Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 16
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna, Buenos Aires·Pereira·Gonzalo 07/11/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-3.4%
Tigre Rest
7 days
Sarmiento Junin Rest
7 days
Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin: the result in context
Tigre beat Sarmiento Junin 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game. Tigre tend to win more corners, 6.1 a game to 3.3 for Sarmiento Junin.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
149%1.91
X29%3.19
222%4.22
Double Chance
1X78%1.20
X251%1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes45%2.05
No55%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 0.82 = 2.14
Over 1.566%1.40
Over 2.541%2.35
Over 3.520%4.42
Under 1.534%2.75
Under 2.559%1.58
Under 3.580%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.8 = 9.8
Over 8.562%1.52
Over 9.551%1.91
Over 10.539%2.44
Under 8.538%2.35
Under 9.549%1.82
Under 10.561%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5-1.32
Over 4.5-1.73
Under 3.5-3.20
Under 4.5-2.00
Match Events
32'Penalty confirmedJulian Mavilla
35'Junior Marabel(Penalty missed)
45'Thiago SantamaríaFoul
50'Gaston GonzalezViolent conduct
55'Card upgrade confirmedLucas·Suarez
55'Lucas·SuarezViolent conduct
57'Elián Giménez INUlises Adrian Gimenez out
64'Tiago Serrago INMauro Méndez out
67'Alan BarrionuevoFoul
70'Santiago Lopez GrobinAssist: Jabes Saralegui
76'Gonzalo Martínez INIgnacio Russo out
76'Julian Mavilla INJonathan Herrera out
76'Junior Marabel INJulián Contrera out
80'Mauro MéndezDissent
83'Goal cancelledMauro Méndez
89'Gabriel Díaz INNicolas Pasquini out
90+3'Jabes Saralegui INManuel Fernández out
90+3'Santiago Lopez Grobin INLuciano Minniti out
Lineups
TigreSarmiento Junin
4-2-3-1Coach: Facundo SavaAvg ratingAvg rating
12F. Zenobio
50I. Peluffo
23G. Requena
20A. Barrionuevo
24F. Álvarez
22S. López
8M. Garay
10J. Saralegui
11T. Serrago
28P. Martínez
30J. Dómina
12T. Ayala
29T. Santamaría
6G. Arturia
3L. Suárez
33G. Díaz
23E. Giménez
16M. Leonel Martínez
21J. Mavilla
5M. García
11G. González
27J. MarabelTigre Substitutes
36Lucian Carracedo
45Román Pesolilla
40L. Minniti90+3'for Santiago Lopez Grobin
26L. Morales
33M. Méndez64'for Tiago Serrago80'
29I. Russo76'for Gonzalo Martínez
17G. Soto
25Ian Martin Subiabre
32J. Villalba
21S. Medina
15A. Marchese
18M. Fernández90+3'for Jabes Saralegui
Sarmiento Junin Substitutes
9D. Churín
35F. Alaggia
1I. Arboleda
26Y. Arismendi
19J. Contrera76'for Junior Marabel
20U. Giménez57'for Elián Giménez
24J. Herrera76'for Julian Mavilla
7P. Magnín
36R. Maisterra
37Agustín Andrés Méndez
17A. Nadruz
77N. Pasquini89'for Gabriel Díaz
Match Stats
TigreSarmiento Junin 61%Ball Possession39%
4Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards2
13Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal5
4Shots Inside Box2
9Shots Outside Box8
3Blocked Shots2
12Fouls11
4Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
392Total Passes255
324Passes Accurate168
11Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
TigreSarmiento Junin1616Elo Rating 1613
1.24Attack 1.05
1.77Defense 1.50
27%Hit Rate 14%
15.4Shots per Game 10.0
4.9Shots on Target 2.7
6.1Corners per Game 3.3
2.4Cards per Game 3.8
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Tigre- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Sarmiento Junin- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Tigre1Wins · 17%Draws466%
Sarmiento Junin1Wins · 17%
1Wins · 17%1.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
17%3+ goals1 of 6
Previous meetings
26/04/2026Sarmiento JuninTigre10
18/08/2024Sarmiento JuninTigre00
14/04/2023TigreSarmiento Junin10
05/10/2022Sarmiento JuninTigre22
03/01/2021Sarmiento JuninTigre11
21/10/2019Sarmiento JuninTigre11
Recent Form
Tigre2W2D6L
30/10/2026
HuracanTigre
Independ. RivadaviaTigreTigre
Banfield
Argentinos JRSTigre
Velez SarsfieldTigreTigre
Rosario Central
Gimnasia L.P.TigreTigre
Barracas CentralTigre
Central Cordoba de Santiago
HuracanTigre02
W24/10/2026Tigre
Atletico Tucuman
17/10/2026TigreAtletico Tucuman01
LIndepend. RivadaviaTigre22
D11/10/2026TigreBanfield12
L05/10/2026Argentinos JRSTigre21
L21/09/2026Velez SarsfieldTigre32
L13/09/2026TigreRosario Central01
L05/09/2026Gimnasia L.P.Tigre21
L01/09/2026TigreBarracas Central00
D25/08/2026TigreCentral Cordoba de Santiago21
WSarmiento Junin3W3D4L
31/10/2026Sarmiento JuninRosario CentralGimnasia L.P.Sarmiento JuninSarmiento JuninBarracas CentralSarmiento Junin
