Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 16
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-5.0%
Union Santa Fe Rest
5 days
Velez Sarsfield Rest
6 days
Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield: result, form and history
Union Santa Fe beat Velez Sarsfield 2-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 6 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Velez Sarsfield tend to win more corners, 6.5 a game to 4.1 for Union Santa Fe.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
137%2.54
X29%3.17
234%2.79
Double Chance
1X66%1.40
X263%1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes51%1.78
No49%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 1.08 = 2.23
Over 1.569%1.33
Over 2.546%2.08
Over 3.526%3.60
Under 1.531%3.20
Under 2.554%1.74
Under 3.574%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 5 = 10
Over 8.565%1.68
Over 9.553%2.07
Over 10.542%2.69
Under 8.535%2.14
Under 9.547%1.68
Under 10.558%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.559%1.28
Over 4.540%1.80
Under 3.541%3.45
Under 4.560%1.91
Match Events
6'Penalty confirmedMarcelo Estigarriba
10'Thiago Silvero
11'Tomás MarchioriArgument
11'Joaquin MosqueiraArgument
12'Cristian Tarragona(Penalty)
28'Cristian TarragonaAssist: Marcelo Estigarriba
31'Mauro Luna DialeHandball
34'Juan Cruz Policella INLeo Cristaldo out
45+4'Tobias Javier RubioFoul
47'Rodrigo AliendroFoul
48'Julián PalaciosFoul
60'Julián Palacios INVictor Malcorra out
67'Red card cancelledRodrigo Aliendro
71'Rodrigo Aliendro INClaudio Baeza out
71'Matías Pellegrini INÁlex Zahir Verón out
74'Marcelo Estigarriba INErik Ramirez out
74'Joaquin Mosqueira INMateo Peresutti out
82'Tobias Javier Rubio INJuan Pintado out
82'Brahian Cuello INAugusto Solari out
83'Elías Gómez INSimón Escobar out
83'Joaquin Garcia INJano Gordon out
Lineups
Union Santa FeVelez Sarsfield
4-2-3-1Coach: Guillermo Barros SchelottoAvg ratingAvg rating
21M. Mansilla
27T. Rubio
33I. Isla
26J. Ludueña
18L. Ayala
20J. Palacios
17J. Mosqueira
11M. Luna Diale
22B. Cuello
25C. Tarragona
19M. Estigarribia
1T. Marchiori
4J. García
32T. Silveor
16L. Magallán
3E. Gómez
29R. Aliendro
8L. Robertone
11M. Pellegrini
22M. Lanzini
37J. Policella
77R. MartínezUnion Santa Fe Substitutes
31M. Aguirre
38V. J. Cerrudo
44T. Fagioli
7F. Fragapane
8E. Giaccone
10V. Malcorra60'for Julián Palacios
40L. Meuli
34Mateo Peresutti74'replaced by Joaquin Mosqueira
15J. Pintado82'for Tobias Javier Rubio
12B. Pittón
43E. Ramírez74'for Marcelo Estigarriba
23A. Solari82'for Brahian Cuello
Velez Sarsfield Substitutes
35M. Arias
39T. Aguirre
5C. Baeza71'for Rodrigo Aliendro
19L. Cristaldo34'for Juan Cruz Policella
18S. Escobar83'for Elías Gómez
48Luca Feler
15D. Godoy
21Jano Gordon83'for Joaquin Garcia
30L. Piola
23F. Sanguinetti
10D. Valdés
17A. Verón71'for Matías Pellegrini
Match Stats
Union Santa FeVelez Sarsfield 42%Ball Possession58%
5Corner Kicks1
4Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
15Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box1
4Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots2
16Fouls10
5Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
326Total Passes468
244Passes Accurate365
9Free Kicks14
Team Comparison
Union Santa FeVelez Sarsfield1617Elo Rating 1732
1.15Attack 2.16
1.55Defense 1.85
23%Hit Rate 42%
13.9Shots per Game 16.6
5.0Shots on Target 6.2
4.1Corners per Game 6.5
2.8Cards per Game 2.3
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Union Santa Fe- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
Velez Sarsfield- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Union Santa Fe2Wins · 34%Draws233%
Velez Sarsfield2Wins · 33%
2Wins · 33%2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6
Previous meetings
27/04/2026Velez SarsfieldUnion Santa Fe22
07/12/2024Union Santa FeVelez Sarsfield10
24/07/2023Velez SarsfieldUnion Santa Fe00
06/08/2022Union Santa FeVelez Sarsfield21
07/09/2021Velez SarsfieldUnion Santa Fe40
04/04/2021Velez SarsfieldUnion Santa Fe41
Recent Form
Union Santa Fe4W2D4L
01/11/2026
Newells Old BoysUnion Santa Fe
Deportivo RiestraUnion Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca JuniorsUnion Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
Independiente
Talleres CordobaUnion Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
Instituto CordobaUnion Santa Fe
Sarmiento Junin
AldosiviUnion Santa Fe
Newells Old BoysUnion Santa Fe11
D26/10/2026Union Santa Fe
Estudiantes L.P.
