Y Justicia 18-21. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.