River Plate
AldosiviSarmiento Junin
Racing ClubSarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
Belgrano Cordoba
Union Santa FeSarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
Estudiantes L.P.
Sarmiento JuninRosario Central12
L23/10/2026Gimnasia L.P.Sarmiento Junin20
L20/10/2026Sarmiento JuninBarracas Central11
D15/10/2026Sarmiento JuninRiver Plate11
D09/10/2026AldosiviSarmiento Junin13
W19/09/2026Racing ClubSarmiento Junin31
L13/09/2026Sarmiento JuninBelgrano Cordoba11
D04/09/2026
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoSarmiento Junin
29/08/2026Estudiantes de Rio CuartoSarmiento Junin02
WUnion Santa FeSarmiento Junin41
L23/08/2026Sarmiento JuninEstudiantes L.P.20
WLeague Table
Apertura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | +14 | 34 | DWLDL |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | +10 | 29 | WLWWD |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | +4 | 29 | LWWWD |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | LDLLW |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 | WWWWD |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 22 | WLLLL |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 21 | LWLDL |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 | WDWDW |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 20 | WWLDL |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 | LLLDD |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | DLDLW |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 | DLWLD |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 | LLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 5:24 | 5 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26:12 | +14 | 34 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 20:14 | +6 | 31 | LWWWD |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25:20 | +5 | 31 | WWWWD |
| 4 | River Plate | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 21:14 | +7 | 26 | WLWWD |
| 5 | Barracas Central | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | WDWDW |
| 6 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 23 | LDLLW |
| 7 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:24 | -3 | 23 | DWLDL |
| 8 | Huracan | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 14:16 | -2 | 22 | WLLLL |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 21 | LLLDD |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 19 | WWLDL |
| 11 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 18 | DLWLD |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18:25 | -7 | 15 | DLDLW |
| 13 | Racing Club | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 15 | LWLDL |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16:26 | -10 | 11 | LLWLL |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10:23 | -13 | 9 | LLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 16 | 26:12 | 34 |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 20:14 | 31 |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 25:20 | 31 |
| 4 | River Plate | 16 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Barracas Central | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 17:15 | 23 |
| 7 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 21:24 | 23 |
| 8 | Huracan | 16 | 14:16 | 22 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 23:24 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 11 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 18:25 | 15 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 16 | 16:24 | 15 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 16:26 | 11 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 10:23 | 9 |
Liga Profesional Argentina
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boca Juniors | 32 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 46:23 | +23 | 63 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 46:28 | +18 | 62 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 37:27 | +10 | 60 | LWWWD |
| 4 | Independ. Rivadavia | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 50:39 | +11 | 57 | DWLDL |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P. | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 44:39 | +5 | 57 | WWWWD |
| 6 | Velez Sarsfield | 32 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 43:29 | +14 | 56 | LDWWL |
| 7 | River Plate | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 43:26 | +17 | 55 | WLWWD |