20/10/2026Union Santa FeEstudiantes L.P.31
WDeportivo RiestraUnion Santa Fe11
D10/10/2026Union Santa FeDefensa Y Justicia02
L03/10/2026Boca JuniorsUnion Santa Fe30
L19/09/2026Union Santa FeIndependiente12
L13/09/2026Talleres CordobaUnion Santa Fe21
L08/09/2026Union Santa FeInstituto Cordoba32
W29/08/2026Union Santa FeSarmiento Junin41
W21/08/2026AldosiviUnion Santa Fe13
WVelez Sarsfield4W4D2L
31/10/2026Velez Sarsfield
San LorenzoVelez Sarsfield
Gimnasia M.
LanusVelez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
PlatenseVelez Sarsfield
TigreNewells Old BoysVelez SarsfieldVelez SarsfieldEstudiantes L.P.Deportivo RiestraVelez Sarsfield
Velez SarsfieldSan Lorenzo22
D26/10/2026
Central Cordoba de SantiagoVelez Sarsfield
18/10/2026Central Cordoba de SantiagoVelez Sarsfield05
WVelez SarsfieldGimnasia M.10
W12/10/2026LanusVelez Sarsfield20
L06/10/2026Velez SarsfieldPlatense22
D21/09/2026Velez SarsfieldTigre32
W11/09/2026Newells Old BoysVelez Sarsfield11
D06/09/2026Velez SarsfieldEstudiantes L.P.10
W03/09/2026Velez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
29/08/2026Velez SarsfieldBoca Juniors3040
LDeportivo RiestraVelez Sarsfield11
DReferee Profile
5.61Cards per match
5.36Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
26.7Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.61 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.37).
Cards come from 28 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | DDLLD |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | DWLLD |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | WDLDD |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | DDDWW |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | LDDWW |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | WDWDL |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | DDWWD |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LDWLW |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | WWWLD |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | DLLLD |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | DDDWL |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26:15 | +11 | 34 | DDWWD |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 24:14 | +10 | 33 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:17 | +8 | 28 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21:15 | +6 | 28 | LDWLW |
| 5 | Lanus | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:12 | +7 | 26 | DDDWW |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 23 | DDDWL |
| 7 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 23 | WDLDD |
| 8 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18:17 | +1 | 22 | DDLLW |
| 9 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 21 | WDWDL |
| 10 | Platense | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 20 | WWWLD |
| 11 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 19 | LDDWW |
| 12 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21:22 | -1 | 16 | DDLLD |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 | DWLLD |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 | LLLDL |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12:26 | -14 | 11 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 26:15 | 34 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 24:14 | 33 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 25:17 | 28 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 21:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Lanus | 16 | 19:12 | 26 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Independiente | 16 | 15:16 | 23 |
| 8 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 18:17 | 22 |
| 9 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:24 | 21 |
| 10 | Platense | 16 | 18:20 | 20 |
| 11 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 9:16 | 19 |
| 12 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 21:22 | 16 |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 12:26 | 11 |
Liga Profesional Argentina
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 32 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 46:23 | +23 | 63 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Rosario Central | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 46:28 | +18 | 62 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 37:27 | +10 | 60 | LWWWD |
| 4 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 50:39 | +11 | 57 | DWLDL |
| 5 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 44:39 | +5 | 57 | WWWWD |
| 6 | Velez Sarsfield | 32 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 43:29 | +14 | 56 | LDWWL |
