Boca Juniors vs River Plate Prediction
Boca Juniors vs River Plate: what the numbers say
This is a meeting of two teams in form, with 3 wins from five for Boca Juniors and 3 for River Plate. They meet in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 1 Nov 2026.
Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.5 goals a game. River Plate tend to win more corners, 7.7 a game to 4.9 for Boca Juniors.
Match Forecasts
Team Comparison
AI Insights
Game State Tendencies
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Previous meetings
Recent Form
League Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | WWLWW | |
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | WDWWD | |
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | DWLLW | |
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | WWLWD | |
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | WDWLL | |
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | LWDLW | |
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | DDWDL | |
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | LLWLD | |
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | LWWLW | |
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LLLWW | |
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | WDWLL | |
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | LDDLL | |
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | WLLLW | |
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | WDWWL | |
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 19:7 | 31 | |
| 2 | 16 | 22:9 | 30 | |
| 3 | 16 | 18:12 | 28 | |
| 4 | 16 | 17:13 | 26 | |
| 5 | 16 | 24:20 | 24 | |
| 6 | 16 | 18:15 | 24 | |
| 7 | 16 | 14:14 | 22 | |
| 8 | 16 | 24:20 | 21 | |
| 9 | 16 | 17:17 | 21 | |
| 10 | 16 | 18:21 | 19 | |
| 11 | 16 | 14:22 | 19 | |
| 12 | 16 | 10:15 | 16 | |
| 13 | 16 | 11:21 | 16 | |
| 14 | 16 | 15:27 | 15 | |
| 15 | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Apertura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | +14 | 34 | DWWWW | |
| 2 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | +10 | 29 | LWWWW | |
| 3 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | +4 | 29 | WLWWW | |
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 28 | WLWLW | |
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | DWLLD | |
| 6 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 | WWLLL | |
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 22 | DWWDD | |
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 21 | DLLWW | |
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 | DWLDW | |
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 20 | DDLLD | |
| 11 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 | LLWWL | |
| 12 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | DLLWL | |
| 13 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 | LDLWL | |
| 14 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 | DLDLL | |
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 29:15 | 34 | |
| 2 | 16 | 22:12 | 29 | |
| 3 | 16 | 17:13 | 29 | |
| 4 | 16 | 20:16 | 28 | |
| 5 | 16 | 17:13 | 26 | |
| 6 | 16 | 19:19 | 26 | |
| 7 | 16 | 17:13 | 22 | |
| 8 | 16 | 17:15 | 21 | |
| 9 | 16 | 15:15 | 21 | |
| 10 | 16 | 18:15 | 20 | |
| 11 | 16 | 13:20 | 19 | |
| 12 | 16 | 17:19 | 18 | |
| 13 | 16 | 15:20 | 14 | |
| 14 | 16 | 6:19 | 8 | |
| 15 | 16 | 5:24 | 5 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | +11 | 32 | LWWLW | |
| 2 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 23:13 | +10 | 27 | DWLLW | |
| 3 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 22:14 | +8 | 27 | WDWWD | |
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 27 | LLLWW | |
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:10 | +7 | 24 | LWDLW | |
| 6 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 21 | WDWWL | |
| 7 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:15 | +1 | 20 | WDWLL | |
| 8 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 19 | WDWLL | |
| 9 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 18 | DDWDL | |
| 10 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 | LLWLD | |
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:18 | -1 | 14 | WWLWW | |
| 12 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LDDLL | |
| 13 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 | LLLDL | |
| 14 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 | WLLLW | |
| 15 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 9 | WWLWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 21:10 | 32 | |
| 2 | 14 | 23:13 | 27 | |
| 3 | 14 | 22:14 | 27 | |
| 4 | 14 | 20:13 | 27 | |
| 5 | 14 | 17:10 | 24 | |
| 6 | 14 | 13:10 | 21 | |
| 7 | 14 | 16:15 | 20 | |
| 8 | 14 | 12:14 | 19 | |
| 9 | 14 | 7:12 | 18 | |
| 10 | 14 | 21:23 | 17 | |
| 11 | 14 | 17:18 | 14 | |
| 12 | 14 | 14:20 | 14 | |
| 13 | 14 | 10:14 | 12 | |
| 14 | 14 | 11:23 | 10 | |
| 15 | 14 | 13:22 | 9 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22:11 | +11 | 28 | WLWLW | |
| 2 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | +7 | 28 | WLWWW | |
| 3 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:18 | +3 | 25 | WWLLL | |
| 4 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 19:13 | +6 | 23 | LWWWW | |
| 5 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 14:11 | +3 | 22 | DWLLD | |
| 6 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 22 | DWLDW | |
| 7 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22:21 | +1 | 21 | LLWWL | |
| 8 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 19 | DWWDD | |
| 9 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 19 | DWWWW | |
| 10 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 | LDLWL | |
| 11 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 | DLLWL | |
| 12 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 13 | DDLLD | |
| 13 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 12 | DLLWW | |
| 14 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 15:22 | -7 | 11 | DLDLL | |
| 15 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9:19 | -10 | 9 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 22:11 | 28 | |
| 2 | 14 | 18:11 | 28 | |
| 3 | 14 | 21:18 | 25 | |
| 4 | 14 | 19:13 | 23 | |
| 5 | 14 | 14:11 | 22 | |
| 6 | 14 | 13:11 | 22 | |
| 7 | 14 | 22:21 | 21 | |
| 8 | 14 | 12:14 | 19 | |
| 9 | 14 | 17:22 | 19 | |
| 10 | 14 | 13:13 | 17 | |
| 11 | 14 | 15:20 | 14 | |
| 12 | 14 | 13:16 | 13 | |
| 13 | 14 | 14:21 | 12 | |
| 14 | 14 | 15:22 | 11 | |
| 15 | 14 | 9:19 | 9 |
Explore more predictions
This match
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About the Boca Juniors vs River Plate forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Liga Profesional Argentina
More Liga Profesional Argentina fixtures and forecasts are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
River Plate have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.