| 8 |  Instituto Cordoba | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 43:32 | +11 | 55 | DDWWD |
| 9 |  Lanus | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 37:27 | +10 | 50 | DDDWW |
| 10 | Belgrano Cordoba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 34:28 | +6 | 49 | LDLLW |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 40:29 | +11 | 47 | DDLLD |
| 12 | Barracas Central | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 32:28 | +4 | 47 | WDWDW |
| 13 |  Independiente | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 39:36 | +3 | 47 | WDLDD |
| 14 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 39:36 | +3 | 47 | LDWLW |
| 15 | Huracan | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 31:29 | +2 | 44 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 48:44 | +4 | 42 | WDWDL |
| 17 |  Gimnasia M. | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 41 | DDLLW |
| 18 |  San Lorenzo | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 23:30 | -7 | 41 | LDDWW |
| 19 | Sarmiento Junin | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 36:44 | -8 | 40 | LLLDD |
| 20 | Tigre | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 34:31 | +3 | 39 | WWLDL |
| 21 |  Talleres Cordoba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 34:36 | -2 | 39 | DWLLD |
| 22 |  Newells Old Boys | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 38 | DDDWL |
| 23 | Racing Club | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 33:39 | -6 | 36 | LWLDL |
| 24 |  Platense | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 28:35 | -7 | 36 | WWWLD |
| 25 | Banfield | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 | DLDLW |
| 26 | Atletico Tucuman | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 | DLWLD |
| 27 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 23:47 | -24 | 27 | DLLLD |
| 28 |  Deportivo Riestra | 32 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 16:31 | -15 | 23 | LLLDL |
| 29 | Aldosivi | 32 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 22:45 | -23 | 19 | LLWLL |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 15:47 | -32 | 14 | LLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 32 | 46:23 | 63 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 32 | 46:28 | 62 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 32 | 37:27 | 60 |
| 4 | Independ. Rivadavia | 32 | 50:39 | 57 |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P. | 32 | 44:39 | 57 |
| 6 | Velez Sarsfield | 32 | 43:29 | 56 |
| 7 | River Plate | 32 | 43:26 | 55 |
| 8 | Instituto Cordoba | 32 | 43:32 | 55 |
| 9 | Lanus | 32 | 37:27 | 50 |
| 10 | Belgrano Cordoba | 32 | 34:28 | 49 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 32 | 40:29 | 47 |
| 12 | Barracas Central | 32 | 32:28 | 47 |
| 13 | Independiente | 32 | 39:36 | 47 |
| 14 | Defensa Y Justicia | 32 | 39:36 | 47 |
| 15 | Huracan | 32 | 31:29 | 44 |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe | 32 | 48:44 | 42 |
| 17 | Gimnasia M. | 32 | 32:39 | 41 |
| 18 | San Lorenzo | 32 | 23:30 | 41 |
| 19 | Sarmiento Junin | 32 | 36:44 | 40 |
| 20 | Tigre | 32 | 34:31 | 39 |
| 21 | Talleres Cordoba | 32 | 34:36 | 39 |
| 22 | Newells Old Boys | 32 | 31:40 | 38 |
| 23 | Racing Club | 32 | 33:39 | 36 |
| 24 | Platense | 32 | 28:35 | 36 |
| 25 | Banfield | 32 | 35:44 | 33 |
| 26 | Atletico Tucuman | 32 | 31:37 | 32 |
| 27 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 32 | 23:47 | 27 |
| 28 | Deportivo Riestra | 32 | 16:31 | 23 |
| 29 | Aldosivi | 32 | 22:45 | 19 |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 32 | 15:47 | 14 |
Relegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- Barracas Central vs Racing Club 06/11/26
- Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra 06/11/26
- San Lorenzo vs Platense 06/11/26
- Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield 06/11/26
- Banfield vs Atletico Tucuman 07/11/26
- Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia 07/11/26
- Argentinos JRS vs Huracan 07/11/26
- Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia 07/11/26
About the Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Tigre and Sarmiento Junin in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
Tigre and Sarmiento Junin are close in the Liga Profesional Argentina table, 10th and 11th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Tigre 18-15, Sarmiento Junin 13-20. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.