Botafogo vs Santos Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 19
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalHIGHModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+2.0%
Value Analysis
81%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalSTRONGModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+8.9%
Botafogo Rest
47 days
Santos Rest
46 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
152%2.15
X27%3.42
221%3.31
Double Chance
1X79%1.30
X248%1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes58%1.70
No42%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 0.96 = 2.52
Over 1.572%1.28
Over 2.548%1.88
Over 3.530%3.20
Under 1.528%3.55
Under 2.552%1.91
Under 3.570%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.9 = 9.7
Over 8.561%1.46
Over 9.550%1.80
Over 10.536%2.23
Under 8.539%2.47
Under 9.550%1.92
Under 10.564%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.9 = 5.4
Over 3.581%1.26
Over 4.559%1.45
Under 3.519%3.33
Under 4.541%2.44
Match Events
25'HuguinhoFoul
26'ThacianoFoul
41'Lucas EmanuelAssist: Kauan Toledo
42'Goal cancelledLucas Emanuel
45+2'Matheus MartinsArgument
45+2'Álvaro BarrealArgument
54'Gustavo Henrique Pereira INChristian Oliva out
57'Álvaro Barreal
64'Matheus Martins INSantiago Rodríguez out
64'Thaciano INRony out
64'Miguelito INNadson out
71'Benjamín Rollheiser INGabriel Bontempo out
71'Igor Vinícius INGabriel Menino out
77'Kauan Toledo INKadir Barría out
78'Nahuel FerraresiFoul
78'Lucas Emanuel INEdenilson out
86'Vitinho INMateo Ponte out
86'Alex Telles INMarçal out
90+5'Kadir Barría
90+7'Kadir Barría
Lineups
BotafogoSantos
4-2-3-1Coach: CucaAvg ratingAvg rating
24L. Linck
2Vitinho
34G. Justino
5N. Ferraresi
C13A. Telles
77L. Villalba
75Huguinho
6C. Medina
11M. Martins7979L. Emanuel
59K. Toledo
77G. Brazão
18I. Vinícius
C4L. Veríssimo
14L. Peres
31G. Escobar
48G. Henrique Pereira
15W. Arão
30Miguelito
32B. Rollheiser
22Á. Barreal
16ThacianoBotafogo Substitutes
23Santiago Rodríguez64'for Matheus Martins
37Kadir Barría77'for Kauan Toledo90+5'90+7'
88Edenilson78'replaced by Lucas Emanuel
21Marçal86'for Alex Telles
4Mateo Ponte86'for Vitinho
62Cleber Lucas
1Raul
26Anthony
63Herick
42Kadu Santos
14Jordan Barrera
38Victor Hugo
Santos Substitutes
28Christian Oliva54'for Gustavo Henrique Pereira
57Nadson64'for Miguelito
11Rony64'for Thaciano
25Gabriel Menino71'for Igor Vinícius
49Gabriel Bontempo71'for Benjamín Rollheiser
1Diogenes
98Adonis Frías
26João Paulo Ananias
27Davizinho
81Samuel Mendes
7Robinho Júnior
Match Stats
BotafogoSantos 48%Ball Possession52%
5Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots22
7Shots on Goal9
4Shots off Goal6
11Shots Inside Box16
6Shots Outside Box6
6Blocked Shots7
10Fouls13
8Goalkeeper Saves5
377Total Passes414
304Passes Accurate328
81%Pass Accuracy79%
Team Comparison
BotafogoSantos1605Elo Rating 1771
0.77Attack 1.07
1.33Defense 1.96
19%Hit Rate 19%
14.5Shots per Game 16.8
4.7Shots on Target 5.9
6.7Corners per Game 5.7
1.2Cards per Game 3.4
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Botafogo- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Santos- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Botafogo2Wins · 33%Draws350%
Santos1Wins · 17%
1Wins · 17%2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6
Previous meetings
26/10/2025BotafogoSantos22
01/06/2025SantosBotafogo01
26/11/2023BotafogoSantos11
23/07/2023SantosBotafogo22
11/11/2022BotafogoSantos30
21/07/2022SantosBotafogo20
Recent Form
Botafogo5W2D3L
30/05/2026
BahiaBotafogo
BahiaBotafogo21
L28/05/2026
Caracas FCBotafogo
Caracas FCBotafogo13
W23/05/2026
Sao PauloBotafogo
Sao PauloBotafogo11
D21/05/2026
Independiente PetroleroBotafogo
Independiente PetroleroBotafogo03
W17/05/2026Botafogo
Corinthians
BotafogoCorinthians31
W14/05/2026
Chapecoense-scBotafogo
Chapecoense-scBotafogo20
L10/05/2026
Atletico-MGBotafogo
Atletico-MGBotafogo11
D07/05/2026Botafogo
Racing Club
BotafogoRacing Club21
W02/05/2026Botafogo
Remo
BotafogoRemo12
L29/04/2026BotafogoIndependiente Petrolero
BotafogoIndependiente Petrolero30
WSantos4W4D2L
31/05/2026Santos
Vitoria
SantosVitoria31
W27/05/2026Santos
Deportivo Cuenca
SantosDeportivo Cuenca30
W24/05/2026
GremioSantos
GremioSantos32
L21/05/2026Santos
San Lorenzo
SantosSan Lorenzo22
D17/05/2026Santos
Coritiba
SantosCoritiba03
L14/05/2026CoritibaSantos
CoritibaSantos02
W10/05/2026Santos
RB Bragantino
SantosRB Bragantino20
W06/05/2026
Deportivo RecoletaSantos
Deportivo RecoletaSantos11
D02/05/2026
PalmeirasSantos
PalmeirasSantos11
D29/04/2026San LorenzoSantos
San LorenzoSantos11
DReferee Profile
5.34Cards per match
5.08Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
27.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.34 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.25).
Cards come from 117 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68:28 | +40 | 73 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 56:22 | +34 | 70 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 52:46 | +6 | 57 | WWWLW |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 52:42 | +10 | 54 | WLLLW |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 50:40 | +10 | 54 | LDLWD |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 48:42 | +6 | 53 | WDLWL |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 44:39 | +5 | 50 | LLWWD |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 49:47 | +2 | 47 | DDWLD |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:38 | +4 | 44 | WLDWD |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 43 | LDWWL |
| 11 | Coritiba | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 40:50 | -10 | 42 | WLLDL |
| 12 | Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 45:53 | -8 | 39 | LLWDL |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 40:49 | -9 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 14 | Vitoria | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 35:48 | -13 | 38 | LDDLW |
| 15 | Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 | WWLDD |
| 16 |  Mirassol | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 37 | LDWLD |
| 17 | Corinthians | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36:42 | -6 | 36 | WLDLL |
| 18 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 35 | LWLDW |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 32:66 | -34 | 21 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 68:28 | 73 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 56:22 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 52:46 | 57 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 52:42 | 54 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 50:40 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 44:39 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 49:47 | 47 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 42:38 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 39:39 | 43 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 33 | 40:50 | 42 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 33 | 45:53 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 40:49 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 33 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 15 | Gremio | 33 | 37:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 33 | 37:47 | 37 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 33 | 36:42 | 36 |
| 18 | Internacional | 33 | 37:42 | 35 |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 36:51 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 32:66 | 21 |
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About the Botafogo vs Santos forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Botafogo and Santos in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Santos are 8th and Botafogo 12th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Botafogo 45-53, Santos 49-47. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.