| 7 |  River Plate | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 43:26 | +17 | 55 | WLWWD |
| 8 | Instituto Cordoba | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 43:32 | +11 | 55 | DDWWD |
| 9 | Lanus | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 37:27 | +10 | 50 | DDDWW |
| 10 |  Belgrano Cordoba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 34:28 | +6 | 49 | LDLLW |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 40:29 | +11 | 47 | DDLLD |
| 12 |  Barracas Central | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 32:28 | +4 | 47 | WDWDW |
| 13 | Independiente | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 39:36 | +3 | 47 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Defensa Y Justicia | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 39:36 | +3 | 47 | LDWLW |
| 15 |  Huracan | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 31:29 | +2 | 44 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 48:44 | +4 | 42 | WDWDL |
| 17 | Gimnasia M. | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 41 | DDLLW |
| 18 | San Lorenzo | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 23:30 | -7 | 41 | LDDWW |
| 19 | Sarmiento Junin | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 36:44 | -8 | 40 | LLLDD |
| 20 | Tigre | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 34:31 | +3 | 39 | WWLDL |
| 21 | Talleres Cordoba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 34:36 | -2 | 39 | DWLLD |
| 22 | Newells Old Boys | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 38 | DDDWL |
| 23 |  Racing Club | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 33:39 | -6 | 36 | LWLDL |
| 24 | Platense | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 28:35 | -7 | 36 | WWWLD |
| 25 |  Banfield | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 | DLDLW |
| 26 |  Atletico Tucuman | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 | DLWLD |
| 27 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 23:47 | -24 | 27 | DLLLD |
| 28 | Deportivo Riestra | 32 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 16:31 | -15 | 23 | LLLDL |
| 29 | Aldosivi | 32 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 22:45 | -23 | 19 | LLWLL |
| 30 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 15:47 | -32 | 14 | LLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 32 | 46:23 | 63 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 32 | 46:28 | 62 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 32 | 37:27 | 60 |
| 4 | Independ. Rivadavia | 32 | 50:39 | 57 |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P. | 32 | 44:39 | 57 |
| 6 | Velez Sarsfield | 32 | 43:29 | 56 |
| 7 | River Plate | 32 | 43:26 | 55 |
| 8 | Instituto Cordoba | 32 | 43:32 | 55 |
| 9 | Lanus | 32 | 37:27 | 50 |
| 10 | Belgrano Cordoba | 32 | 34:28 | 49 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 32 | 40:29 | 47 |
| 12 | Barracas Central | 32 | 32:28 | 47 |
| 13 | Independiente | 32 | 39:36 | 47 |
| 14 | Defensa Y Justicia | 32 | 39:36 | 47 |
| 15 | Huracan | 32 | 31:29 | 44 |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe | 32 | 48:44 | 42 |
| 17 | Gimnasia M. | 32 | 32:39 | 41 |
| 18 | San Lorenzo | 32 | 23:30 | 41 |
| 19 | Sarmiento Junin | 32 | 36:44 | 40 |
| 20 | Tigre | 32 | 34:31 | 39 |
| 21 | Talleres Cordoba | 32 | 34:36 | 39 |
| 22 | Newells Old Boys | 32 | 31:40 | 38 |
| 23 | Racing Club | 32 | 33:39 | 36 |
| 24 | Platense | 32 | 28:35 | 36 |
| 25 | Banfield | 32 | 35:44 | 33 |
| 26 | Atletico Tucuman | 32 | 31:37 | 32 |
| 27 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 32 | 23:47 | 27 |
| 28 | Deportivo Riestra | 32 | 16:31 | 23 |
| 29 | Aldosivi | 32 | 22:45 | 19 |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 32 | 15:47 | 14 |
Relegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- Platense vs Central Cordoba de Santiago 02/11/26
- Independ. Rivadavia vs Banfield 03/11/26
- Aldosivi vs River Plate 05/11/26
- Barracas Central vs Racing Club 06/11/26
- Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra 06/11/26
- San Lorenzo vs Platense 06/11/26
- Banfield vs Atletico Tucuman 07/11/26
- Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin 07/11/26
About the Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Union Santa Fe and Velez Sarsfield in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Velez Sarsfield are 3rd and Union Santa Fe 8th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Union Santa Fe 24-20, Velez Sarsfield 18-12. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.